{"id":217111,"date":"2026-07-29T13:00:55","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T10:00:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=217111"},"modified":"2026-07-29T09:17:23","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T06:17:23","slug":"fed-faiz-mi-artiracak-iste-citadel-acikladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-faiz-mi-artiracak-iste-citadel-acikladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed Faiz Mi Art\u0131racak? \u0130\u015fte Citadel A\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/strong><\/a>, FED faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde temkinli bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergilerken piyasalarda dikkat \u00e7eken bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ayr\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD’nin en b\u00fcy\u00fck hedge fonlar\u0131ndan Citadel, bu hafta 25 baz puanl\u0131k s\u00fcrpriz bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklerken, piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc faizlerin sabit kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu farkl\u0131 beklenti, kripto<\/a> para piyasas\u0131<\/strong> a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc beklenmedik bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131, hem Bitcoin hem de di\u011fer riskli varl\u0131klarda sert fiyat hareketlerini tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n

Citadel Neden FED Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131 Bekliyor?<\/h2>\n

Yakla\u015f\u0131k 67 milyar dolarl\u0131k varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6neten Citadel, FED Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh’\u0131n eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131n\u0131 beklemek yerine \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fini savunuyor. \u015eirketin beklentisine g\u00f6re politika faizi 25 baz puan art\u0131r\u0131larak y\u00fczde 3,75-4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k hem geleneksel finans piyasalar\u0131ndaki ekonomistler hem de kripto para sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki uzmanlar, mevcut toplant\u0131da faiz oranlar\u0131nda herhangi bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik beklemiyor. Kraken ekonomisti Thomas Perfumo da temmuz ay\u0131ndaki FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n en olas\u0131 sonucunun faizlerin sabit b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131 oldu\u011funu ifade ediyor.<\/p>\n

Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ayr\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n karar \u00f6ncesinde daha temkinli hareket etmesine neden oluyor.<\/p>\n

\"citadel<\/p>\n

S\u00fcrpriz Bir Fed Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131 Bitcoin’i Nas\u0131l Etkileyebilir?<\/h2>\n

Citadel’in \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc senaryonun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde ABD tahvil faizlerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Bu durum, riskli varl\u0131klar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rarak Bitcoin ve dijital varl\u0131k piyasas\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n

Her ne kadar piyasa konsens\u00fcs\u00fc faizlerin de\u011fi\u015fmeyece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde olsa da yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar olas\u0131 bir s\u00fcrprizi tamamen g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmiyor. CME FedWatch verilerine g\u00f6re 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimali y\u00fczde 35,8 seviyesine y\u00fckseldi. Bir hafta \u00f6nce bu olas\u0131l\u0131k yaln\u0131zca y\u00fczde 25,7 olarak fiyatlan\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n

Yine de piyasan\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc ana senaryoya odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu nedenle beklentilerin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda al\u0131nacak bir karar\u0131n fiyatlamalar \u00fczerinde daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc etki olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Fiyat\u0131nda Son Durum Ne?<\/h2>\n

FED karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Bitcoin’de y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesinin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta yakla\u015f\u0131k 67 bin dolar seviyesine kadar y\u00fckselen lider kripto para, son g\u00fcnlerde geri \u00e7ekilerek 64 bin dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi.<\/p>\n

Uzmanlara g\u00f6re bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6nemli makroekonomik geli\u015fmeler \u00f6ncesinde risk almay\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6zellikle faiz kararlar\u0131 gibi k\u00fcresel geli\u015fmeler, k\u0131sa vadede kripto yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmesine neden olabiliyor.<\/p>\n

Citadel FED Stratejisinde Ne De\u011fi\u015fmesini Bekliyor?<\/h2>\n

Citadel Securities Makro Strateji Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Frank Flight’a g\u00f6re olas\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n amac\u0131 yaln\u0131zca enflasyonla m\u00fccadele etmek de\u011fil. Flight, b\u00f6yle bir karar\u0131n FED’in uzun s\u00fcredir uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 “ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck y\u00f6nlendirme” yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 sona erdirebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130leriye d\u00f6n\u00fck y\u00f6nlendirme, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n gelecekteki faiz politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00f6nceden sinyal vererek piyasalardaki belirsizli\u011fi azaltmay\u0131 hedefleyen bir y\u00f6ntem olarak biliniyor. Ancak Flight’a g\u00f6re bu yakla\u015f\u0131m zaman i\u00e7inde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ekonomik veriler yerine FED’in olas\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n

Citadel, s\u00fcrpriz bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n piyasalar\u0131n yeniden ekonomik verilere odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve FED’in ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir mesaj verece\u011fini savunuyor. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yaln\u0131zca faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fil, karar metnini ve sonras\u0131ndaki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 da dikkatle takip etmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir. Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in hemen t\u0131kla<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin, FED faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde temkinli bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergilerken piyasalarda dikkat \u00e7eken bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ayr\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD’nin en b\u00fcy\u00fck hedge fonlar\u0131ndan Citadel, bu hafta 25 baz puanl\u0131k s\u00fcrpriz bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklerken, piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc faizlerin sabit kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu farkl\u0131 beklenti, kripto para piyasas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc beklenmedik bir faiz<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":206939,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[12,207,15185,6053,10127,28345,828],"class_list":["post-217111","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-citadel","tag-faiz","tag-fed-faiz","tag-kevin-warsh","tag-kripto-para"],"yoast_head":"\nFed Faiz Mi Art\u0131racak? \u0130\u015fte Citadel A\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin, FED faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde temkinli bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergilerken piyasalarda dikkat \u00e7eken bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ayr\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-faiz-mi-artiracak-iste-citadel-acikladi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fed Faiz Mi Art\u0131racak? 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