{"id":224947,"date":"2026-10-12T15:00:23","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T12:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=224947"},"modified":"2026-10-12T09:29:26","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T06:29:26","slug":"dolar-endeksi-18-ayin-zirvesinde-sirada-ne-var","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/dolar-endeksi-18-ayin-zirvesinde-sirada-ne-var\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar Endeksi 18 Ay\u0131n Zirvesinde: S\u0131rada Ne Var?"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD<\/a> Dolar Endeksi<\/strong> (DXY<\/strong>), 12 Ekim 2026 Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 102,2 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek ge\u00e7en hafta ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 son 18 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti. Orta Do\u011fu’daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u015fiddetlenmesi ve ABD enflasyon<\/a> verilerinin yakla\u015fmas\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n temkinli davranmas\u0131na neden oluyor. Analistler ise dolar\u0131n uzun vadeli bir diren\u00e7 \u00e7izgisinden geri d\u00f6n\u00fcp d\u00f6nmeyece\u011fi veya y\u00fckseli\u015fini y\u0131llara yay\u0131lan bir trende d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcp d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmeyece\u011fi konusunda farkl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler payla\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Dolar Endeksi Neden 18 Ay\u0131n Zirvesine \u00c7\u0131kt\u0131?<\/h2>\n

DXY, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 2 de\u011fer kazanarak y\u00fckseli\u015fini h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131. Endeks, ay\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda 98,8 civar\u0131nda bulunurken 102 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve temmuz ay\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 101,6 civar\u0131ndaki zirveyi geride b\u0131rakt\u0131. B\u00f6ylece dolar\u0131n k\u00fcresel piyasalardaki g\u00fcc\u00fc yeniden tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n merkezine yerle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Makro stratejist Gert van Lagen, y\u00fckseli\u015fin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lan uzun vadeli trend \u00e7izgisinde durabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Van Lagen’e g\u00f6re endeksin 2023 ve 2024 haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en \u00e7izgiye yeniden ula\u015fmas\u0131, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir retest olu\u015fturabilir. Haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n bu seviyede ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi durumunda dolar\u0131n sert bir geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fama ihtimali g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n

GlydeGG kurucu orta\u011f\u0131 Sweep de benzer bir de\u011ferlendirme yapt\u0131. Sweep, mevcut hareketi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir retest olarak yorumlayarak dolar\u0131n diren\u00e7ten d\u00f6nmesinin hisse senetleri ve kripto para piyasas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olumlu olabilece\u011fini savundu.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ba\u015fka bir analist, dolar\u0131n uzun vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin devam etti\u011fini belirtiyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fe g\u00f6re 18 y\u0131ll\u0131k bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131, DXY’nin 17 Mart 2008’de 70,698 ile rekor d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi g\u00f6rmesiyle ba\u015flad\u0131 ve \u00f6n\u00fcnde h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u0131llar s\u00fcrebilecek bir y\u00fckseli\u015f alan\u0131 bulunuyor. Analist ayr\u0131ca endeksin \u00e7eyreklik grafikte alt\u0131n kesi\u015fime yakla\u015fmas\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

\"dolar<\/p>\n

ABD Enflasyon Verileri Dolar\u0131n Y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc De\u011fi\u015ftirir Mi?<\/h2>\n

Piyasalar\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli oda\u011f\u0131nda \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi (T\u00dcFE) bulunuyor. Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fcretici fiyat endeksi (\u00dcFE) ve perakende sat\u0131\u015f rakamlar\u0131 yay\u0131mlanacak. Bu veriler, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (FED) 28 Ekim’deki faiz karar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc de\u011ferlendirmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n

FED, 16 Eyl\u00fcl’de faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 3,75 ile y\u00fczde 4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseltti. Bu karar, Temmuz 2023’ten bu yana yap\u0131lan ilk faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 oldu. Ancak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar daha sonra yeni bir art\u0131\u015f beklentisini azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n

CME FedWatch verilerine g\u00f6re, haberin haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada FED’in ekim ay\u0131nda faizleri sabit tutma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 82,8 seviyesindeydi. Bir ay \u00f6nce ayn\u0131 ihtimal y\u00fczde 51 olarak hesaplan\u0131rken faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 42,5 d\u00fczeyindeydi.<\/p>\n

FED Beklentileri Ve T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni Neyi G\u00f6steriyor?<\/h2>\n

Michigan \u00dcniversitesi taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan \u00f6nc\u00fc t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi, ekim ay\u0131nda 46,3’e gerileyerek be\u015f ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Endeks eyl\u00fclde 48,1 seviyesindeydi. Orta Do\u011fu’daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ya\u015fam maliyetini art\u0131rmas\u0131, hanehalk\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/p>\n

Barclays analistleri, dolar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015finin yava\u015flayabilece\u011fini ve yak\u0131n vadede geri \u00e7ekilme ya\u015fanabilece\u011fini de\u011ferlendiriyor. K\u00fcresel tahvil piyasalar\u0131ndaki oynakl\u0131k, d\u00fcnya genelinde bor\u00e7lanma ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu bask\u0131n\u0131n, \u00f6zellikle enflasyon verileri beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rsa, 28 Ekim’deki toplant\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde FED’in daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 mesajlar vermesine yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak T\u00dcFE rakam\u0131, hem dolar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f trendine devam edece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler hem de geri \u00e7ekilme bekleyenler i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir s\u0131nav olacak.<\/p>\n

Dolar Endeksinin Y\u00fckseli\u015fi Bitcoin Ve Altcoinleri Nas\u0131l Etkiler?<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin ile ABD Dolar Endeksi tarihsel olarak \u00e7o\u011funlukla ters y\u00f6nde hareket ediyor. Bu ili\u015fki nedeniyle dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi, Bitcoin ve di\u011fer riskli dijital varl\u0131klar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturabiliyor. Ancak eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda bu ili\u015fki ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde i\u015flemedi: DXY yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 2 y\u00fckselirken Bitcoin y\u00fczde 6,14 de\u011fer kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ekim ay\u0131 ise kripto piyasas\u0131 i\u00e7in daha zorlu ba\u015flad\u0131. Toplam kripto para piyasas\u0131 de\u011feri ay ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana y\u00fczde 1,4 geriledi. Y\u00fcksek tahvil getirileri, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki s\u0131\u00e7rama ve fon sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle ili\u015fkilendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

DXY uzun vadeli trend \u00e7izgisinden geri d\u00f6nerse Bitcoin \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131 kaynaklar\u0131ndan biri hafifleyebilir. Ancak dolar yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirirse Bitcoin’in eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda koruyup koruyamayaca\u011f\u0131 test edilecek.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), 12 Ekim 2026 Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 102,2 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek ge\u00e7en hafta ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 son 18 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti. Orta Do\u011fu’daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u015fiddetlenmesi ve ABD enflasyon verilerinin yakla\u015fmas\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n temkinli davranmas\u0131na neden oluyor. Analistler ise dolar\u0131n uzun vadeli bir diren\u00e7 \u00e7izgisinden geri d\u00f6n\u00fcp d\u00f6nmeyece\u011fi veya y\u00fckseli\u015fini y\u0131llara yay\u0131lan bir trende<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":189791,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9692,1512],"tags":[9,12,5801,14446,828,55,224],"class_list":["post-224947","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","category-haber","tag-altcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-dolar","tag-dolar-endeksi","tag-kripto-para","tag-piyasa","tag-yatirim"],"yoast_head":"\nDolar Endeksi 18 Ay\u0131n Zirvesinde: S\u0131rada Ne Var? - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Dolar endeksi 18 ay\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n. 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