{"id":221745,"date":"2026-09-08T16:00:40","date_gmt":"2026-09-08T13:00:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=221745"},"modified":"2026-09-08T10:09:05","modified_gmt":"2026-09-08T07:09:05","slug":"fed-faiz-artirabilir-ubs-yatirim-icin-3-alani-acikladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-faiz-artirabilir-ubs-yatirim-icin-3-alani-acikladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed Faiz Art\u0131rabilir: UBS Yat\u0131r\u0131m \u0130\u00e7in 3 Alan\u0131 A\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131<\/strong>‘n\u0131n eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz<\/strong> art\u0131rabilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin beklentiler yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcnde kritik bir soru olu\u015ftu: Fed daha y\u00fcksek faiz d\u00f6nemine d\u00f6nerse para hangi varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelecek?<\/p>\n

UBS, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verisinin ard\u0131ndan 2026 i\u00e7in faiz beklentisini de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. Banka art\u0131k Fed’in eyl\u00fcl ve aral\u0131k toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda 25’er baz puanl\u0131k iki faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Piyasalarda da eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimali %60 seviyesine yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Ancak UBS’nin dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fi nokta yaln\u0131zca Fed’in faiz karar\u0131 de\u011fil. Bankaya g\u00f6re yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n as\u0131l bakmas\u0131 gereken konu, faizin neden art\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme nedeniyle gelen bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile enflasyonu kontrol etmek i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan art\u0131\u015f\u0131n hisse, tahvil ve alt\u0131n \u00fczerindeki etkisi ayn\u0131 olmayabilir.<\/p>\n

Fed Neden Bir Anda Yeniden Faiz Art\u0131rabilir?<\/span><\/h2>\n

ABD ekonomisinden gelen son veri piyasalar\u0131n hesaplar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n

A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam 162 bin artt\u0131. Reuters anketindeki beklenti ise 56 bin seviyesindeydi. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 da %4,1’de kald\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verisi, Fed’in faizleri yeniden art\u0131rabilece\u011fi ihtimalini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/p>\n

UBS de bu verinin ard\u0131ndan \u00f6nceki tahminini de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. Banka daha \u00f6nce 2026’da Fed’den herhangi bir faiz de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi beklemiyordu. \u015eimdi ise eyl\u00fcl ve aral\u0131k aylar\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k iki art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Peki bu senaryo ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 ne yapmal\u0131?<\/p>\n

UBS’nin burada dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fi \u00fc\u00e7 alan var.<\/p>\n

UBS \u0130lk Olarak Hisselerdeki D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flere Bak\u0131yor<\/span><\/h2>\n

UBS, \u015firketlerin k\u00e2r beklentileri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece hisse senetlerindeki geri \u00e7ekilmelerin al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olu\u015fturabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bankan\u0131n \u00f6zellikle yapay zeka, enerji altyap\u0131s\u0131, kaynaklar ve uzun ya\u015fam temas\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 \u015firketleri tercih etti\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Buradaki kritik ayr\u0131nt\u0131 ise faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n tek ba\u015f\u0131na hisse senetlerinden ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f anlam\u0131na gelmemesi. E\u011fer Fed g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme nedeniyle faiz art\u0131r\u0131yorsa, \u015firketlerin k\u00e2r g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc bozulmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece hisse piyasalar\u0131nda tamamen farkl\u0131 bir tablo olu\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n

Yani UBS’nin mesaj\u0131 \u015fu noktada yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131yor: Faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 geliyor diye her d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ayn\u0131 anlama gelmeyebilir.<\/p>\n

Tahvillerde UBS’nin Tercihi Neden De\u011fi\u015fti?<\/span><\/h2>\n

UBS’nin ikinci dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fi alan tahviller.<\/p>\n

Bankaya g\u00f6re son d\u00f6nemde y\u00fckselen tahvil getirileri, \u00f6zellikle orta ve uzun vadeli tahvillerde daha cazip seviyeler olu\u015fturdu.<\/p>\n

Fakat UBS’nin burada \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi var. Banka daha \u00f6nce k\u0131sa ve orta vadeli tahvilleri nakde alternatif olarak de\u011ferlendirmeyi \u00f6nerirken, art\u0131k bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n

Bunun yerine getiri e\u011frisinin daha uzun vadeli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne odaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu de\u011fi\u015fiklik, Fed’in faiz patikas\u0131n\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n tahvil tercihlerinde de yeniden hesaplama yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Fed Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131rken Alt\u0131n Neden H\u00e2l\u00e2 Listede?<\/span><\/h2>\n

As\u0131l dikkat \u00e7ekici tercih ise alt\u0131n.<\/p>\n

Normal \u015fartlarda daha y\u00fcksek faiz beklentisi alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturabilir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc alt\u0131n faiz geliri sa\u011flam\u0131yor. Buna ra\u011fmen UBS, de\u011ferli metali portf\u00f6ylerde koruma ve \u00e7e\u015fitlendirme arac\u0131 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bunun arkas\u0131nda yaln\u0131zca Fed yok.<\/p>\n

Kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon riski, mali politikalara ili\u015fkin endi\u015feler ve jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler alt\u0131n\u0131n cazibesini destekleyebiliyor. Reuters’\u0131n 8 Eyl\u00fcl tarihli haberinde de yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n bu hafta ABD enflasyon verilerine odakland\u0131\u011f\u0131, dolar\u0131n bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve jeopolitik risklerin enerji fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden piyasalar\u0131 etkiledi\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Marex analisti Edward Meir de olas\u0131 bir Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde \u00e7ok sert bir sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fturmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemiyor. Piyasalar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n kendisinden ziyade Fed’in ve ABD Hazine Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131’n\u0131n verece\u011fi mesajlar\u0131n daha belirleyici olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla burada ilgin\u00e7 bir \u00e7eli\u015fki ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor: Fed faiz art\u0131rabilir ama alt\u0131n yine de yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n radar\u0131nda kalabilir.<\/p>\n

UBS’nin Senaryosunu ABD Enflasyonu De\u011fi\u015ftirebilir<\/span><\/h2>\n

\u015eimdi g\u00f6zler yeniden ABD enflasyon verilerine \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n

A\u011fustos ay\u0131 T\u00dcFE verisi 11 Eyl\u00fcl’de, Fed’in 15-16 Eyl\u00fcl’deki toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan hemen \u00f6nce a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Piyasalar, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verisinin ard\u0131ndan enflasyonun da y\u00fcksek gelip gelmeyece\u011fini g\u00f6rmek istiyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Fed’in \u00f6n\u00fcndeki tablo hen\u00fcz kesinle\u015fmi\u015f de\u011fil. Fed Guvern\u00f6r\u00fc Christopher Waller, enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n azalmaya devam etmesi halinde faizlerin sabit tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bu nedenle cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak T\u00dcFE, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenip g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeyece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik olacak.<\/p>\n

G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam Fed’i daha \u015fahin bir noktaya ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131, UBS ise 2026 i\u00e7in iki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklemeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Ancak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcndeki as\u0131l soru h\u00e2l\u00e2 cevab\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor: Fed ger\u00e7ekten faiz art\u0131r\u0131rsa, piyasalar bunu ekonomik g\u00fcc\u00fcn i\u015fareti olarak m\u0131 g\u00f6recek, yoksa yeni bir bask\u0131 dalgas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olarak m\u0131 fiyatlayacak?<\/p>\n

\n

Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131‘n\u0131n eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin beklentiler yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcnde kritik bir soru olu\u015ftu: Fed daha y\u00fcksek faiz d\u00f6nemine d\u00f6nerse para hangi varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelecek? UBS, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verisinin ard\u0131ndan 2026 i\u00e7in faiz beklentisini de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. Banka art\u0131k Fed’in eyl\u00fcl ve aral\u0131k toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda 25’er baz puanl\u0131k iki faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Piyasalarda da eyl\u00fcl<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":164362,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1512],"tags":[13978,6043,10574,413,29042,7517,17777,698,3092,1661],"class_list":["post-221745","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-haber","tag-abd-enflasyonu","tag-altin","tag-faiz-artisi","tag-fed","tag-fed-faiz-artirimi","tag-fed-faiz-karari","tag-hisse-senetleri","tag-tahvil","tag-tufe","tag-ubs"],"yoast_head":"\nFed Faiz Art\u0131rabilir: UBS Yat\u0131r\u0131m \u0130\u00e7in 3 Alan\u0131 A\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131 - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed faiz art\u0131rabilir. UBS, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n paras\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilece\u011fi 3 alan\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. 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