{"id":219203,"date":"2026-08-18T12:00:09","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T09:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=219203"},"modified":"2026-08-18T09:06:59","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T06:06:59","slug":"bitcoin-icin-kritik-hafta-5-veride-riskler-ve-firsatlar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-icin-kritik-hafta-5-veride-riskler-ve-firsatlar\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Kritik Hafta: 5 Veride Riskler Ve F\u0131rsatlar"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/strong>, yeni haftaya yakla\u015f\u0131k 63.000 dolar seviyesinde girerken uzun vadeli teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm yeniden tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Lider kripto para, 200 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f yaparak 2022 ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde Fed tutanaklar\u0131, Japonya ekonomisi, ETF<\/a> ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve borsa<\/a> rezervleri Bitcoin fiyat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan belirleyici olabilir.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin 200 Haftal\u0131k Ortalamay\u0131 Neden Kaybetti?<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin, haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli toparlanarak Bitstamp verilerine g\u00f6re 63.655 dolara kadar y\u00fckseldi. Ancak fiyat, haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda dar i\u015flem aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kamad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Analist Benjamin Cowen, Bitcoin’in yeniden 200 haftal\u0131k basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (SMA) alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti. Bu seviye 2022 ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131nda da \u00f6nemli bir rol oynam\u0131\u015f, a\u011fustosta dirence d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesinin ard\u0131ndan Bitcoin uzun s\u00fcreli dip olu\u015fturma s\u00fcrecine girmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Cowen, 2022 ve 2026 yazlar\u0131nda benzer bir yap\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtiyor: Bitcoin \u00f6nce 200 haftal\u0131k ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi, ard\u0131ndan toparland\u0131 ve a\u011fustos ortas\u0131nda bu seviyeyi yeniden kaybetti. Rekt Capital ise 63.220 dolarl\u0131k haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f hedefinin korunamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu durumun a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket ihtimalini art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade ediyor. Analiste g\u00f6re 63.220 dolar\u0131n reddedilmesi, yakla\u015f\u0131k 58.000-66.000 dolarl\u0131k aral\u0131kta yeni bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc teyit edebilir.<\/p>\n

Fed Karar\u0131 Bitcoin Fiyat\u0131n\u0131 Nas\u0131l Etkileyebilir?<\/h2>\n

ABD taraf\u0131nda cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc imalat ve hizmet sekt\u00f6rlerine ili\u015fkin \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI verileri a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. \u0130stihdam g\u00f6stergelerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyonlar g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken PMI verilerinin son d\u00f6nemde y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6stermesi dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan T\u00dcFE ve \u00dcFE verileri ise beklentilerden daha yumu\u015fak bir enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc sundu. CME FedWatch verileri, Fed’in mevcut y\u00fczde 3,50-3,75 faiz aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruma ihtimalini yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 70’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken, bu oran bir ay \u00f6nce y\u00fczde 42 seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n

Temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmezken, karar Fed yetkilileri aras\u0131nda 1970’ten bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ayr\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131ndan birine sahne oldu. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlanacak toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131, para politikas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcne ili\u015fkin yeni ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 verebilir.<\/p>\n

\"bitcoin<\/p>\n

Japonya’daki Geli\u015fmeler Neden \u00d6nemli?<\/h2>\n

Japonya’n\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyrek GSYH verileri beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. \u00c7eyreklik b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 0,3, y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme ise y\u00fczde 1,1 olurken beklentiler s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 0,5 ve y\u00fczde 2 seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n

Veriler, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n mevcut y\u00fczde 1 faiz seviyesinden eyl\u00fclde art\u0131r\u0131ma gidebilece\u011fi beklentisinin bulundu\u011fu d\u00f6nemde geldi. Japon yeninin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve tahvil getirilerinin y\u00fckselmesi de piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

Japonya’n\u0131n 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 2,93’e \u00e7\u0131karak 1996’dan beri en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131. CryptoQuant analisti Axel Adler Jr., Japon tahvil faizinin y\u00fczde 3’\u00fc a\u015fmas\u0131, yeni faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, g\u00fc\u00e7lenen yen ve y\u00fckselen ABD tahvil getirilerinin ayn\u0131 anda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde k\u00fcresel finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131.<\/p>\n

ETF \u00c7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Ne Anlama Geliyor?<\/h2>\n

ABD hisseleri rekor seviyelere yakla\u015f\u0131rken t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninin zay\u0131f kalmas\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. S&P 500, yumu\u015fak enflasyon verilerinin ard\u0131ndan per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 7.816 ile yeni zirve g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Michigan \u00dcniversitesi t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni g\u00f6stergesinin a\u011fustosta y\u00fczde 7,6 d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Glassnode, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n nakitten \u00e7\u0131karak \u00f6zellikle yapay zek\u00e2 hisselerinin destekledi\u011fi hisse piyasas\u0131na y\u00f6neldi\u011fini, ancak Bitcoin’in bu sermaye rotasyonundan yeterince pay alamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

ABD spot Bitcoin ETF’leri ge\u00e7en hafta toplam 267,2 milyon dolarl\u0131k net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ya\u015fad\u0131. Be\u015f i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn yaln\u0131zca birinde net giri\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc ve bu giri\u015f sadece 7,8 milyon dolar oldu. Bu nedenle kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131m a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir ETF giri\u015fleri, kripto para piyasas\u0131nda toparlanman\u0131n \u00f6nemli g\u00f6stergelerinden biri olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Borsa Rezervleri Neden Takip Edilmeli?<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin arz dinamikleri de bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. CryptoQuant verilerine g\u00f6re balinalar borsa giri\u015flerinde daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k kazanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131 ve Binance’teki balina oran\u0131 10 A\u011fustos’ta 0,71’e \u00e7\u0131karak mart ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri en y\u00fcksek seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Binance’in Bitcoin rezervi pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc 674.332 BTC’ye y\u00fckseldi. Rezervler ay ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana y\u00fczde 2,57 artarken Kas\u0131m 2025’ten beri en y\u00fcksek seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Borsalara BTC yat\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 do\u011frudan sat\u0131\u015f anlam\u0131na gelmese de i\u015flem ve hedge amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131labilecek arz\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu nedenle Bitcoin’in teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcyle birlikte ETF ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 ve borsa rezervlerini izlemek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin, yeni haftaya yakla\u015f\u0131k 63.000 dolar seviyesinde girerken uzun vadeli teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm yeniden tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Lider kripto para, 200 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f yaparak 2022 ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde Fed tutanaklar\u0131, Japonya ekonomisi, ETF ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve borsa rezervleri Bitcoin fiyat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan belirleyici olabilir. Bitcoin 200 Haftal\u0131k Ortalamay\u0131 Neden Kaybetti? Bitcoin, haftal\u0131k<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":151152,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[12,44,207,6053,413,828,224],"class_list":["post-219203","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-bitcoin","tag-borsa","tag-btc","tag-faiz","tag-fed","tag-kripto-para","tag-yatirim"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Kritik Hafta: 5 Veride Riskler Ve F\u0131rsatlar - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin, yeni haftaya yakla\u015f\u0131k 63.000 dolar seviyesinde girerken uzun vadeli teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm yeniden tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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