{"id":222670,"date":"2026-09-16T15:00:16","date_gmt":"2026-09-16T12:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=222670"},"modified":"2026-09-16T10:33:13","modified_gmt":"2026-09-16T07:33:13","slug":"fed-faiz-artirirsa-borsa-ne-olur-tom-lee-yanitladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-faiz-artirirsa-borsa-ne-olur-tom-lee-yanitladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131rsa Borsa Ne Olur? Tom Lee Yan\u0131tlad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Piyasalar, Fed<\/strong>\u2019in bug\u00fcn 25 baz puan faiz<\/strong><\/a> art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Ancak Tom Lee, bu karar\u0131n borsada d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe de\u011fil, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanmaya yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Lee\u2019ye g\u00f6re faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yeni bir zam ihtimaline ili\u015fkin bask\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 ve tahvil getirilerinin gerilemesi, hisse senetlerine yeniden talep getirebilir. Analist ayr\u0131ca S&P 500\u2019\u00fcn y\u0131l sonunda 8.200 seviyesini a\u015fabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Tom Lee Fed Faiz Karar\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in Ne Bekliyor?<\/h2>\n

Piyasalar bug\u00fcn Fed’den 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bekliyor. Lee de bu y\u00f6nde bir karar \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ancak analistin as\u0131l farkl\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 nokta, bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan piyasalar\u0131n verece\u011fi tepki.<\/p>\n

Lee\u2019ye g\u00f6re faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi, Fed\u2019in daha fazla art\u0131\u015f yapaca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin belirsizli\u011fi azaltabilir. B\u00f6yle bir ortamda Hazine tahvil getirilerinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 gelmesi, hisse senetleri i\u00e7in destekleyici olabilir.<\/p>\n

Lee bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc CNBC’ye yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada da dile getirdi. Analiste g\u00f6re Fed’in enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131na almak i\u00e7in daha h\u0131zl\u0131 hareket etmesi gerekmeyebilir. \u201cFed’in ger\u00e7ekten bu s\u00fcreci h\u0131zland\u0131rmas\u0131 gerekiyor mu bilmiyorum\u201d diyen Lee, art\u0131\u015f\u0131n piyasa bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fini savundu.<\/p>\n

Enflasyonda 4 Ge\u00e7ici Etki Var m\u0131?<\/h2>\n

Lee’nin y\u00fckseli\u015f tezinin \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc enflasyon olu\u015fturuyor. Analist, Goldman Sachs verilerine dayanarak portf\u00f6y \u00fccretleri, flash memory maliyetleri, tarifeler ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00f6rt ge\u00e7ici bask\u0131 unsuru olarak g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Lee\u2019ye g\u00f6re bu d\u00f6rt etki, man\u015fet PCE enflasyonuna toplam 1,7 puan ekliyor. Bu bask\u0131lar\u0131n Fed yeni bir ad\u0131m atmasa bile zaman i\u00e7inde azalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyen Lee, s\u00f6z konusu etkilerin yakla\u015f\u0131k alt\u0131 ay i\u00e7inde hafiflemesiyle PCE enflasyonunda 100 baz puana yak\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanabilece\u011fini hesapl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu senaryoda Fed\u2019in daha fazla faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ihtiyac\u0131 kalmayabilir. Piyasalar bu nedenle karar metnini ve Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n mesajlar\u0131n\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan izleyecek.<\/p>\n

Tom Lee Neden Borsada Ralli Bekliyor?<\/h2>\n

Lee, piyasan\u0131n faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rakmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in ba\u015fka bir ko\u015fulun daha olu\u015ftu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Analiste g\u00f6re yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n elinde h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u00fcksek miktarda nakit bulunuyor. Son d\u00f6nemde arka arkaya ya\u015fanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00fcnleri de piyasalardaki k\u00f6t\u00fcmserli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Lee\u2019ye g\u00f6re bu iki unsur, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanman\u0131n yak\u0131t\u0131 olabilir. Piyasadaki beklentilerin zay\u0131flamas\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yeniden risk almas\u0131yla tersine d\u00f6nebilir.<\/p>\n

Analist ayr\u0131ca \u015firket k\u00e2rlar\u0131n\u0131n hen\u00fcz zirveye ula\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. \u00d6zellikle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyreden konut yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in alan yaratabilece\u011fini belirten Lee, bunun S&P 500 \u015firketlerinin hisse ba\u015f\u0131na kazanc\u0131na 30 ila 50 dolar katk\u0131 sa\u011flayabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

S&P 500 \u0130\u00e7in 8.200 Hedefi<\/h2>\n

Tom Lee, S&P 500\u2019\u00fcn y\u0131l sonunda 8.200 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Teknoloji ve yaz\u0131l\u0131m hisselerinin y\u00fckseli\u015fe \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etmesini bekleyen analist, yapay zek\u00e2 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n ABD ekonomisi ve \u015firket k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki etkisinin de s\u00fcrmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n

Lee, yapay zek\u00e2n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fi ve denetimine ili\u015fkin tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n bu beklentiyi de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi\u011fini belirtiyor. Bu nedenle Lee, AI, teknoloji ve yaz\u0131l\u0131m hisselerini y\u0131l sonu y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosunun \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan sekt\u00f6rleri aras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Tom Lee Daha B\u00fcy\u00fck Bir D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Bekliyor mu?<\/h2>\n

Lee’nin y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisi s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z de\u011fil. Analist, y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir piyasa d\u00fczeltmesi ihtimalini koruyor.<\/p>\n

Bu riskin arkas\u0131nda marj borcu, kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 i\u015flemler ve halka arz (IPO) faaliyetleri var. Lee, bu unsurlar\u0131n piyasada k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Buna ra\u011fmen k\u0131sa vadede k\u00f6t\u00fcmserli\u011fin y\u00fckselmesini olumlu bir sinyal olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Lee’ye g\u00f6re yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 temkinli hale gelmesi, piyasalar\u0131n hen\u00fcz zirveye ula\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6stergelerinden biri olabilir. Nitekim 15 Eyl\u00fcl’deki CNBC yay\u0131n\u0131nda Lee, y\u0131l\u0131n d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finin \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ralli d\u00f6nemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Fed’in bug\u00fcnk\u00fc karar\u0131 bu senaryonun ilk testi olacak. 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n kendisinden \u00e7ok, Warsh’\u0131n bundan sonraki faiz patikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin mesajlar\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Lee’nin \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ralliyi fiyatlay\u0131p fiyatlamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirleyecek.<\/p>\n

\n

Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Piyasalar, Fed\u2019in bug\u00fcn 25 baz puan faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Ancak Tom Lee, bu karar\u0131n borsada d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe de\u011fil, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanmaya yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Lee\u2019ye g\u00f6re faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yeni bir zam ihtimaline ili\u015fkin bask\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 ve tahvil getirilerinin gerilemesi, hisse senetlerine yeniden talep getirebilir. Analist ayr\u0131ca S&P 500\u2019\u00fcn y\u0131l sonunda 8.200 seviyesini a\u015fabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Tom<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":206939,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9692,1512],"tags":[44035,44034,10574,7517,37847,1107,18368,12393],"class_list":["post-222670","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","category-haber","tag-ai-hisseleri","tag-borsa-rallisi","tag-faiz-artisi","tag-fed-faiz-karari","tag-pce-enflasyonu","tag-sp-500","tag-tahvil-getirileri","tag-tom-lee"],"yoast_head":"\nFed Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131rsa Borsa Ne Olur? Tom Lee Yan\u0131tlad\u0131 - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi Tom Lee, 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n borsada ralli yaratabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. 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