{"id":22607,"date":"2022-04-18T00:10:08","date_gmt":"2022-04-17T21:10:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=22607"},"modified":"2022-04-18T00:10:08","modified_gmt":"2022-04-17T21:10:08","slug":"bu-tahmine-dikkat-altin-baska-bir-kirilmaya-mi-hazirlaniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bu-tahmine-dikkat-altin-baska-bir-kirilmaya-mi-hazirlaniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Bu Tahmine Dikkat: Alt\u0131n Ba\u015fka Bir K\u0131r\u0131lmaya M\u0131 Haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 2.000 dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7tikten sonra ba\u015fka bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya m\u0131 gidiyor? Bu sorunun cevab\u0131n\u0131 arayan analist Ned Naylor Leyland\u2019\u0131n analizlerini kendi anlat\u0131m\u0131yla okuyucular\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlad\u0131k.<\/p>\n

\u201cBu durum, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda k\u0131r\u0131lmaya yol a\u00e7acak\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n, 1971\u2019den bu yana enflasyona g\u00f6re d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f bazda d\u00f6rt kez (dolar baz\u0131nda) mevcut seviyesi civar\u0131nda seyretti. En son, iki y\u0131l \u00f6nce, nominal fiyat ons ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 2.100 dolard\u0131 ve \u015fimdi 2.000 dolar\u0131n biraz alt\u0131nday\u0131z.<\/p>\n

Bana \u00f6yle geliyor ki, alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131nda ivme kazanacak bir k\u0131r\u0131lma olabilir. Niye ya? \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc alt\u0131n\u0131n fiyat\u0131, reel faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n veya enflasyonun etkilerinden sonra bir tahvilin \u00f6dedi\u011fi faiz oran\u0131n\u0131n tersi y\u00f6nde hareket eder. Enflasyon y\u00fcksek ve faiz oranlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in reel faiz oranlar\u0131 negatif.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u00a0haberlerinde de yer verildi\u011fi \u00fczere, insanlar alt\u0131nla ilgileniyor \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc gelecekteki sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcnden endi\u015fe duyuyorlar. Piyasa hala ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) bu y\u0131l faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 yedi kat\u0131na kadar y\u00fckseltip y\u00fckseltemeyece\u011fini ve enflasyonun maddi olarak zay\u0131flay\u0131p zay\u0131flamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Benim g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme g\u00f6re, alt\u0131n\u0131n hen\u00fcz d\u00fczg\u00fcn bir \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmamas\u0131n\u0131n nedeni bu. Piyasa nispeten \u015fahin g\u00f6zlemlere odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in tetikleyici, enflasyonun yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u00fcrpriz yapmas\u0131 veya piyasan\u0131n ABD\u2019deki yedi faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n biraz fazla agresif oldu\u011funu kabul etmesi olabilir. Bu durum alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda k\u0131r\u0131lmaya yol a\u00e7acakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u201cBence sar\u0131 metal her \u015feye de\u011fer veriyor\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n\u0131 \u2018risksiz\u2019 para olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum. Merkez bankalar\u0131 da \u00f6yle. Bu y\u00fczden genellikle b\u00fcy\u00fck alt\u0131n rezervlerine sahipler. Neyin riskli oldu\u011funu ve neyin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anl\u0131yorlar. Alt\u0131n\u0131n, devlet taraf\u0131ndan ihra\u00e7 edilen her bir para biriminin gelecekteki sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7t\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u00fczden hepsinin alt\u0131na k\u0131yasla farkl\u0131 h\u0131zlarda bozuldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyorsunuz. \u0130nsanlar alt\u0131na de\u011fer veremeyece\u011finizi s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor ama bence alt\u0131n her \u015feye de\u011fer veriyor. Fiziksel alt\u0131na olan talep art\u0131yor, asl\u0131nda kariyerim boyunca istikrarl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde artt\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bireyler bir riskten korunma arac\u0131 olarak fiziksel alt\u0131na sahip olmak istiyor ve merkez bankalar\u0131 daha fazla sat\u0131n al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 2.000 dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7tikten sonra ba\u015fka bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya m\u0131 gidiyor? Bu sorunun cevab\u0131n\u0131 arayan analist Ned Naylor Leyland\u2019\u0131n …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":22608,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22607","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft"],"yoast_head":"\nBu Tahmine Dikkat: Alt\u0131n Ba\u015fka Bir K\u0131r\u0131lmaya M\u0131 Haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor? - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bu-tahmine-dikkat-altin-baska-bir-kirilmaya-mi-hazirlaniyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bu Tahmine Dikkat: Alt\u0131n Ba\u015fka Bir K\u0131r\u0131lmaya M\u0131 Haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 2.000 dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7tikten sonra ba\u015fka bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya m\u0131 gidiyor? 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