{"id":223296,"date":"2026-09-24T12:00:14","date_gmt":"2026-09-24T09:00:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=223296"},"modified":"2026-09-24T09:18:19","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T06:18:19","slug":"bitcoin-ayi-senaryosu-degisti-benjamin-cowen-yanildim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-ayi-senaryosu-degisti-benjamin-cowen-yanildim\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Ay\u0131 Senaryosu De\u011fi\u015fti: Benjamin Cowen “Yan\u0131ld\u0131m”"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/strong> i\u00e7in daha \u00f6nce temkinli bir tablo \u00e7izen kripto para analisti Benjamin Cowen<\/strong><\/a>, son fiyat hareketlerinin beklentilerini ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul etti. Cowen, Bitcoin\u2019in may\u0131s ay\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc zirveyi a\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyordu ancak BTC bu seviyeyi geride b\u0131rakarak yakla\u015f\u0131k 86 bin dolara kadar y\u00fckseldi. Analiste g\u00f6re mevcut Bitcoin<\/strong> d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc, ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemlerdeki fiyat davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Cowen\u2019\u0131n yan\u0131lg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n temelinde FED politikas\u0131yla ilgili bir varsay\u0131m bulunuyordu. Enerji<\/a> fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesiyle tahvil getirilerinin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bunun FED\u2019i faiz art\u0131rmaya y\u00f6neltece\u011fini ve g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar\u0131n Bitcoin \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n

Faiz Art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 Bitcoin\u2019i Neden Hemen D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmedi?<\/h2>\n

Cowen, enerji fiyatlar\u0131, tahvil faizleri, politika faizi ve dolar konusunda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini belirtiyor. Ancak bekledi\u011fi zincirin son halkas\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi ve Bitcoin de\u011fer kaybetmek yerine dolar ile birlikte y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Analist, ge\u00e7mi\u015f FED faiz art\u0131r\u0131m d\u00f6nemlerini yeniden inceledi\u011finde \u00f6nemli bir ayr\u0131nt\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131. Aral\u0131k 2015 ve Mart 2022’de ba\u015flayan faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde Bitcoin\u2019in ilk faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n hemen ard\u0131ndan mutlaka d\u00fc\u015fmedi\u011fini, baz\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ifade etti.<\/p>\n

Eyl\u00fcl 2018 ve Eyl\u00fcl 2022’deki faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda da benzer bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bitcoin bu kararlar\u0131n hemen ard\u0131ndan sert bir sat\u0131\u015f ya\u015famad\u0131. Cowen, Eyl\u00fcl 2026’daki fiyat hareketlerinin de ge\u00e7mi\u015f \u00f6rneklerle bu a\u00e7\u0131dan tamamen \u00e7eli\u015fmedi\u011fini savunuyor.<\/p>\n

\"bitcoin\"<\/p>\n

Bitcoin D\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnde Hangi De\u011fi\u015fim Ya\u015fand\u0131?<\/h2>\n

Cowen\u2019\u0131n dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fi bir ba\u015fka unsur, mevcut ara se\u00e7im y\u0131l\u0131 d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcndeki performans. Bitcoin, yaz aylar\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc dip seviyeden yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 50 y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan 2018 ve 2022’de benzer d\u00f6nemlerdeki toparlanmalar yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 40 seviyesinde kald\u0131. \u00dcstelik o d\u00f6nemlerde Bitcoin daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck zirveler olu\u015ftururken, mevcut d\u00f6ng\u00fcde BTC daha y\u00fcksek bir tepeye ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu durum Cowen\u2019a g\u00f6re piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131nda dikkate de\u011fer bir de\u011fi\u015fim oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Spot Bitcoin ETF’lerinin devreye girmesi de Bitcoin ile geleneksel finans piyasalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki ba\u011flant\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine katk\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015f olabilir.<\/p>\n

Spot Bitcoin ETF’leri D\u00f6ng\u00fcy\u00fc De\u011fi\u015ftiriyor Mu?<\/h2>\n

Spot ETF’lerin piyasaya dahil olmas\u0131, Bitcoin’in yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 yap\u0131s\u0131nda ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemlere k\u0131yasla farkl\u0131l\u0131k olu\u015fturabilecek fakt\u00f6rlerden biri olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Cowen bu nedenle eski d\u00f6ng\u00fclerin ayn\u0131 bi\u00e7imde tekrarlanaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131na art\u0131k daha temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Analist, k\u0131sa vadede Bitcoin\u2019in ula\u015fabilece\u011fi seviyeye ili\u015fkin kesin bir hedef vermekten de ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131yor. Bunun yerine mevcut y\u00fckseli\u015fi daha \u00f6nce do\u011fru \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendiren analistlerin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerinin dikkate al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, kripto yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ge\u00e7mi\u015f fiyat modellerinin tek ba\u015f\u0131na yeterli olmayabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131, ETF talebi ve makroekonomik ko\u015fullar\u0131n birlikte de\u011ferlendirilmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019de Yeni Dip Riski Tamamen Ortadan Kalkt\u0131 M\u0131?<\/h2>\n

Cowen, y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6nemlerinde Bitcoin\u2019in d\u00fczeltme ya\u015fama ihtimalini tamamen reddetmiyor. Ancak olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmenin ge\u00e7mi\u015fte \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi mutlaka yeni bir dip olu\u015fturmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin daha y\u00fcksek bir zirve olu\u015fturdu\u011fu i\u00e7in gelecek bir d\u00fczeltme, makro \u00f6l\u00e7ekte daha y\u00fcksek bir dip seviyesinde sonlanabilir. Cowen ayr\u0131ca Bitcoin\u2019in ciddi bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015famas\u0131 i\u00e7in hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131nda da daha belirgin bir riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrecinin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n gerekebilece\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

Analiste g\u00f6re S&P 500’de yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 10’luk bir geri \u00e7ekilme, tek ba\u015f\u0131na Bitcoin\u2019i yeni dip seviyelere ta\u015f\u0131mayabilir. Daha kapsaml\u0131 bir riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f hareketi gerekebilir.<\/p>\n

Cowen\u2019\u0131n mevcut de\u011ferlendirmesinde art\u0131k kan\u0131tlama y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fcn ay\u0131lara ge\u00e7ti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bo\u011falar daha y\u00fcksek bir zirve olu\u015fturdu\u011fu i\u00e7in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte ciddi bir zay\u0131fl\u0131k ya\u015fanacaksa bunun piyasa taraf\u0131ndan ayr\u0131ca ortaya konmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin i\u00e7in daha \u00f6nce temkinli bir tablo \u00e7izen kripto para analisti Benjamin Cowen, son fiyat hareketlerinin beklentilerini ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul etti. Cowen, Bitcoin\u2019in may\u0131s ay\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc zirveyi a\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyordu ancak BTC bu seviyeyi geride b\u0131rakarak yakla\u015f\u0131k 86 bin dolara kadar y\u00fckseldi. Analiste g\u00f6re mevcut Bitcoin d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc, ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemlerdeki fiyat davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Cowen\u2019\u0131n yan\u0131lg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":195713,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[13977,12,8411,9987,207,828],"class_list":["post-223296","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-benjamin-cowen","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analiz","tag-bitcoin-fiyat","tag-btc","tag-kripto-para"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Ay\u0131 Senaryosu De\u011fi\u015fti: Benjamin Cowen "Yan\u0131ld\u0131m" - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin i\u00e7in temkinli bir tablo \u00e7izen analist Benjamin Cowen, son fiyat hareketlerinin beklentilerini ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul etti.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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