{"id":220408,"date":"2026-08-27T17:00:26","date_gmt":"2026-08-27T14:00:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=220408"},"modified":"2026-08-27T10:07:07","modified_gmt":"2026-08-27T07:07:07","slug":"kriptoda-kritik-fed-gunu-kevin-warshin-mesaji-ne-olacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/kriptoda-kritik-fed-gunu-kevin-warshin-mesaji-ne-olacak\/","title":{"rendered":"Kriptoda Kritik Fed G\u00fcn\u00fc: Kevin Warsh’\u0131n Mesaj\u0131 Ne Olacak?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fed<\/strong><\/a> Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh<\/strong>, may\u0131s ay\u0131nda g\u00f6reve ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana ekonomi ve para politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kamuoyundan uzak tuttu. CNBC’nin anketine kat\u0131lan ekonomistlerin %80’i ise Warsh’\u0131n cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Jackson Hole’da ekonomik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelerini daha a\u00e7\u0131k anlatmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n

CNBC’nin 31 ekonomist, stratejist ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131yla yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ankette Warsh’\u0131n ilk b\u00fcy\u00fck Jackson Hole<\/strong> konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l ge\u00e7ece\u011fine ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler olduk\u00e7a par\u00e7al\u0131. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n %48’i faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnden s\u00f6z etmesi gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrken, %48’i bunun gerekli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunuyor.<\/p>\n

As\u0131l soru ise cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Warsh’\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k sessizli\u011fini bozup bozmayaca\u011f\u0131.<\/p>\n

Warsh Neden \u00dc\u00e7 Ayd\u0131r Sessiz?<\/h2>\n

Warsh, may\u0131s ay\u0131nda Fed ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 devrald\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan beri ekonomi veya politika g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc hakk\u0131nda \u00f6nceki Fed ba\u015fkanlar\u0131na k\u0131yasla \u00e7ok daha az konu\u015ftu. Kendisi bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n piyasadaki fiyatlamalar\u0131 Fed’in y\u00f6nlendirmesinden daha ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z g\u00f6zlemlemesini sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunuyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak bu sessizlik Wall Street’te tart\u0131\u015fma yaratm\u0131\u015f durumda. Ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n %45’i Warsh’\u0131n cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc faiz<\/strong>lere ili\u015fkin hi\u00e7bir mesaj vermeyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. %32’lik kesim ise daha \u015fahin bir ton beklerken, %19’u n\u00f6tr bir konu\u015fma \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Economist Enterprise ba\u015fekonomisti Constance Hunter, bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n Fed’in politika tepkisini do\u011frudan anlatma g\u00f6revini di\u011fer yetkililerin konu\u015fmalar\u0131na b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunuyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan Warsh’\u0131n daha az konu\u015fup piyasa sinyallerine daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verme fikri tamamen kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ks\u0131z de\u011fil. Ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n %65’i, Fed’in faizler konusunda daha az konu\u015fmas\u0131 ve piyasa fiyatlamalar\u0131na daha fazla g\u00fcvenmesi gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Warsh’\u0131n Enflasyon Plan\u0131nda Fed B\u00f6l\u00fcnd\u00fc m\u00fc?<\/h2>\n

Tart\u0131\u015fma yaln\u0131zca ileti\u015fim politikas\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fil. Warsh’\u0131n Fed’in enflasyon \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yapmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc daha geni\u015f de\u011fi\u015fiklikler konusunda da g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f birli\u011fi bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n

Ankette kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar, FOMC’nin \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun Warsh’\u0131n enflasyon \u00e7er\u00e7evesi reformunu destekleyip desteklemedi\u011fi konusunda %40’a %40 oran\u0131nda b\u00f6l\u00fcnd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Bu tablo, cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc konu\u015fmay\u0131 daha \u00f6nemli hale getiriyor. Warsh’\u0131n yaln\u0131zca faizlerin gelece\u011fine de\u011fil, Fed’in enflasyonu nas\u0131l de\u011ferlendirece\u011fine ili\u015fkin yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131na verece\u011fi sinyaller de piyasada kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k bulabilir.<\/p>\n

Bessent’in Tahvil Hamlesi Neden Sorgulan\u0131yor?<\/h2>\n

Warsh’\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131rken piyasadaki bir ba\u015fka b\u00fcy\u00fck tart\u0131\u015fma da ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent’in uzun vadeli tahvil hamlesi.<\/p>\n

Bessent ge\u00e7en hafta uzun vadeli Hazine tahvili al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Ancak CNBC anketine kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n %77’si bu ad\u0131m\u0131n Hazine tahvil getirilerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye yetmeyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

10 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine tahvili getirisi haberin haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada %4,66 seviyesindeydi. Ankete kat\u0131lanlar bu oran\u0131n gelecek y\u0131l boyunca yakla\u015f\u0131k %4,60 ile %4,70 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n

Piyasan\u0131n tahvil getirilerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015fe ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleri de dikkat \u00e7ekici. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar hareketin ortalama %37’sini artan k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 arz\u0131na, %28’ini daha y\u00fcksek enflasyon beklentilerine ba\u011fl\u0131yor. Fed faiz beklentilerinin pay\u0131 %21, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin pay\u0131 ise %19.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla sorun yaln\u0131zca Fed’in ne yapaca\u011f\u0131 de\u011fil. Hazine’nin bor\u00e7lanma ihtiyac\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel tahvil arz\u0131 da uzun vadeli faizleri yukar\u0131da tutabilecek unsurlar aras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Fed Faiz \u0130ndirir mi, Art\u0131r\u0131r m\u0131?<\/h2>\n

Anketin en dikkat \u00e7ekici sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan biri de gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n faiz patikas\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n %53’\u00fc faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131, %30’u faiz indirimi bekliyor. %16’l\u0131k kesim ise faizlerde de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Vadeli i\u015flem piyasas\u0131 ise farkl\u0131 bir tablo \u00e7iziyor. Fed<\/strong> fonlar\u0131 vadeli i\u015flemleri, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini %40, aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda ise %70 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc konu\u015fmada kullan\u0131lacak tek bir ifade bile piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir. \u00d6zellikle Warsh’\u0131n faiz patikas\u0131na do\u011frudan de\u011finip de\u011finmeyece\u011fi merak konusu.<\/p>\n

Enflasyon D\u00fc\u015ferken Fed Neden Daha Sert Olabilir?<\/h2>\n

Ekonomistler gelecek y\u0131l enflasyonun %3,4’ten %2,6’ya gerilemesini bekliyor. Buna ra\u011fmen baz\u0131 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ancak Fed \u00f6nce daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir politika uygularsa ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f do\u011fru \u00e7\u0131karsa, piyasalar i\u00e7in daha zor bir senaryo ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilir. Enflasyon gerilerken Fed’in faizleri y\u00fcksek tutmas\u0131, \u00f6zellikle riskli varl\u0131klar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n

\u015eimdilik b\u00fct\u00fcn g\u00f6zler cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcnde. Warsh’\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131nda faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a tart\u0131\u015f\u0131p tart\u0131\u015fmayaca\u011f\u0131 belirsizli\u011fini koruyor. Ancak %80’lik kesimin daha fazla a\u00e7\u0131klama bekledi\u011fi bir ortamda, \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k sessizli\u011fin ard\u0131ndan verece\u011fi ilk b\u00fcy\u00fck mesaj\u0131n piyasa taraf\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan takip edilmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

\n

Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh, may\u0131s ay\u0131nda g\u00f6reve ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana ekonomi ve para politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kamuoyundan uzak tuttu. CNBC’nin anketine kat\u0131lan ekonomistlerin %80’i ise Warsh’\u0131n cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Jackson Hole’da ekonomik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelerini daha a\u00e7\u0131k anlatmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. CNBC’nin 31 ekonomist, stratejist ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131yla yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ankette Warsh’\u0131n ilk b\u00fcy\u00fck Jackson Hole konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l ge\u00e7ece\u011fine ili\u015fkin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":202866,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1512],"tags":[13978,26597,14511,15817,413,10127,43750,10141,28345,18935],"class_list":["post-220408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-haber","tag-abd-enflasyonu","tag-abd-tahvil-faizleri","tag-faiz-artirimi","tag-faiz-indirimi","tag-fed","tag-fed-faiz","tag-hazine-tahvil","tag-jackson-hole","tag-kevin-warsh","tag-scott-bessent"],"yoast_head":"\nKriptoda Kritik Fed G\u00fcn\u00fc: Kevin Warsh'\u0131n Mesaj\u0131 Ne Olacak? - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Jackson Hole'da konu\u015facak. 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