{"id":226236,"date":"2026-10-26T12:00:05","date_gmt":"2026-10-26T09:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=226236"},"modified":"2026-10-26T09:11:32","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T06:11:32","slug":"fed-haftasina-girdik-faiz-beklentileri-ne-yonde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-haftasina-girdik-faiz-beklentileri-ne-yonde\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed Haftas\u0131na Girdik: Faiz Beklentileri Ne Y\u00f6nde?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/strong> ve kripto para<\/strong> <\/a>piyasas\u0131, yeni haftada ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) faiz karar\u0131 ve Ba\u015fkan Kevin Warsh<\/a>‘\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na odaklan\u0131yor. Piyasalarda ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizlerin de\u011fi\u015fmemesi beklenirken y\u0131l\u0131n son toplant\u0131s\u0131nda yeni bir art\u0131r\u0131m ihtimali g\u00fcndemde kalmaya devam ediyor. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar yaln\u0131zca a\u00e7\u0131klanacak karar\u0131 de\u011fil, Fed’in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylara ili\u015fkin para politikas\u0131 mesajlar\u0131n\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan izleyecek.<\/p>\n

Fed Faiz Karar\u0131 Ne Zaman A\u00e7\u0131klanacak?<\/h2>\n

Fed’in 27-28 Ekim tarihlerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirece\u011fi toplant\u0131n\u0131n sonucu, 28 Ekim \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye saatiyle 21.00’de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh ise 21.30’da d\u00fczenleyece\u011fi bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda karar\u0131n gerek\u00e7elerine ili\u015fkin sorular\u0131 yan\u0131tlayacak.<\/p>\n

CME FedWatch verileri, piyasan\u0131n bu toplant\u0131da faizlerin sabit kalmas\u0131na g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. G\u00fcncel fiyatlamaya g\u00f6re politika faizinin y\u00fczde 3,75-4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda korunma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 90,6 seviyesinde. Faizin 25 baz puan art\u0131r\u0131larak y\u00fczde 4,00-4,25 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 ihtimali ise y\u00fczde 9,4 olarak hesaplan\u0131yor. Bu toplant\u0131 i\u00e7in faiz indirimi beklentisi bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n

Bir ay \u00f6nceki fiyatlamalar ise olduk\u00e7a farkl\u0131yd\u0131. 25 Eyl\u00fcl’de yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131r\u0131m ihtimalini y\u00fczde 64,2 olarak de\u011ferlendirirken faizin de\u011fi\u015fmemesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 35,8 seviyesinde g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. Bug\u00fcn sabit faiz beklentisinin y\u00fczde 90’\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, piyasan\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli beklentilerindeki belirgin de\u011fi\u015fimi ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

\"fed<\/p>\n

Aral\u0131k Ay\u0131nda Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 \u0130htimali Neden G\u00fcndemde?<\/h2>\n

Ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizlerin korunmas\u0131 beklense de y\u0131l sonuna ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm daha farkl\u0131. CME FedWatch verilerine g\u00f6re 9 Aral\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan faizlerin mevcut aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplam y\u00fczde 74,2 seviyesinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Bu fiyatlamada faizin y\u00fczde 4,00-4,25 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckselmesi y\u00fczde 67,5, y\u00fczde 4,25-4,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 6,7 olas\u0131l\u0131kla de\u011ferlendiriliyor. Faizin y\u00fczde 3,75-4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kalma ihtimali y\u00fczde 25,8 d\u00fczeyinde.<\/p>\n

Fed, eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini 25 baz puan art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f ve karar\u0131 oybirli\u011fiyle alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Banka o d\u00f6nemde ekonomik faaliyetin sa\u011flaml\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korudu\u011funu, enflasyonun ise y\u00fcksek seyretti\u011fini vurgulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu nedenle Warsh’\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131na y\u00f6nelik mesajlar\u0131, ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizlerin sabit tutulmas\u0131 kadar \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

PIMCO Fed’in Para Politikas\u0131 Hakk\u0131nda Ne D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor?<\/h2>\n

D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen varl\u0131k y\u00f6neticilerinden PIMCO, 22 Ekim tarihli analizinde Fed’in ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmemesini bekledi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bununla birlikte kurum, faiz art\u0131r\u0131m se\u00e7ene\u011finin masadan kalkmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k yeni bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n

PIMCO’nun dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fi riskler aras\u0131nda yapay zek\u00e2 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n talebi desteklemesi, g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifeleri ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131 bulunuyor. \u00d6te yandan uzun vadeli tahvil getirilerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015f, finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rarak Fed’in yeni bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapmadan beklemesine olanak sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n

Fed A\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 Bitcoin Fiyat\u0131n\u0131 Nas\u0131l Etkileyebilir?<\/h2>\n

Ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda yeni ekonomik tahminler veya faiz beklentilerini g\u00f6steren nokta grafi\u011fi (dot plot) yay\u0131mlanmayacak. Bu nedenle karar metnindeki ifadeler, olas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131 oylar ve Warsh’\u0131n bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011ferlendirmeler daha fazla \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kacak.<\/p>\n

Fed’in ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131k kap\u0131 b\u0131rakmas\u0131, dolar\u0131n ve tahvil getirilerinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine yol a\u00e7arak Bitcoin \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturabilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k faizlerin bir s\u00fcre sabit kalaca\u011f\u0131 mesaj\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi, riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelik talebi destekleyebilir. Ancak bu ili\u015fki kesin de\u011fildir; piyasa tepkisi a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n beklentilerden ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ayr\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na da ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Ekonomik takvimdeki bir sonraki \u00f6nemli geli\u015fme ise 29 Ekim Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlanacak eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 ki\u015fisel gelir ve harcamalar raporu olacak. Fed’in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi PCE enflasyon g\u00f6stergesini de i\u00e7eren bu rapor, faiz beklentilerinin yeniden \u015fekillenmesine neden olabilir.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin ve kripto para piyasas\u0131, yeni haftada ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) faiz karar\u0131 ve Ba\u015fkan Kevin Warsh‘\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na odaklan\u0131yor. Piyasalarda ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizlerin de\u011fi\u015fmemesi beklenirken y\u0131l\u0131n son toplant\u0131s\u0131nda yeni bir art\u0131r\u0131m ihtimali g\u00fcndemde kalmaya devam ediyor. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar yaln\u0131zca a\u00e7\u0131klanacak karar\u0131 de\u011fil, Fed’in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylara ili\u015fkin para politikas\u0131 mesajlar\u0131n\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan izleyecek. Fed Faiz<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":211292,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1512],"tags":[12,207,6053,413,828,55,224],"class_list":["post-226236","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-haber","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-faiz","tag-fed","tag-kripto-para","tag-piyasa","tag-yatirim"],"yoast_head":"\nFed Haftas\u0131na Girdik: Faiz Beklentileri Ne Y\u00f6nde? - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Kripto para piyasas\u0131, yeni haftada ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) faiz karar\u0131 ve Ba\u015fkan Kevin Warsh'\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na odaklan\u0131yor.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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