{"id":215974,"date":"2026-07-19T14:30:45","date_gmt":"2026-07-19T11:30:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=215974"},"modified":"2026-07-20T09:18:47","modified_gmt":"2026-07-20T06:18:47","slug":"fed-oncesi-bitcoine-25-milyar-dolarlik-dev-bahis-hedef-72-bin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-oncesi-bitcoine-25-milyar-dolarlik-dev-bahis-hedef-72-bin\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed \u00d6ncesi Bitcoin’e 2,5 Milyar Dolarl\u0131k Dev Bahis: Hedef 72 Bin"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kripto para<\/strong> piyasas\u0131nda g\u00f6zler bu kez spot i\u015flemlere de\u011fil, opsiyon piyasas\u0131na \u00e7evrildi. 19 Temmuz 2026 itibar\u0131yla Deribit’te ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen 2,5 milyar dolarl\u0131k Bitcoin opsiyon<\/strong> i\u015flemi, b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ay sonuna kadar fiyat\u0131n 72 bin dolara y\u00fckselebilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik beklentisini ortaya koydu. \u0130\u015flemin, 29 Temmuz’daki ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 ise piyasalarda dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

Dev Opsiyon \u0130\u015flemi Bitcoin’de 72 Bin Dolar Beklentisini G\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi<\/h2>\n

Deribit’te dikkat \u00e7eken i\u015flemlerden biri, 31 Temmuz vadeli 20 bin adet 70 bin dolar kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131 oldu. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ayn\u0131 vadeli 72 bin dolar kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 20 bin call opsiyonunu da satarak pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Toplam 40 bin kontrattan olu\u015fan bu i\u015flemin nominal b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k 2,5 milyar dolar olarak hesaplan\u0131yor. Deribit’te her bir opsiyon kontrat\u0131 1 Bitcoin’i temsil ediyor.<\/p>\n

Opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda bu strateji “bull call spread” olarak adland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bu y\u00f6ntemi, Bitcoin’in belirli bir seviyeye kadar y\u00fckselece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcklerinde daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetle pozisyon almak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bull Call Spread Stratejisi Ne Anlama Geliyor?<\/h2>\n

Bull call spread, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n fiyat\u0131n belirli bir seviyeye kadar y\u00fckselece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc d\u00f6nemlerde kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir opsiyon stratejisi olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u00f6ntemde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call opsiyonu sat\u0131n al\u0131rken, daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir call opsiyonunu satarak i\u015flem maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor. B\u00f6ylece Bitcoin’in 70 bin dolara do\u011fru y\u00fckselmesinden faydalanmay\u0131 hedeflerken, 72 bin dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeki potansiyel kazan\u00e7tan vazge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n

Bu strateji, y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisini korurken risk ve maliyetin daha kontroll\u00fc y\u00f6netilmesini sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Deribit Ticari Operasyonlardan Sorumlu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jean-David P\u00e9quignot, bu hafta BTC<\/a> taraf\u0131nda dikkat \u00e7ekici b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte call spread i\u015flemleri g\u00f6rd\u00fcklerini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

P\u00e9quignot, bu b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckteki i\u015flemlerin genellikle kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lardan geldi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ona g\u00f6re hem i\u015flem hacmi hem de se\u00e7ilen fiyat seviyeleri, bireysel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lardan \u00e7ok profesyonel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

G\u00f6zler Fed’in Faiz Karar\u0131nda<\/h2>\n

\u0130\u015flemin zamanlamas\u0131 da dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Opsiyonlar\u0131n vade tarihi olan 31 Temmuz, Fed’in **29 Temmuz’da a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 faiz karar\u0131ndan yaln\u0131zca iki g\u00fcn sonras\u0131na denk geliyor. Bu durum, b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 Bitcoin fiyat\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir kataliz\u00f6r olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Vadeli faiz piyasalar\u0131, Fed’in temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini %3,50-%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit b\u0131rakma ihtimalini %75 ila %80 aras\u0131nda fiyatl\u0131yor. Kalan olas\u0131l\u0131k ise faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ihtimalle faiz indirimi senaryolar\u0131 aras\u0131nda da\u011f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Enflasyon ve Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131 Yak\u0131ndan \u0130zleniyor<\/h2>\n

Haziran ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanan t\u00fcketici ve \u00fcretici enflasyonu verileri piyasalarda iyimserli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131. Veriler, fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederken Fed’in temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizleri sabit b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Bu hava, Bitcoin gibi riskli varl\u0131klara da destek verdi.<\/p>\n

Ancak bu iyimserlik uzun s\u00fcrmeyebilir.<\/p>\n

Bu hafta ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda yeniden y\u00fckselen gerilim, g\u00f6zleri petrol piyasas\u0131na \u00e7evirdi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’nda ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan WTI ve Brent petrol fiyatlar\u0131 mart ay\u0131ndan bu yana en sert y\u00fckseli\u015fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n

Piyasada \u015fimdi \u015fu soru konu\u015fuluyor: Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki bu y\u00fckseli\u015f enflasyonu yeniden h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131r m\u0131?<\/p>\n

Bunun net bir cevab\u0131 hen\u00fcz yok. Ancak enerji maliyetlerindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi halinde Fed’in faiz indirimi konusunda daha temkinli davranabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130lgin\u00e7 olan ise opsiyon piyasas\u0131ndaki tablo. Jeopolitik risklere ra\u011fmen b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar geri ad\u0131m atm\u0131\u015f de\u011fil. Ancak opsiyon piyasas\u0131ndaki tablo farkl\u0131. Deribit’te a\u00e7\u0131lan milyarlarca dolarl\u0131k pozisyon, b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 72 bin dolar hedefinden vazge\u00e7medi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

\n

Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kripto para piyasas\u0131nda g\u00f6zler bu kez spot i\u015flemlere de\u011fil, opsiyon piyasas\u0131na \u00e7evrildi. 19 Temmuz 2026 itibar\u0131yla Deribit’te ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen 2,5 milyar dolarl\u0131k Bitcoin opsiyon i\u015flemi, b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ay sonuna kadar fiyat\u0131n 72 bin dolara y\u00fckselebilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik beklentisini ortaya koydu. \u0130\u015flemin, 29 Temmuz’daki ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 ise piyasalarda dikkat \u00e7ekti. Dev Opsiyon<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":156654,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[22517,12167,27063,7517,24324],"class_list":["post-215974","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-bitcoin-72-bin-dolar","tag-bitcoin-fiyat-tahmini","tag-bitcoin-opsiyon-verileri","tag-fed-faiz-karari","tag-kripto-turev-piyasasi"],"yoast_head":"\nFed \u00d6ncesi Bitcoin'e 2,5 Milyar Dolarl\u0131k Dev Bahis: Hedef 72 Bin - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Deribit'te a\u00e7\u0131lan 2,5 milyar dolarl\u0131k Bitcoin opsiyon i\u015flemi dikkat \u00e7ekti. 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