{"id":223588,"date":"2026-09-28T13:00:13","date_gmt":"2026-09-28T10:00:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=223588"},"modified":"2026-09-28T09:16:45","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T06:16:45","slug":"30-eylulde-bitcoini-bekleyen-202-milyar-dolarlik-test","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/30-eylulde-bitcoini-bekleyen-202-milyar-dolarlik-test\/","title":{"rendered":"30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de Bitcoin\u2019i Bekleyen 202 Milyar Dolarl\u0131k Test"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/strong> i\u00e7in eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131n\u0131n son g\u00fcn\u00fc sadece takvimdeki bir tarih de\u011fil. 30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de 202 milyar dolarl\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili<\/strong> kupon takas\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. Bu dev i\u015flem, \u00e7eyrek sonuna denk geldi\u011fi i\u00e7in gecelik fonlama piyasas\u0131n\u0131 test edecek. As\u0131l soru ise daha sonra geliyor: Para piyasas\u0131nda olu\u015fabilecek bask\u0131 Bitcoin\u2019e kadar ula\u015facak m\u0131?<\/p>\n

202 milyar dolar\u0131n tamam\u0131 piyasadan \u00e7ekilmeyecek<\/h3>\n

ABD Hazine takvimine g\u00f6re 30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de d\u00f6rt tahvilin \u00f6demesi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. Bunlar 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyona endeksli tahvil ile 2, 5 ve 7 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvillerden olu\u015fuyor.<\/p>\n

Bu tahvillerin halka a\u00e7\u0131k nominal de\u011ferleri s\u0131ras\u0131yla 19 milyar, 69 milyar, 70 milyar ve 44 milyar dolar. Toplam rakam b\u00f6ylece 202 milyar dolara ula\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ancak burada \u00f6nemli bir ayr\u0131nt\u0131 var. Hazine ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn 143,58 milyar dolarl\u0131k mevcut kupon borcunun vadesini de \u00f6deyecek.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle piyasaya gelen net yeni tahvil miktar\u0131 58,42 milyar dolar olacak.<\/p>\n

Fakat 58,42 milyar dolar\u0131 do\u011frudan piyasadan \u00e7ekilen nakit olarak g\u00f6rmek do\u011fru de\u011fil. Bu rakam yaln\u0131zca vadesi gelen borcun \u00fczerinde kalan yeni tahvil miktar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Hazine\u2019nin harcamalar\u0131, tahvillerin nihai fiyatlar\u0131 ve enflasyon ayarlamalar\u0131 ger\u00e7ek nakit etkisini de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir.<\/p>\n

Kritik g\u00f6sterge: Gecelik bor\u00e7lanma maliyeti<\/h3>\n

30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de dikkatler bu y\u00fczden repo piyasas\u0131na ve SOFR’a \u00e7evrilecek.<\/p>\n

SOFR, finans kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ABD Hazine tahvillerini teminat g\u00f6stererek gecelik bor\u00e7lan\u0131rken kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 maliyeti g\u00f6steren \u00f6nemli bir faiz oran\u0131. Basit\u00e7e s\u00f6ylemek gerekirse, piyasada gecelik para bulman\u0131n ne kadar pahal\u0131 oldu\u011funu anlat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

En son a\u00e7\u0131klanan 24 Eyl\u00fcl verisinde SOFR %3,88 seviyesindeydi. Oran 18 ve 21 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de %3,85 olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

SOFR b\u00f6ylece hafif y\u00fckseldi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n Federal Home Loan Bank of New York, finansman piyasas\u0131n\u0131n halen sakin oldu\u011funu belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

Yine de 30 Eyl\u00fcl farkl\u0131 olabilir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck Hazine takas\u0131 \u00e7eyrek sonuyla ayn\u0131 g\u00fcne denk geliyor.<\/p>\n

Fed taraf\u0131nda da kritik bir ayr\u0131m var<\/h3>\n

New York Fed\u2019in mevcut program\u0131, 15 Eyl\u00fcl-14 Ekim d\u00f6neminde yakla\u015f\u0131k 15,6 milyar dolarl\u0131k yeniden yat\u0131r\u0131m al\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ancak bu d\u00f6nemde ayr\u0131ca rezerv eklemeye y\u00f6nelik al\u0131m yap\u0131lmayacak.<\/p>\n

Buradaki ayr\u0131m \u00f6nemli. Fed, vadesi gelen mortgage menkul k\u0131ymetlerinden gelen anaparay\u0131 Hazine bonolar\u0131na yeniden yat\u0131rmaya devam ediyor. Fakat bankac\u0131l\u0131k sistemine yeni rezerv ekleyen ayr\u0131 program \u015fu anda devrede de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

New York Fed yetkilisi Roberto Perli de 22 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de rezervlerin yeterli g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve fonlama piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fczenli kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin i\u00e7in ikinci sinyal t\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131ndan gelecek<\/h3>\n

Hazine i\u015flemi tek ba\u015f\u0131na Bitcoin\u2019in y\u00fckselece\u011fi veya d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelmiyor.<\/p>\n

Buradaki ba\u011flant\u0131 daha dolayl\u0131. \u00d6nce Hazine arz\u0131 ve repo piyasas\u0131 izlenecek. Ard\u0131ndan SOFR\u2019da belirgin bir hareket olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na bak\u0131lacak.<\/p>\n

Sonras\u0131nda g\u00f6zler BTC<\/a> t\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131na \u00e7evrilecek.<\/p>\n

\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc para piyasas\u0131nda olu\u015fabilecek bask\u0131n\u0131n Bitcoin\u2019e ger\u00e7ekten ula\u015f\u0131p ula\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Bitcoin fonlama oranlar\u0131 ve t\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131ndaki hareketler daha net g\u00f6sterebilir.<\/p>\n

\u015eimdilik ortada \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f bir nakit s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yok. Finansman ko\u015fullar\u0131 da sakin.<\/p>\n

Ama 30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de takip edilecek zincir olduk\u00e7a net:<\/p>\n

202 milyar dolarl\u0131k Hazine takas\u0131 \u2192 repo piyasas\u0131 \u2192 SOFR \u2192 Bitcoin t\u00fcrevleri<\/p>\n

\u0130lk halkada ne olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. As\u0131l merak edilen, bask\u0131n\u0131n sonraki halkalara ge\u00e7ip ge\u00e7meyece\u011fi.<\/p>\n

\n

Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin i\u00e7in eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131n\u0131n son g\u00fcn\u00fc sadece takvimdeki bir tarih de\u011fil. 30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de 202 milyar dolarl\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili kupon takas\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. Bu dev i\u015flem, \u00e7eyrek sonuna denk geldi\u011fi i\u00e7in gecelik fonlama piyasas\u0131n\u0131 test edecek. As\u0131l soru ise daha sonra geliyor: Para piyasas\u0131nda olu\u015fabilecek bask\u0131 Bitcoin\u2019e kadar ula\u015facak m\u0131? 202 milyar dolar\u0131n tamam\u0131 piyasadan \u00e7ekilmeyecek<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":140346,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[18604,12,17653,43481,15443,44177,44176],"class_list":["post-223588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-abd-hazinesi","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-turevleri","tag-dolar-likiditesi","tag-hazine-tahvilleri","tag-repo-piyasasi","tag-sofr"],"yoast_head":"\n30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de Bitcoin\u2019i Bekleyen 202 Milyar Dolarl\u0131k Test - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019deki 202 milyar dolarl\u0131k Hazine takas\u0131 Bitcoin i\u00e7in neden \u00f6nemli? 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