{"id":224409,"date":"2026-10-06T17:30:19","date_gmt":"2026-10-06T14:30:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=224409"},"modified":"2026-10-06T14:17:51","modified_gmt":"2026-10-06T11:17:51","slug":"bitcoin-yuzde-47-yukseldi-gecmiste-5-toparlanmanin-4u-bozuldu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-yuzde-47-yukseldi-gecmiste-5-toparlanmanin-4u-bozuldu\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin %47 Y\u00fckseldi! Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte 5 Toparlanman\u0131n 4\u2019\u00fc Bozuldu"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/strong>, temmuzdaki dip seviyesinden bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k %47 y\u00fckseldi. \u0130lk bak\u0131\u015fta bu hareket, piyasan\u0131n dip seviyeyi geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ancak Binance Research ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki benzer toparlanmalara bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda daha temkinli bir tablo \u00e7iziyor. %40\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerindeki s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n s\u0131\u011f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan gelmesi halinde, be\u015f \u00f6rne\u011fin d\u00f6rd\u00fcnde Bitcoin daha sonra dip seviyeyi yeniden test etti.<\/p>\n

Bu kez de benzer bir tablo var. Mevcut sinyal 3 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de tetiklendi ve Bitcoin o s\u0131rada zirvesinin %35,6 alt\u0131ndayd\u0131. Binance Research\u2019e g\u00f6re as\u0131l soru, %47\u2019lik y\u00fckseli\u015fin yeni bir taban m\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu, yoksa Bitcoin\u2019in ikinci kez dip aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na m\u0131 girece\u011fi.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019in %47\u2019lik Toparlanmas\u0131 Neden Yeterli G\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor?<\/h2>\n

Binance<\/strong> Research, Bitcoin\u2019deki toparlanmay\u0131 yaln\u0131zca y\u00fckseli\u015fin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne bakarak de\u011ferlendirmiyor. Ekibin kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 sinyal iki ko\u015fuldan olu\u015fuyor: Bitcoin\u2019in d\u00f6ng\u00fc dibinden en az %40 y\u00fckselmesi ve ayn\u0131 anda t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvesinin en az %25 alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

2011-2023 aras\u0131nda bu \u015fartlar\u0131n olu\u015ftu\u011fu 7 farkl\u0131 d\u00f6nem incelendi.<\/p>\n

\u0130ki \u00f6rnekte Bitcoin zirvesinin s\u0131ras\u0131yla %75,5 ve %67,1 alt\u0131nda bulunuyordu. Nisan 2019 ve Ocak 2023\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclen bu derin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan gelen toparlanmalar korundu ve fiyat daha sonra yeni zirvelere ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Sorun s\u0131\u011f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Di\u011fer be\u015f \u00f6rnek, Bitcoin\u2019in zirvenin yaln\u0131zca %30 ila %38 alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemlerde olu\u015ftu. Bunlar\u0131n d\u00f6rd\u00fcnde fiyat, ortalama 43 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde eski dibini yeniden test etti. \u0130stisna ise Temmuz 2021\u2019deki toparlanmayd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Binance Research bu fark\u0131n arkas\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan zorunlu sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc tamamlanm\u0131\u015f olabilir. B\u00f6yle bir ortamda gelen %40\u2019l\u0131k toparlanma ger\u00e7ek talebi daha iyi yans\u0131tabilir. S\u0131\u011f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde ise daha az yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f yapmaya zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fckseli\u015f daha zay\u0131f bir sinyal ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\"\"
\u015eekil: Bitcoin\u2019in derin ve s\u0131\u011f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerden sonraki toparlanmalar\u0131. S\u0131\u011f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde 5 \u00f6rne\u011fin 4\u2019\u00fcnde dip yeniden test edildi. Kaynak: Binance Research, 1 Ekim 2026.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Bitcoin \u015eimdi Hangi Ge\u00e7mi\u015f \u00d6rne\u011fe Daha Yak\u0131n?<\/h2>\n

Mevcut sinyal 3 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de tetiklendi. Bitcoin o tarihte \u00f6nceki zirvesinin %35,6 alt\u0131ndayd\u0131. Bu seviye, Binance Research\u2019\u00fcn ge\u00e7mi\u015fte sorun ya\u015fanan s\u0131\u011f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f grubunun i\u00e7inde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

1 Ekim kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Bitcoin 84.880 dolar seviyesindeydi. Bu fiyat, 1 Temmuz\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fclen 57.800 dolarl\u0131k dipten %46,9 daha y\u00fcksekti.<\/p>\n

\u00dcstelik bu d\u00f6ng\u00fcde benzer bir hareket daha ya\u015fand\u0131. Bitcoin, 6 \u015eubat\u2019taki 60.000 dolarl\u0131k dipten may\u0131s ay\u0131na kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k %38 y\u00fckseldi. Piyasa bu seviyeyi dip olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcrken fiyat daha sonra 5 Haziran\u2019da s\u00f6z konusu seviyenin alt\u0131na indi ve sonunda 57.800 dolara kadar geriledi.<\/p>\n

Binance Research bu y\u00fczden bug\u00fcnk\u00fc hareketi \u201cikinci deneme\u201d olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor. Mevcut %47\u2019lik toparlanma ge\u00e7mi\u015fte ya\u015fanan s\u0131\u011f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00f6rneklerinden korunmu\u015f de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rma ekibi bunun bir fiyat tahmini olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6zellikle vurguluyor. Yaln\u0131zca yedi ge\u00e7mi\u015f \u00f6rnek bulundu\u011fu i\u00e7in sonu\u00e7lar bir baz oran sunuyor. Gelecekte ne olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tek ba\u015f\u0131na s\u00f6ylemiyor.<\/p>\n

Ekim Ay\u0131 Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Neyi De\u011fi\u015ftirebilir?<\/h2>\n

Ekim, Bitcoin a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ge\u00e7mi\u015fe sahip. 2013\u2019ten bu yana ay\u0131n medyan getirisi %12,73 seviyesinde. Son dokuz y\u0131l\u0131n yedisinde Bitcoin ekim ay\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fle tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Eyl\u00fcl de bu kez yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcld\u00fcrd\u00fc. Bitcoin ge\u00e7en ay %6,4 y\u00fckseldi ve 2017\u2019den bu yana en iyi ikinci eyl\u00fcl performans\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti. Yaln\u0131zca 2024’teki %7,4’l\u00fck art\u0131\u015f bunun \u00fczerinde kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte ise eyl\u00fcl \u00e7ok daha zay\u0131ft\u0131. Bitcoin, 2017-2022 aras\u0131nda alt\u0131 y\u0131l \u00fcst \u00fcste eyl\u00fcl\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131 ve bu d\u00f6nemde ortalama kay\u0131p %7,3 oldu.<\/p>\n

Yine de mevsimsellik tek ba\u015f\u0131na yeterli de\u011fil. Ekim 2025, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir eyl\u00fcl\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan %3,9 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle tamamland\u0131. Ekim 2026\u2019da ise ilk alt\u0131 g\u00fcnde Bitcoin\u2019in kazanc\u0131 %2,23 seviyesinde.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u00fczden Binance Research i\u00e7in ekim \u00f6nemli bir test haline geliyor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ay, temmuz dibinden ba\u015flayan toparlanman\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dair yeni kan\u0131t sa\u011flayabilir. Zay\u0131f bir ekim ise y\u00fckseli\u015fin devaml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda soru i\u015faretlerini b\u00fcy\u00fctebilir.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019in Sonraki Hareketini Ne Belirleyecek?<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin raporun yay\u0131mland\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada 85.431 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. K\u0131sa vadede fiyat\u0131n a\u015fmas\u0131 gereken ilk b\u00f6lge ise Binance verilerine g\u00f6re 85.000-85.500 dolar aras\u0131ndaki sat\u0131\u015f duvar\u0131.<\/p>\n

Glassnode, bu b\u00f6lgenin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f hareketinin geni\u015fledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterebilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Ancak bunun y\u00fckselen i\u015flem hacmiyle desteklenmesi ve spot Bitcoin ETF giri\u015flerinin yeniden h\u0131z kazanmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

ETF taraf\u0131nda da ivme kayb\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. 28 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019den \u00f6nceki hafta spot Bitcoin ETF\u2019lerine 2,39 milyar dolar giri\u015f olurken, sonraki d\u00f6rt i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcndeki toplam giri\u015f yaln\u0131zca 51,25 milyon dolar olarak kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu yava\u015flama, Citi\u2019nin Bitcoin i\u00e7in y\u00fckseltti\u011fi 12 ayl\u0131k 113.000 dolarl\u0131k hedefi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da \u00f6nemli. Bankan\u0131n tahmini, 5 milyar dolarl\u0131k ETF giri\u015finin devam edece\u011fi varsay\u0131m\u0131na dayan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Makro tarafta g\u00f6zler yine Fed\u2019de. Ekim faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi, daha zay\u0131f PCE verisi ve i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndaki so\u011fuma sonras\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %70\u2019ten %30\u2019un alt\u0131na geriledi. Buna ra\u011fmen 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvil faizi 24 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine yak\u0131n kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca sal\u0131-per\u015fembe g\u00fcnleri toplam 119 milyar dolarl\u0131k 3, 10 ve 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine tahvili ihalesi yap\u0131lacak. Uzun vadeli tahvillere talep, getiriler \u00fczerinden Bitcoin gibi riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc etkileyebilir.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019in temmuz dibinden bu yana %47 y\u00fckselmesi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanmaya i\u015faret ediyor. Fakat Binance Research\u2019\u00fcn ge\u00e7mi\u015f verileri, s\u0131\u011f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan gelen benzer s\u0131\u00e7ramalarda yeniden dip testinin daha s\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Bu nedenle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde yaln\u0131zca Bitcoin\u2019in ne kadar y\u00fckseldi\u011fi de\u011fil, y\u00fckseli\u015fin hangi seviyenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 da \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\n

Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin, temmuzdaki dip seviyesinden bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k %47 y\u00fckseldi. \u0130lk bak\u0131\u015fta bu hareket, piyasan\u0131n dip seviyeyi geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ancak Binance Research ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki benzer toparlanmalara bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda daha temkinli bir tablo \u00e7iziyor. %40\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerindeki s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n s\u0131\u011f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan gelmesi halinde, be\u015f \u00f6rne\u011fin d\u00f6rd\u00fcnde Bitcoin daha sonra dip seviyeyi yeniden test etti. Bu kez de benzer bir<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":224413,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[8099,12,11785,41245,44114,45,22371],"class_list":["post-224409","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-binance-research","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analizi","tag-bitcoin-dip","tag-bitcoin-ekim","tag-bitcoin-fiyati","tag-bitcoin-rallisi"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin %47 Y\u00fckseldi! Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte 5 Toparlanman\u0131n 4\u2019\u00fc Bozuldu - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin toparland\u0131, ancak ge\u00e7mi\u015f veriler yeni dip riskinin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. 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