{"id":222760,"date":"2026-09-17T12:30:14","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T09:30:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=222760"},"modified":"2026-09-17T09:26:34","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T06:26:34","slug":"bitcoin-faiz-artisina-ragmen-yukseldi-piyasa-ne-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-faiz-artisina-ragmen-yukseldi-piyasa-ne-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131na Ra\u011fmen Y\u00fckseldi: Piyasa Ne Bekliyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fed<\/strong> 2023\u2019ten bu yana ilk kez faiz<\/a> art\u0131rd\u0131 ancak Bitcoin<\/strong> gerilemek yerine y\u00fckseldi. BTC karar \u00f6ncesinde 75.350 dolara kadar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, ard\u0131ndan dakikalar i\u00e7inde 76.100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Peki piyasa neden faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f sinyali olarak okumad\u0131?<\/p>\n

Fed Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 Piyasa Fiyatlad\u0131 m\u0131?<\/h2>\n

Faiz karar\u0131ndan saatler \u00f6nce vadeli i\u015flemler, 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ihtimalini %92,7 seviyesinde g\u00f6steriyordu. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc karar gelmeden \u00f6nce pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 buna g\u00f6re ayarlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin de karar \u00f6ncesinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 75.350 dolara geriledi. Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131ndan birka\u00e7 dakika sonra ise BTC 76.100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD i\u015flemlerinin kapanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Bitcoin 76.500 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve daha sonra yakla\u015f\u0131k 76.138 dolar seviyesinde dengelendi.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7mi\u015f Fed d\u00f6ng\u00fclerine y\u00f6nelik piyasa ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 da beklentinin \u00f6nceden fiyatlanmas\u0131n\u0131n karar sonras\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Hatta baz\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n karar \u00f6ncesi pozisyon almas\u0131, a\u00e7\u0131klaman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine yol a\u00e7abiliyor.<\/p>\n

Fed Daha \u015eahin Olsayd\u0131 Ne Olurdu?<\/h2>\n

Faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n kendisi piyasay\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtmad\u0131. As\u0131l risk, Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n bundan sonra daha uzun s\u00fcre s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duyulaca\u011f\u0131 mesaj\u0131n\u0131 vermesiydi.<\/p>\n

Scott Melker\u2019e g\u00f6re tek seferlik ve inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131, uzun vadeli tahvil getirileri \u00fczerinde sakinle\u015ftirici bir etki bile yaratabilir. Bunun i\u00e7in Warsh\u2019\u0131n daha uzun bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne i\u015faret etmemesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Fed\u2019in g\u00fcncel projeksiyonlar\u0131 ise farkl\u0131 bir ayr\u0131nt\u0131ya i\u015faret ediyor. 18 politika yap\u0131c\u0131s\u0131ndan 16\u2019s\u0131 y\u0131l sonuna kadar bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha bekliyor. Haziran ay\u0131nda bu say\u0131 yaln\u0131zca dokuzdu.<\/p>\n

Buna ra\u011fmen faiz karar\u0131 12-0 oyla al\u0131nd\u0131 ve Fed\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fc bir tonda kald\u0131. Bu nedenle piyasalar, karar\u0131n kendisinden \u00e7ok sonraki d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin mesajlar\u0131 izlemeye devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n <\/strong>da karar sonras\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir y\u00fckseli\u015f ya\u015fad\u0131. Ons fiyat\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klaman\u0131n hemen ard\u0131ndan 4.360 dolara yakla\u015fsa da bu seviyelerde tutunamad\u0131. Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n yeniden devreye girmesiyle fiyat 4.280-4.300 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na indi. B\u00f6ylece ilk hareketin kal\u0131c\u0131 bir risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndan \u00e7ok k\u0131sa vadeli pozisyon de\u011fi\u015fimleriyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Neden H\u00e2l\u00e2 Bask\u0131 Alt\u0131nda?<\/h2>\n

Fed karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesindeki y\u00fckseli\u015fe ra\u011fmen Bitcoin’in haftal\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc tamamen de\u011fi\u015fmi\u015f de\u011fil. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc kripto piyasas\u0131nda Fed d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u00e7ok daha yak\u0131n bir tarihte ya\u015fanan iki \u00f6nemli geli\u015fme bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Bunlardan ilki CLARITY Act\u2019in Senato\u2019da ilerleyememesi oldu. Kripto piyasas\u0131na kapsaml\u0131 bir d\u00fczenleme \u00e7er\u00e7evesi getirmesi beklenen tasar\u0131n\u0131n gerekli deste\u011fi bulamamas\u0131, \u00f6zellikle d\u00fczenleyici netlik bekleyen varl\u0131klarda sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130kinci geli\u015fme ise ETF ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131yd\u0131. Bitcoin ve Ethereum ETF\u2019lerinden 15 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de toplam 592 milyon dolar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu rakam, son aylardaki en sert g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flardan biri olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131na verilen olumlu ilk tepki, piyasadaki di\u011fer bask\u0131lar\u0131n tamamen ortadan kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmiyor.<\/p>\n

S\u0131rada Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Hangi Geli\u015fme Var?<\/h2>\n

Fed\u2019in 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentiler dahilinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu nedenle Bitcoin\u2019in karar sonras\u0131nda y\u00fckselmesi, piyasan\u0131n s\u00fcrpriz bir \u015fekilde daha gev\u015fek politikaya ge\u00e7ti\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelmiyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde as\u0131l soru, 16 Fed yetkilisinin i\u015faret etti\u011fi olas\u0131 yeni faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n piyasa taraf\u0131ndan nas\u0131l fiyatlanaca\u011f\u0131 olacak. Bunun yan\u0131nda CLARITY Act s\u00fcrecinin yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelip gelmeyece\u011fi ve kripto ETF\u2019lerinde \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131n devam edip etmeyece\u011fi de Bitcoin\u2019in y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u015eimdilik fiyat hareketi, Fed karar\u0131n\u0131n tek ba\u015f\u0131na belirleyici olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bitcoin\u2019in 76.000 dolar \u00e7evresindeki kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 koruyup koruyamayaca\u011f\u0131, makro beklentilerle birlikte kripto piyasas\u0131na \u00f6zg\u00fc sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar hafifleyece\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n

\n

Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fed 2023\u2019ten bu yana ilk kez faiz art\u0131rd\u0131 ancak Bitcoin gerilemek yerine y\u00fckseldi. BTC karar \u00f6ncesinde 75.350 dolara kadar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, ard\u0131ndan dakikalar i\u00e7inde 76.100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Peki piyasa neden faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f sinyali olarak okumad\u0131? Fed Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 Piyasa Fiyatlad\u0131 m\u0131? Faiz karar\u0131ndan saatler \u00f6nce vadeli i\u015flemler, 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ihtimalini %92,7 seviyesinde<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":217854,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10836,1512],"tags":[818,45,207,29693,10574,413,7517,37787,13928],"class_list":["post-222760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoin-haberleri","category-haber","tag-bitcoin-etf","tag-bitcoin-fiyati","tag-btc","tag-clarity-act","tag-faiz-artisi","tag-fed","tag-fed-faiz-karari","tag-itcoin","tag-kripto-piyasasi"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131na Ra\u011fmen Y\u00fckseldi: Piyasa Ne Bekliyor? - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin, Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen y\u00fckseldi. 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