{"id":224935,"date":"2026-10-12T11:30:05","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T08:30:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=224935"},"modified":"2026-10-12T09:16:31","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T06:16:31","slug":"bitcoin-ayi-piyasasindan-cikti-mi-yuzde-elliuc-dusus-ne-anlatiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-ayi-piyasasindan-cikti-mi-yuzde-elliuc-dusus-ne-anlatiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Ay\u0131 Piyasas\u0131ndan \u00c7\u0131kt\u0131 m\u0131? %53\u2019l\u00fck D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Ne Anlat\u0131yor?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/strong>, Ekim 2025\u2019teki 124.824 dolarl\u0131k zirvesinden 30 Haziran 2026\u2019da 58.525 dolara gerileyerek yakla\u015f\u0131k %53 de\u011fer kaybetti. \u00d6nceki \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131nda ise kay\u0131plar %76,7 ile %84,5 aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fti. BloFin Research, bu fark\u0131 Bitcoin piyasas\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fine ve yeni bir bo\u011fa<\/strong> d\u00f6nemine ge\u00e7mi\u015f olabilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin \u00f6nemli bir sinyal olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor. Ancak haziran ay\u0131ndaki dip hen\u00fcz kesinle\u015fmedi.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019in son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc neden \u00f6nceki ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131ndan daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131?<\/h2>\n

BloFin Research\u2019\u00fcn g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131na dayanan hesaplamas\u0131, son d\u00f6ng\u00fcdeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemlere k\u0131yasla daha s\u0131\u011f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131<\/th>\nZirveden dibe d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
2013\u20132015<\/td>\n%84,5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017\u20132018<\/td>\n%83,8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2021\u20132022<\/td>\n%76,7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2025\u20132026<\/td>\n%53<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Bitcoin\u2019in haziran ay\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 58.525 dolar seviyesi d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn dibi olarak kal\u0131rsa son ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131, ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemlerden daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir kay\u0131pla tamamlanm\u0131\u015f olacak.<\/p>\n

Y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6nemlerinin getirileri de k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. BloFin\u2019in d\u00f6ng\u00fc analizinde Bitcoin\u2019in dipten zirveye kazan\u00e7 katsay\u0131s\u0131 ilk d\u00f6ng\u00fcde yakla\u015f\u0131k 530 kat olurken son d\u00f6ng\u00fcde 8 kata geriledi. Hem y\u00fckseli\u015flerin hem d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin daralmas\u0131, Bitcoin\u2019in ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki sert fiyat sal\u0131n\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 kaybediyor olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, tek ba\u015f\u0131na piyasan\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde olgunla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kan\u0131tlamaz. Haziran ay\u0131ndaki dip k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa son d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemlerden daha hafif ge\u00e7ti\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki de\u011ferlendirme de zay\u0131flar.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Bo\u011fa Piyasas\u0131na Girdi Mi?<\/h2>\n

BloFin Research, uzun vadeli trenddeki toparlanmay\u0131 destekleyen iki g\u00f6stergeye dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

BTC<\/a>, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 78.800 dolar seviyesindeki 50 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 yeniden a\u015ft\u0131. Fiyat, ekim ay\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda 86.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bitcoin, 11 Ekim itibar\u0131yla yakla\u015f\u0131k 83.000 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n

50 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalama, uzun vadeli fiyat e\u011filimini izlemeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 oluyor. Bitcoin\u2019in bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosunu destekleyebilir. Fiyat\u0131n ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde gerilemesi ise teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc zay\u0131flatabilir.<\/p>\n

MVRV oran\u0131<\/strong> da benzer bir sinyal verdi. Piyasa de\u011ferinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f de\u011fere oran\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge, 11 Ekim\u2019de yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,54 seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131. MVRV\u2019nin 365 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamas\u0131 ise 1,44 olarak hesapland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu iki veri, Bitcoin\u2019in uzun vadeli toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor. Ancak hareketli ortalama ve MVRV, gelecekteki fiyat y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc garanti etmez. G\u00f6stergeler olumlu kal\u0131rken Bitcoin yeni bir sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131yla da kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n

Kurumsal Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Ne Kadar Bitcoin Tutuyor?<\/h2>\n

BloFin Research, Bitcoin\u2019in daha uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 piyasa d\u00f6ng\u00fclerindeki de\u011fi\u015fimin olas\u0131 nedenlerinden biri olarak g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Eyl\u00fcl 2026\u2019da en az 155 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr hareket etmeyen Bitcoin miktar\u0131 16,64 milyon BTC\u2019ye ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu miktar, dola\u015f\u0131mdaki arz\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %83\u2019\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geldi.<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019deki spot Bitcoin ETF\u2019leri 2 Ekim itibar\u0131yla yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3 milyon BTC tutuyordu. Halka a\u00e7\u0131k \u015firketlerin Bitcoin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da 1,29 milyon BTC seviyesindeydi. \u0130ki grup birlikte dola\u015f\u0131mdaki arz\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %13\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc kontrol ediyordu.<\/p>\n

Bu sahiplik yap\u0131s\u0131, Bitcoin\u2019in daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 taban\u0131na ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak uzun vadeli sahiplerin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, piyasadaki sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en haftaki 679 milyon dolarl\u0131k spot Bitcoin ETF \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 bunun \u00f6nemli bir \u00f6rne\u011fi. Kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar b\u00fcy\u00fck miktarda BTC tutmaya devam etse de fonlardan para \u00e7ekilmesi, piyasa stresi s\u0131ras\u0131nda talebin zay\u0131flayabildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019in 4 Y\u0131ll\u0131k D\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc De\u011fi\u015fiyor Mu?<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin\u2019in d\u00f6rt y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc h\u00e2l\u00e2 belirgin bir zamanlama \u00f6zelli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131yor. BTC, Nisan 2024\u2019teki yar\u0131lanmadan yakla\u015f\u0131k 18 ay sonra, Ekim 2025\u2019te zirveye ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu zamanlama, \u00f6nceki d\u00f6ng\u00fclerdeki zirve aral\u0131klar\u0131yla \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

De\u011fi\u015fim daha \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn boyutunda ve s\u00fcresinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Haziran ay\u0131ndaki dip korunursa son ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k sekiz ay s\u00fcrd\u00fc. \u00d6nceki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f d\u00f6nemleri ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 12\u201313 ay devam etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Bu veriler, d\u00f6rt y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn ortadan kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fil, etkisinin zamanla zay\u0131flayabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 taban\u0131 ve uzun vadeli sahiplerin artan pay\u0131, fiyat hareketlerinin ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki kadar sert olmayabilece\u011fi tezini destekliyor. Yine de birka\u00e7 d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn verisi gelecekteki fiyat hareketlerini kesin olarak a\u00e7\u0131klamaz.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Bo\u011fa Piyasas\u0131 Ve Kritik Seviyeler<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin\u2019in 50 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, uzun vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosunu destekleyen temel ko\u015fullardan biri. Fiyat\u0131n bu ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde gerilemesi teknik sinyali zay\u0131flat\u0131r.<\/p>\n

58.525 dolar seviyesi ise daha \u00f6nemli bir s\u0131nav olu\u015fturuyor. Bitcoin bu seviyenin alt\u0131na inerse haziran ay\u0131ndaki dibin d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck noktas\u0131 oldu\u011fu iddias\u0131 sorgulan\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Bitcoin\u2019in daha hafif bir ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc \u015fimdilik iki ko\u015fula dayan\u0131yor: Haziran dibinin korunmas\u0131 ve uzun vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6stergelerinin ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi. ETF \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 h\u0131zlan\u0131r ve fiyat bu destekleri kaybederse, ge\u00e7mi\u015fe k\u0131yasla daha k\u0131sa ve daha hafif bir ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 tezi yeniden de\u011ferlendirilmek zorunda kal\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\n

Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin, Ekim 2025\u2019teki 124.824 dolarl\u0131k zirvesinden 30 Haziran 2026\u2019da 58.525 dolara gerileyerek yakla\u015f\u0131k %53 de\u011fer kaybetti. \u00d6nceki \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131nda ise kay\u0131plar %76,7 ile %84,5 aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fti. BloFin Research, bu fark\u0131 Bitcoin piyasas\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fine ve yeni bir bo\u011fa d\u00f6nemine ge\u00e7mi\u015f olabilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin \u00f6nemli bir sinyal olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor. Ancak haziran ay\u0131ndaki dip hen\u00fcz kesinle\u015fmedi. Bitcoin\u2019in son<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":203449,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[12,28068,10772,44343,19023,15809],"class_list":["post-224935","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-ayi-piyasasi","tag-bitcoin-boga-piyasasi","tag-blofin-research","tag-btc-fiyati","tag-mvrv-orani"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Ay\u0131 Piyasas\u0131ndan \u00c7\u0131kt\u0131 m\u0131? %53\u2019l\u00fck D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Ne Anlat\u0131yor? - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin \u2019l\u00fck \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan 50 haftal\u0131k ortalamay\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131. 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