{"id":226367,"date":"2026-10-27T14:00:13","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T11:00:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=226367"},"modified":"2026-10-27T09:20:54","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T06:20:54","slug":"bitcoin-icin-4-yukselis-sinyali-ekim-kirmizi-bitiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-icin-4-yukselis-sinyali-ekim-kirmizi-bitiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in 4 Y\u00fckseli\u015f Sinyali: Ekim K\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 Bitiyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/strong>, ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4,10 de\u011fer kaybederek \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci kez ay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatma riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Buna ra\u011fmen fiyat hareketleri, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 pozisyonlar\u0131, zincir \u00fcst\u00fc veriler ve makroekonomik geli\u015fmelerden gelen d\u00f6rt ayr\u0131 sinyal, uzun vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f ihtimalini destekliyor. Galaxy Research ve Santiment olas\u0131 bir dip olu\u015fumuna i\u015faret ederken Glassnode<\/a> verileri, son d\u00f6nemde al\u0131m yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Bu tablo, kripto<\/a> para piyasas\u0131nda k\u0131sa vadeli zay\u0131fl\u0131k ile uzun vadeli beklentilerin birbirinden ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor. Bitcoin’in kas\u0131m aylar\u0131ndaki tarihsel performans\u0131 da y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisine destek verse de ge\u00e7mi\u015f veriler kesin bir toparlanma garantisi sunmuyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin 50 Haftal\u0131k Ortalama \u00dczerinde Kalabilecek mi?<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin fiyat\u0131 ekim boyunca gerilemesine ra\u011fmen uzun vadeli grafik yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hen\u00fcz tamamen kaybetmedi. Galaxy Research Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alex Thorn, 200 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalamay\u0131 ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131n\u0131n taban\u0131, 50 haftal\u0131k ortalamay\u0131 ise fiyat\u0131n a\u015fmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 tavan olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin, haziran ay\u0131nda 200 haftal\u0131k ortalamay\u0131 test etti. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda ise 50 haftal\u0131k ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda ge\u00e7irdi\u011fi 44 haftal\u0131k d\u00f6nemi sona erdirdi. Fiyat 79.935 dolar seviyesindeyken 75.812 dolardaki 50 haftal\u0131k ortalaman\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 5 \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Galaxy, Bitcoin’in en az 20 hafta boyunca 50 haftal\u0131k ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131ktan sonra yeniden bu seviyeyi a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6rt ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemi inceledi. Her \u00f6rnekte Bitcoin, sonraki 12 ay i\u00e7inde yeniden kazan\u0131lan seviyenin y\u00fczde 8,4’\u00fcnden daha fazla alt\u0131na g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f yapmad\u0131. \u015eirket bu tarihsel \u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcye dayanarak mevcut d\u00f6nemi Bitcoin al\u0131p uzun s\u00fcre elde tutmak a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan cazip buluyor.<\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fck Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 Azald\u0131 m\u0131?<\/h2>\n

Galaxy verileri, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda baz\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n risklerini azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Varl\u0131k y\u00f6neticilerinin CME Bitcoin vadeli i\u015flemlerindeki net uzun pozisyonlar\u0131, Bitcoin’in t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 haftadan itibaren y\u00fczde 57 geriledi.<\/p>\n

Millennium Management ve Goldman Sbitcoin (BTC) analiz fiyatachs’\u0131n da aralar\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu dokuz yat\u0131r\u0131m \u015firketi, Eyl\u00fcl 2025 ile Haziran 2026 aras\u0131nda bildirdikleri spot Bitcoin ETF pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 toplamda 68.000 BTC kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltt\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD’deki spot Bitcoin ETF’leri, haziran ay\u0131ndaki dip seviyeden bu yana 87.000 BTC ekledi. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, baz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar geri \u00e7ekilirken fonlar \u00fczerinden Bitcoin talebinin de devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Zincir \u00dcst\u00fc Veriler Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Dip Sinyali Veriyor mu?<\/h2>\n

Glassnode verilerine g\u00f6re k\u0131sa vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n elindeki Bitcoin arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 70’i h\u00e2l\u00e2 k\u00e2rda. Eyl\u00fcl sonlar\u0131nda bu oran neredeyse y\u00fczde 100 seviyesindeydi. K\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n gerilemesi, son d\u00f6nemde al\u0131m yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6nceki aya k\u0131yasla daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kazan\u00e7 elde etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Glassnode, y\u00fckseli\u015fin devam edece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in mevcut seviyelerin bir ay \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re daha elveri\u015fli olabilece\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

Santiment ise 16 Ekim’den bu yana bakiyesinde Bitcoin bulunan yakla\u015f\u0131k 30.000 c\u00fczdan\u0131n ortadan kayboldu\u011funu bildiriyor. \u015eirket, bu durumu k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n piyasadan \u00e7ekilmesinin olas\u0131 bir dip sinyali olabilece\u011fi \u015feklinde yorumluyor. Santiment’e g\u00f6re perakende yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n pes ederek sat\u0131\u015f yapmas\u0131, ge\u00e7mi\u015fte y\u00fckseli\u015fleri ka\u00e7\u0131rma korkusuyla piyasaya yeni al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n ak\u0131n etmesinden daha olumlu fiyat sonu\u00e7lar\u0131yla ili\u015fkilendi.<\/p>\n

\"bitcoin<\/p>\n

ABD Borcu Uzun Vadede Bitcoin’i Destekleyebilir mi?<\/h2>\n

D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc sinyal, kripto para piyasas\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki mali geli\u015fmelerden geliyor. ABD’nin federal borcu 20 Ekim’de 40,44 trilyon dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. 2026 mali y\u0131l\u0131 ise 1,99 trilyon dolarl\u0131k b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131yla tamamland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Galaxy, bu b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckteki borcun yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 5’e yak\u0131n faiz oranlar\u0131yla yeniden finanse edilmesinin politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rabilece\u011fini savunuyor. B\u00f6yle bir ortamda enflasyona daha fazla tolerans g\u00f6sterilmesi, arz\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 Bitcoin gibi varl\u0131klar\u0131n uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131m tezini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Ancak bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 y\u0131llara yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli fiyat y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc tahmin etmekte tek ba\u015f\u0131na yeterli de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Kas\u0131m Ay\u0131 Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Y\u00fckseli\u015f Getirecek mi?<\/h2>\n

CoinGlass verilerine g\u00f6re Bitcoin, 2010’dan bu yana kas\u0131m aylar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 63’\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fle kapatt\u0131. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131ndaki medyan getiri y\u00fczde 10,26 olarak hesaplan\u0131yor. Ancak ekim ay\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatan y\u0131llar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan kas\u0131m performans\u0131 daha zay\u0131f kald\u0131: Bu be\u015f \u00f6rne\u011fin yaln\u0131zca ikisinde Bitcoin kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ekimde ya\u015fanan y\u00fczde 3,95’lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 17,49’luk kay\u0131p izledi. Bu nedenle tarihsel kas\u0131m getirileri tek ba\u015f\u0131na iyimser olmak i\u00e7in yeterli de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Santiment, Bitcoin’in 79.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde inmesinin olas\u0131 dip sinyalini geciktirebilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 82.500 dolar civar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden kazan\u0131lmas\u0131, dip olu\u015fumu ihtimalini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Ekim ay\u0131n\u0131n kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131na d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn kala fiyat\u0131n bu aral\u0131kta hangi y\u00f6nde hareket edece\u011fi \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Bu seviyeleri ve zincir \u00fcst\u00fc verileri birlikte izleyerek Bitcoin’in k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 de\u011ferlendirin.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin, ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4,10 de\u011fer kaybederek \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci kez ay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatma riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Buna ra\u011fmen fiyat hareketleri, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 pozisyonlar\u0131, zincir \u00fcst\u00fc veriler ve makroekonomik geli\u015fmelerden gelen d\u00f6rt ayr\u0131 sinyal, uzun vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f ihtimalini destekliyor. Galaxy Research ve Santiment olas\u0131 bir dip olu\u015fumuna i\u015faret ederken Glassnode verileri, son d\u00f6nemde al\u0131m yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":195713,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[12,9502,9987,207,18726,828,224],"class_list":["post-226367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-boga","tag-bitcoin-fiyat","tag-btc","tag-ekim","tag-kripto-para","tag-yatirim"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin \u0130\u00e7in 4 Y\u00fckseli\u015f Sinyali: Ekim K\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 Bitiyor - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin, ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4,10 de\u011fer kaybederek \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci kez ay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatma riskiyle 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