{"id":223750,"date":"2026-09-29T16:00:15","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T13:00:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=223750"},"modified":"2026-09-29T10:48:09","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T07:48:09","slug":"bitcoin-icin-guclu-rallinin-sifresi-293-gunluk-sinyal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-icin-guclu-rallinin-sifresi-293-gunluk-sinyal\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Rallinin \u015eifresi: 293 G\u00fcnl\u00fck Sinyal!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/strong>, 8 Eyl\u00fcl’de 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamay\u0131 yukar\u0131 kesmesiyle golden cross<\/a> olu\u015fturdu. Binance<\/a> Research’e g\u00f6re bu kesi\u015fimin \u00f6ncesinde BTC’nin 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda ge\u00e7irdi\u011fi 293 g\u00fcn, mevcut toparlanman\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc hakk\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir ipucu verebilir.<\/p>\n

Binance Research, son haftal\u0131k raporunda bu sinyali ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki 12 golden cross \u00f6rne\u011fiyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Ara\u015ft\u0131rma, Bitcoin’in uzun s\u00fcreli trend kayb\u0131ndan sonra verdi\u011fi golden cross sinyallerini \u201cs\u0131\u011f reset\u201d ve \u201cderin donma\u201d \u015feklinde iki gruba ay\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Golden Cross Sonras\u0131 Ne Kadar Y\u00fckseldi?<\/h2>\n

Golden cross, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamay\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ge\u00e7mesiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Binance Research ise ge\u00e7mi\u015f \u00f6rnekleri de\u011ferlendirirken yaln\u0131zca kesi\u015fime de\u011fil, Bitcoin’in \u00f6nceki 12 ay i\u00e7inde 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda ka\u00e7 g\u00fcn kapand\u0131\u011f\u0131na odakland\u0131.<\/p>\n

En az 150 g\u00fcn boyunca bu ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalan alt\u0131 golden cross \u00f6rne\u011finde Bitcoin, takip eden bir y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 100 ile y\u00fczde 600 aras\u0131nda zirve kazan\u00e7lar kaydetti. Daha k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli d\u00fczeltmelerin ard\u0131ndan olu\u015fan di\u011fer alt\u0131 kesi\u015fimde ise performans daha de\u011fi\u015fken oldu ve d\u00f6rt \u00f6rne\u011fin zirve getirisi y\u00fczde 100’\u00fcn alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ancak daha uzun s\u00fcre trendin alt\u0131nda kalmak otomatik olarak daha y\u00fcksek getiri anlam\u0131na gelmedi. Binance’in verilerinde en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareketler \u015eubat ve May\u0131s 2020’de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc ve bu d\u00f6nemlerde Bitcoin’in 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcre 150 g\u00fcn\u00fcn biraz \u00fczerindeydi.<\/p>\n

293 G\u00fcnl\u00fck Reset Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte Neye Kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Geliyor?<\/h2>\n

Mevcut tabloya en yak\u0131n \u00f6rneklerden biri Ekim 2015’te g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bitcoin o d\u00f6nemde yakla\u015f\u0131k 297 g\u00fcn boyunca 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131ktan sonra golden cross olu\u015fturdu ve sonraki 12 ay i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 150 seviyesinde zirve kazan\u00e7 elde etti.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin i\u00e7in ikinci \u00f6nemli teknik geli\u015fme ise 20 Eyl\u00fcl’de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. BTC, 81.159 dolar seviyesindeki haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015fla 9 Kas\u0131m 2025’ten bu yana ilk kez 50 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle mevcut golden cross ile haftal\u0131k ortalama \u00fczerindeki kapan\u0131\u015f birlikte de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, piyasa analizi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan iki \u00f6nemli uzun vadeli teknik veri ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\"bitcoin<\/p>\n

Makro Bask\u0131 Bitcoin Rallisini S\u0131n\u0131rlar M\u0131?<\/h2>\n

Binance Research, \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u00f6nemli s\u0131n\u0131rlamalar\u0131 bulundu\u011funun da alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor. Veriler, Bitcoin’i tam bir y\u0131l elde tutman\u0131n getirisini de\u011fil, takip eden 12 ay i\u00e7erisindeki zirve kazanc\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca \u00f6rneklemin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ve baz\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerin birbiriyle \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fmesi, ge\u00e7mi\u015f performans\u0131n gelece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6rme g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc azalt\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcncel makroekonomik ortam da teknik sinyal i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir test olu\u015fturuyor. Brent petrol\u00fcn 103 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, ekonomik aktivite g\u00f6stergesinin 62 ay\u0131n zirvesine ula\u015fmas\u0131 ve bir ABD Hazine tahvili ihalesinde zay\u0131f talep g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi tahvil getirilerini yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

25 Eyl\u00fcl itibar\u0131yla ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine tahvilinin getirisi y\u00fczde 5,17’ye y\u00fckseldi. Bu seviye 2007’den bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en y\u00fcksek de\u011fer olurken Binance, ekim ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ihtimalinin de yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 70’e y\u00fckseldi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

ETF Talebi Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Neden \u00d6nemli?<\/h2>\n

Y\u00fckselen tahvil getirileri Bitcoin’i son d\u00f6nemdeki 86.000 dolar \u00fczerindeki zirvesinden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Haber yay\u0131na haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken BTC, BeInCrypto Markets verilerine g\u00f6re 83.175 dolar seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte spot piyasadaki talep tamamen zay\u0131flamad\u0131. ABD spot Bitcoin ETF’leri 21 Eyl\u00fcl’de 998,95 milyon dolarl\u0131k net giri\u015f kaydetti. Bu, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki en b\u00fcy\u00fck tek g\u00fcnl\u00fck giri\u015f olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Binance’e g\u00f6re Bitcoin’in toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131 daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde do\u011frulamas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde 50 haftal\u0131k ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 kritik. Bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak PCE fiyat endeksi ve istihdam verileri, hem faiz beklentilerini hem de Bitcoin’in teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc test edecek.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin, 8 Eyl\u00fcl’de 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamay\u0131 yukar\u0131 kesmesiyle golden cross olu\u015fturdu. Binance Research’e g\u00f6re bu kesi\u015fimin \u00f6ncesinde BTC’nin 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda ge\u00e7irdi\u011fi 293 g\u00fcn, mevcut toparlanman\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc hakk\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir ipucu verebilir. Binance Research, son haftal\u0131k raporunda bu sinyali ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki 12 golden cross \u00f6rne\u011fiyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Ara\u015ft\u0131rma, Bitcoin’in uzun s\u00fcreli trend<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":219030,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[25,12,8411,45,207,43689,828,224],"class_list":["post-223750","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-binance","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analiz","tag-bitcoin-fiyati","tag-btc","tag-golden-cross","tag-kripto-para","tag-yatirim"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin \u0130\u00e7in G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Rallinin \u015eifresi: 293 G\u00fcnl\u00fck Sinyal! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin, 8 Eyl\u00fcl'de 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamay\u0131 yukar\u0131 kesmesiyle golden cross olu\u015fturdu.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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