{"id":222992,"date":"2026-09-20T11:30:55","date_gmt":"2026-09-20T08:30:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=222992"},"modified":"2026-09-20T10:32:12","modified_gmt":"2026-09-20T07:32:12","slug":"bitcoinde-hodl-verisi-boga-sinyali-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoinde-hodl-verisi-boga-sinyali-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Arz\u0131n\u0131n %63\u2019\u00fc HODL\u2019da: Bo\u011fa Sinyali mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/strong> arz\u0131n\u0131n en az bir y\u0131ld\u0131r hareket etmeyen k\u0131sm\u0131 18 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de %63,3\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Oran bir ay \u00f6nce %62,32 seviyesindeydi. \u0130lk bak\u0131\u015fta uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n piyasadan \u00e7ekildi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcren bu tablo, tek ba\u015f\u0131na yeni al\u0131m geldi\u011fini g\u00f6stermiyor. Verinin arkas\u0131ndaki ya\u015f gruplar\u0131 farkl\u0131 bir hikayeye de i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin HODL Verisi Ne G\u00f6steriyor?<\/h2>\n

HODL dalgalar\u0131, Bitcoin\u2019in zincir \u00fczerinde son kez ne zaman hareket etti\u011fini takip ediyor. Arz, bu son hareket tarihine g\u00f6re farkl\u0131 ya\u015f gruplar\u0131na ayr\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle bir Bitcoin\u2019in bir y\u0131ldan uzun s\u00fcredir hareket etmesi, o varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n mutlaka yeni sat\u0131n al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 veya bilin\u00e7li \u015fekilde uzun vadeli tutuldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelmiyor.<\/p>\n

18 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de en az bir y\u0131ld\u0131r hareket etmeyen Bitcoin arz\u0131n\u0131n pay\u0131 %63,3 oldu. Bu oran 18 A\u011fustos\u2019ta %62,32 seviyesindeydi. B\u00f6ylece bir ay i\u00e7inde 0,98 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/p>\n

Peki bu art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekten yeni bir HODL davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 m\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor?<\/p>\n

%63\u2019l\u00fck Art\u0131\u015f Nereden Geldi?<\/h2>\n

Alt ya\u015f gruplar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareketin nas\u0131l olu\u015ftu\u011fu daha net g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 1-2 y\u0131ll\u0131k BTC<\/a> arz\u0131n\u0131n pay\u0131 %13,52\u2019den %14,57\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. B\u00f6ylece bu grup bir ayda 1,05 puan artt\u0131 ve bir y\u0131ldan eski gruplar i\u00e7inde en b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fi kaydetti.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 6-12 ayl\u0131k arz\u0131n pay\u0131 %19,10\u2019dan %17,53\u2019e geriledi. \u0130ki veri birlikte de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, baz\u0131 Bitcoin\u2019lerin zincirde hareket etmeden bekleyerek bir ya\u015f s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fi bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ba\u015fka bir ifadeyle coinler hareket etmedik\u00e7e daha ya\u015fl\u0131 bir gruba ge\u00e7iyor. Bu da bir y\u0131ll\u0131k HODL<\/strong> pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine neden olabiliyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla art\u0131\u015f\u0131n tamam\u0131n\u0131 yeni yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 al\u0131mlar\u0131yla a\u00e7\u0131klamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

\u00dcstelik son bir ay i\u00e7inde hareket eden arz\u0131n pay\u0131 da geriledi. Bir aydan k\u0131sa s\u00fcredir hareket etmi\u015f coinlerin pay\u0131 %7,30\u2019dan %7,03\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

HODL Dalgas\u0131 Neyi Kan\u0131tlam\u0131yor?<\/h2>\n

HODL verisinin en \u00f6nemli s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 burada ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Zincir \u00fczerindeki son hareket ya\u015f\u0131, ger\u00e7ek sahipli\u011fi veya sahibin niyetini tek ba\u015f\u0131na g\u00f6stermiyor.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 ki\u015fiye ait iki c\u00fczdan aras\u0131ndaki transfer, Bitcoin’in zincirde yeniden hareket etmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesine neden olabilir. Ancak ekonomik sahiplik de\u011fi\u015fmemi\u015f olabilir. Benzer \u015fekilde saklama kurulu\u015flar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki transferler de ya\u015f da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebilir.<\/p>\n

Uzun s\u00fcredir hi\u00e7 hareket etmeyen kay\u0131p Bitcoinler de en eski ya\u015f gruplar\u0131nda kalabiliyor. Bu coinler arz\u0131n ya\u015fland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterse de aktif bir yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n bilin\u00e7li bi\u00e7imde sat\u0131\u015ftan \u00e7ekildi\u011fini kan\u0131tlam\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Kas\u0131m 2025\u2019te Coinbase\u2019in ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi i\u00e7 c\u00fczdan ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131 bu ayr\u0131m i\u00e7in somut bir \u00f6rnek olu\u015fturdu. Borsan\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131na g\u00f6re s\u00f6z konusu i\u015flem b\u00fcy\u00fck zincir \u00fcst\u00fc hareketler yaratt\u0131 ancak bunlar piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131ndaki bir de\u011fi\u015fimden kaynaklanm\u0131yordu. Bu \u00f6rnek, on-chain hareketlerin her zaman ekonomik al\u0131m sat\u0131m\u0131 temsil etmedi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Ger\u00e7ek Birikim Var m\u0131?<\/h2>\n

Mevcut veriler, Bitcoin arz\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce hareket eden arz\u0131n pay\u0131n\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak sat\u0131\u015fa haz\u0131r arz\u0131n ger\u00e7ekten daral\u0131p daralmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bu veriden tek ba\u015f\u0131na anlayam\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n

Yeni bir birikim tezini desteklemek i\u00e7in ba\u015fka g\u00f6stergelere de bakmak gerekiyor. \u00d6zellikle varl\u0131k sahiplerini dikkate alan bakiye verileri, borsa giri\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve coinlerin harcama davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 birlikte incelenmeli.<\/p>\n

Bu g\u00f6stergeler de ayn\u0131 y\u00f6nde hareket ederse uzun vadeli sahiplenmenin daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir kan\u0131t\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilir. \u015eimdilik %63,3\u2019l\u00fck HODL verisinin destekledi\u011fi daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 sonu\u00e7 \u015fu: Bitcoin arz\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015f da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 daha eski hale geliyor. Bunun yeni talep anlam\u0131na gelip gelmedi\u011fi ise hen\u00fcz bu veriyle kan\u0131tlanm\u0131\u015f de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

\n

Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin arz\u0131n\u0131n en az bir y\u0131ld\u0131r hareket etmeyen k\u0131sm\u0131 18 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de %63,3\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Oran bir ay \u00f6nce %62,32 seviyesindeydi. \u0130lk bak\u0131\u015fta uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n piyasadan \u00e7ekildi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcren bu tablo, tek ba\u015f\u0131na yeni al\u0131m geldi\u011fini g\u00f6stermiyor. Verinin arkas\u0131ndaki ya\u015f gruplar\u0131 farkl\u0131 bir hikayeye de i\u015faret ediyor. Bitcoin HODL Verisi Ne G\u00f6steriyor? HODL dalgalar\u0131, Bitcoin\u2019in zincir \u00fczerinde<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":213400,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[12,11785,16848,44078,44076,12362,207,44077],"class_list":["post-222992","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analizi","tag-bitcoin-arzi","tag-bitcoin-birikim","tag-bitcoin-hodl","tag-bitcoin-onchain","tag-btc","tag-hodl-dalgasi"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Arz\u0131n\u0131n %63\u2019\u00fc HODL\u2019da: Bo\u011fa Sinyali mi? - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin HODL pay\u0131 ,3\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ancak bu veri yeni al\u0131mlar\u0131 kan\u0131tl\u0131yor mu? 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