{"id":220597,"date":"2026-08-28T17:30:47","date_gmt":"2026-08-28T14:30:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=220597"},"modified":"2026-08-28T17:33:39","modified_gmt":"2026-08-28T14:33:39","slug":"fed-baskani-konustu-altin-dustu-faiz-ihtimali-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-baskani-konustu-altin-dustu-faiz-ihtimali-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"FED Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Konu\u015ftu, Alt\u0131n D\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: Faiz \u0130htimali Y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh<\/strong><\/a>\u2019\u0131n Jackson Hole konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ons alt\u0131n 4.550 dolar b\u00f6lgesine kadar geriledi. Warsh, enflasyonun Fed\u2019in y\u00fczde 2 hedefine do\u011fru yeterince h\u0131zl\u0131 ilerlememesi halinde daha fazla ad\u0131m at\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Piyasa da bu mesaj\u0131n ard\u0131ndan eyl\u00fcl faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 50 olarak fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Warsh\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde 4.600 dolar civar\u0131nda tutunan ons alt\u0131n, a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131. TradingView verisindeki son fiyat 4.561,70 dolar seviyesinde bulunurken g\u00fcn i\u00e7indeki en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.543,80 dolar oldu.<\/p>\n

De\u011ferli metal hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda 4.696,18 dolara kadar \u00e7\u0131karak \u00fc\u00e7 aydan uzun s\u00fcrenin en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. B\u00f6ylece haftan\u0131n zirvesinden itibaren geri \u00e7ekilme yakla\u015f\u0131k 135 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Warsh Alt\u0131n Fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 Neden Bask\u0131lad\u0131?<\/h2>\n

Piyasan\u0131n dikkatini \u00e7eken nokta Warsh\u2019\u0131n enflasyon mesaj\u0131 oldu. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131, temel enflasyonun y\u00fczde 2 hedefine \u201ca\u00e7\u0131k ve yeterli h\u0131zda\u201d ilerledi\u011fine dair g\u00fcven olu\u015fmamas\u0131 halinde merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n daha fazla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 gerekece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Warsh do\u011frudan bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 takvimi vermedi ve konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck y\u00f6nlendirme olarak de\u011ferlendirilmemesi gerekti\u011fini de vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Buna ra\u011fmen mesaj\u0131n tonu piyasada \u015fahin alg\u0131land\u0131. Warsh, son iki y\u0131ldaki enflasyon ilerlemesinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtirken Fed\u2019in tercih etti\u011fi PCE g\u00f6stergesinin temmuz itibar\u0131yla y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 3,7 seviyesinde bulundu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekti. Ayr\u0131ca PCE sepetindeki \u00fcr\u00fcn ve hizmetlerin yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 3\u2019ten daha h\u0131zl\u0131 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Warsh ayr\u0131ca ekonominin diren\u00e7li g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve mevcut faiz seviyesinde kredi ile kredi piyasalar\u0131nda para politikas\u0131n\u0131n belirgin bir k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 etkisinin g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi\u011fini belirtti. Bu de\u011ferlendirme, enflasyon y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rsa daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir para politikas\u0131n\u0131n yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fi beklentisini destekledi.<\/p>\n

Faiz beklentilerindeki de\u011fi\u015fim de alt\u0131n \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Faiz getirisi sa\u011flamayan de\u011ferli metal, y\u00fcksek faiz beklentilerinden olumsuz etkilenebiliyor.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Fed Eyl\u00fcl’de Faiz Art\u0131racak m\u0131?<\/h2>\n

CME FedWatch verilerine g\u00f6re Warsh\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan piyasalar, 15-16 Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 50 olarak fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu oran cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc konu\u015fma \u00f6ncesinde yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 40 seviyesindeydi. Ayn\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te ABD\u2019nin 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine tahvili getirisi de yakla\u015f\u0131k bir ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Piyasan\u0131n daha \u00f6nceki beklentisiyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fim belirgin. Konu\u015fma \u00f6ncesinde eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimali yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7te bir seviyesindeydi. Aral\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar en az bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimali ise y\u00fczde 90\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerindeydi.<\/p>\n

Temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131nda da \u00fc\u00e7 Fed yetkilisinin faizlerin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oy kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatmak gerekiyor. Politika faizi o tarihten bu yana y\u00fczde 3,50-%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131nda 4.600 Dolar Seviyesi Kaybedildi<\/h2>\n

Ons alt\u0131n sabah saatlerinde 4.600 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunuyordu. Warsh\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda ise bu seviyenin alt\u0131na \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n

TradingView ekran\u0131ndaki son fiyat 4.561,70 dolar, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.543,80 dolar. Haftan\u0131n 4.696,18 dolarl\u0131k zirvesiyle k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda geri \u00e7ekilme yakla\u015f\u0131k 135 dolar\u0131 buluyor.<\/p>\n

Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n devam edip etmeyece\u011fi ise hen\u00fcz net de\u011fil. Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in daha \u00f6nce \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan 4.520 dolar civar\u0131ndaki destek bu nedenle yak\u0131ndan izlenebilir. Fiyat\u0131n yeniden 4.600 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ise k\u0131sa vadeli bask\u0131n\u0131n hafifledi\u011fine dair ilk sinyallerden biri olabilir.<\/p>\n

Dolar endeksi (DXY) de Warsh’\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. DXY 99,511 seviyesine y\u00fckselirken g\u00fcnl\u00fck kazan\u00e7 %0,39 oldu. Dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131, dolar cinsinden fiyatlanan alt\u0131n \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Gram Alt\u0131n Ne Durumda?<\/h2>\n

Ons alt\u0131ndaki sert hareket T\u00fcrkiye piyasas\u0131na da yans\u0131d\u0131. G\u00fcncel verilerde gram alt\u0131n 7.060 TL seviyesine gerilerken \u00e7eyrek alt\u0131n 11.563 TL civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Gram alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck kayb\u0131 y\u00fczde 0,88, \u00e7eyrek alt\u0131n\u0131n kayb\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 0,71 seviyesinde.<\/p>\n

Ancak gram alt\u0131n yaln\u0131zca ons fiyat\u0131n\u0131 takip etmiyor. Dolar\/TL de fiyatlamada belirleyici oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in k\u00fcresel alt\u0131ndaki hareketin T\u00fcrkiye’deki fiyatlara ayn\u0131 oranda yans\u0131mas\u0131 gerekmiyor.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle ons alt\u0131ndaki yakla\u015f\u0131k 135 dolarl\u0131k zirve kayb\u0131na ra\u011fmen gram alt\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn boyutu farkl\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in S\u0131rada Ne Var?<\/h2>\n

\u015eimdi piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda Warsh\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131ndan \u00e7ok, bu mesaj\u0131n faiz fiyatlamas\u0131 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131 bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Warsh do\u011frudan bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tarihi vermedi. Ancak enflasyonun y\u00fczde 2 hedefine yeterince h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00f6nmemesi halinde Fed\u2019in harekete ge\u00e7mesi gerekebilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k bi\u00e7imde ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n

Fed\u2019in bir sonraki toplant\u0131s\u0131 15-16 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de yap\u0131lacak. Bu tarihe kadar a\u00e7\u0131klanacak i\u015fsizlik, istihdam ve t\u00fcketici enflasyonu verileri beklentileri yeniden de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir.<\/p>\n

\u015eimdilik tablo net: Warsh\u2019\u0131n enflasyon mesaj\u0131 sonras\u0131 eyl\u00fcl faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimali yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 50\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131karken ons alt\u0131n 4.550 dolar b\u00f6lgesine kadar geriledi. Alt\u0131n\u0131n yeniden 4.600 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p \u00e7\u0131kamayaca\u011f\u0131 kadar, 4.520 dolar civar\u0131ndaki deste\u011fin korunup korunmayaca\u011f\u0131 da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hareketin y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\n

Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n Jackson Hole konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ons alt\u0131n 4.550 dolar b\u00f6lgesine kadar geriledi. Warsh, enflasyonun Fed\u2019in y\u00fczde 2 hedefine do\u011fru yeterince h\u0131zl\u0131 ilerlememesi halinde daha fazla ad\u0131m at\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Piyasa da bu mesaj\u0131n ard\u0131ndan eyl\u00fcl faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 50 olarak fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Warsh\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde 4.600 dolar civar\u0131nda tutunan ons<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":220561,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1512],"tags":[39878,20033,43770,10574,10127,11691,10141,28345,1488],"class_list":["post-220597","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-haber","tag-altin-dususu","tag-altin-fiyatlari","tag-eylul-fed-karari","tag-faiz-artisi","tag-fed-faiz","tag-gram-altin","tag-jackson-hole","tag-kevin-warsh","tag-ons-altin"],"yoast_head":"\nFED Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Konu\u015ftu, Alt\u0131n D\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: Faiz \u0130htimali Y\u00fckseldi - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Warsh'\u0131n Jackson Hole mesaj\u0131 sonras\u0131 alt\u0131n 4.550 dolara geriledi. 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