{"id":224016,"date":"2026-10-02T15:00:09","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T12:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=224016"},"modified":"2026-10-02T09:28:47","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T06:28:47","slug":"fed-faiz-artisi-yapacak-mi-citi-degerlendirdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-faiz-artisi-yapacak-mi-citi-degerlendirdi\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131 Yapacak M\u0131? Citi De\u011ferlendirdi!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Citi<\/a> Research, piyasan\u0131n ABD<\/a> Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (Fed) bekledi\u011fi agresif faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekten gerekli olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sorguluyor. Banka, k\u00fcresel man\u015fet enflasyonun bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,5 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini beklese de \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde daha sert bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma i\u00e7in gerek\u00e7elerin zay\u0131flayabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Fed, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131rd\u0131. Citi, bu karar\u0131 ekonominin dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131 ve enflasyonun hedefin \u00fczerinde seyretmesiyle ili\u015fkilendiriyor. Ancak Global Ba\u015fekonomist Nathan Sheets liderli\u011findeki ekip, bundan sonraki s\u00fcre\u00e7te agresif faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n gereklili\u011fi konusunda daha temkinli bir tablo \u00e7iziyor.<\/p>\n

Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131 Enflasyonu Nas\u0131l Etkiliyor?<\/h2>\n

Citi\u2019nin de\u011ferlendirmesinde enerji fiyatlar\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir yer tutuyor. Brent petrol yakla\u015f\u0131k 105 dolar seviyesinde kal\u0131rken banka, k\u00fcresel enflasyon tahminini y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcne k\u0131yasla yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 puan yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

Rafine petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde ise bask\u0131 daha belirgin. Citi verilerine g\u00f6re motorin fiyatlar\u0131 ham petrole k\u0131yasla yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 50 daha fazla y\u00fckselirken, benzin fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ham petrol\u00fcn y\u00fckseli\u015finden yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 20 daha y\u00fcksek ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

G\u0131da ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u0131\u015far\u0131da b\u0131rakan \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon da y\u00fcksek seyrediyor. Citi, \u015fubat ay\u0131ndan bu yana bir\u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomiye ili\u015fkin \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon tahminlerini yakla\u015f\u0131k 50 baz puan, yani 0,5 puan art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Fed Faiz Art\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda Neden Daha Temkinli Olabilir?<\/h2>\n

Y\u00fcksek enflasyon verilerine ra\u011fmen Citi\u2019nin dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fi \u00f6nemli bir ayr\u0131nt\u0131 bulunuyor: Uzun vadeli enflasyon beklentileri b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomilerde halen kontrol alt\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

Bu durum, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapasitesine olan g\u00fcveninin tamamen kaybolmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Citi\u2019nin de\u011ferlendirmesi, enflasyonun y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen para politikas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok daha agresif hale gelmesinin zorunlu olmayabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

J.P. Morgan da benzer bir yakla\u015f\u0131m sergiliyor ve k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir faiz art\u0131\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc bekliyor. Bankan\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcne g\u00f6re Fed, aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda bir kez daha faiz art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n

\"fed<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel Tahvil Getirileri Neden Y\u00fckseliyor?<\/h2>\n

Citi\u2019nin takip etti\u011fi 27 b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n 20\u2019si, \u015fubat ay\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha y\u00fcksek faiz tahminlerine sahip. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k devlet tahvili getirileri 60 ila 100 baz puan y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u00fckseli\u015fin arkas\u0131ndaki fakt\u00f6rlerden biri, ekonomiyi ne te\u015fvik eden ne de yava\u015flatan n\u00f6tr faiz oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi. Fed\u2019in n\u00f6tr faiz tahmini y\u00fczde 3,2 seviyesine ula\u015f\u0131rken bu oran 2024 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki seviyenin 70 baz puan \u00fczerinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli unsur ise yapay zeka yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f. Citi, AI yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n giderek daha fazla uzun vadeli kredi piyasalar\u0131na dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bunun k\u00fcresel finansman ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 etkiledi\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

Japonya Ve Asya Piyasalar\u0131nda Ne De\u011fi\u015fiyor?<\/h2>\n

Citi, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 2027 sonuna kadar \u00fc\u00e7 kez daha faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Bu senaryonun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde Japonya\u2019daki politika faizi y\u00fczde 2 seviyesine ula\u015facak.<\/p>\n

Japonya\u2019n\u0131n ABD Hazine tahvillerindeki b\u00fcy\u00fck pay\u0131 nedeniyle Washington da \u00fclkenin tahvil piyasas\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan takip ediyor. Japonya, yabanc\u0131 \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda ABD Hazinesi tahvillerinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck sahiplerinden biri konumunda.<\/p>\n

Yapay zeka yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n etkisi yaln\u0131zca Japonya ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalm\u0131yor. Citi, AI harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n teknoloji tedarik zincirleri \u00fczerinden G\u00fcney Kore, Tayvan ve \u00c7in ekonomilerine de yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

Citi\u2019ye g\u00f6re enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kazan\u0131labilir durumda ancak s\u00fcre\u00e7 hen\u00fcz tamamlanm\u0131\u015f de\u011fil. Petrol\u00fcn uzun s\u00fcre 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 ise daha y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve daha zay\u0131f ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme riskini art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Citi Research, piyasan\u0131n ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (Fed) bekledi\u011fi agresif faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekten gerekli olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sorguluyor. Banka, k\u00fcresel man\u015fet enflasyonun bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,5 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini beklese de \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde daha sert bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma i\u00e7in gerek\u00e7elerin zay\u0131flayabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Fed, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131rd\u0131. Citi, bu karar\u0131 ekonominin dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131 ve enflasyonun hedefin \u00fczerinde seyretmesiyle ili\u015fkilendiriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":202866,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9692,1512],"tags":[12,207,13976,10574,15817,413,828,224],"class_list":["post-224016","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","category-haber","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-citi","tag-faiz-artisi","tag-faiz-indirimi","tag-fed","tag-kripto-para","tag-yatirim"],"yoast_head":"\nFed Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131 Yapacak M\u0131? Citi De\u011ferlendirdi! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Citi Research, piyasan\u0131n ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (Fed) bekledi\u011fi agresif faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekten gerekli olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sorguluyor.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-faiz-artisi-yapacak-mi-citi-degerlendirdi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fed Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131 Yapacak M\u0131? 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