{"id":214730,"date":"2026-07-08T14:00:51","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T11:00:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=214730"},"modified":"2026-07-08T09:27:33","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T06:27:33","slug":"analistler-buyuk-bitcoin-dususu-bekliyor-iste-on-chain-verileri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/analistler-buyuk-bitcoin-dususu-bekliyor-iste-on-chain-verileri\/","title":{"rendered":"Analistler B\u00fcy\u00fck Bitcoin D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc Bekliyor: \u0130\u015fte On-chain Verileri!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin fiyat\u0131ndaki son toparlanmaya ra\u011fmen bir\u00e7ok analist, Bitcoin<\/strong> i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ek dip seviyesinin hen\u00fcz olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Zincir \u00fcst\u00fc (on-chain<\/a>) veriler, ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fclerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen baz\u0131 \u00f6nemli sinyallerin bu kez hen\u00fcz ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu nedenle kripto<\/a> para piyasas\u0131<\/strong> kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, mevcut y\u00fckseli\u015fin kal\u0131c\u0131 olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlamak i\u00e7in teknik ve zincir \u00fcst\u00fc g\u00f6stergeleri yak\u0131ndan takip ediyor. \u00d6zellikle piyasa analizi<\/strong> yapan uzmanlar, \u00f6nceki ay\u0131 d\u00f6ng\u00fcleriyle benzerlikler ve farkl\u0131l\u0131klar \u00fczerinde duruyor.<\/p>\n

NUPL G\u00f6stergesi Neden H\u00e2l\u00e2 Alarm Vermedi?<\/h2>\n

CryptoQuant analisti thechessONCHAIN’e g\u00f6re Bitcoin’in en g\u00fcvenilir uzun vadeli g\u00f6stergelerinden biri Net Unrealized Profit\/Loss (NUPL) metri\u011fi olmaya devam ediyor. Bu g\u00f6sterge, dola\u015f\u0131mdaki Bitcoin’lerin ne kadar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmemi\u015f k\u00e2rda oldu\u011funu \u00f6l\u00e7erek piyasa d\u00f6ng\u00fclerini analiz etmeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 oluyor.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcncel verilere g\u00f6re NUPL de\u011feri 0,158 seviyesinde bulunurken, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcssel hareketli ortalama (EMA) 0,215, 30 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA ise 0,155 seviyesinde yer al\u0131yor. 30 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA’n\u0131n 2 Haziran’da 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA’n\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi piyasa momentumunun zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etse de, ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fclerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen dip sinyalini hen\u00fcz do\u011frulam\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

2011, 2015, 2018 ve 2022 y\u0131llar\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131nda ortak nokta, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck NUPL EMA’s\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesiydi. Mevcut d\u00f6ng\u00fcde ise bu durum hen\u00fcz ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi.<\/p>\n

\"bitcoin<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7mi\u015f D\u00f6ng\u00fcler Daha B\u00fcy\u00fck D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler G\u00f6stermi\u015fti<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin, Ekim 2025’te ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 126.200 dolarl\u0131k zirveden yakla\u015f\u0131k %53 gerilemi\u015f durumda. Buna ra\u011fmen bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f oran\u0131, ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fclerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen %75 ila %90 aras\u0131ndaki sert de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Analistlere g\u00f6re NUPL g\u00f6stergesinin negatif b\u00f6lgeye ge\u00e7ebilmesi i\u00e7in fiyat\u0131n yeniden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket etmesi gerekebilir. Ancak bunun kesin bir senaryo olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da belirtmek gerekiyor. Baz\u0131 uzmanlar, Bitcoin’in art\u0131k daha olgun bir dijital varl\u0131k haline geldi\u011fini ve eski d\u00f6ng\u00fclerin birebir tekrar etmeyebilece\u011fini savunuyor.<\/p>\n

Zararda Olan Bitcoin C\u00fczdan Say\u0131s\u0131 Ne Anlat\u0131yor?<\/h2>\n

Piyasa g\u00f6zlemcisi Cyclop taraf\u0131ndan payla\u015f\u0131lan bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli veri ise zarar eden Bitcoin adreslerinin oran\u0131 oldu. G\u00fcncel verilere g\u00f6re Bitcoin adreslerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k %34’\u00fc zarar pozisyonunda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yapmak gerekirse, 2018 ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131n\u0131n dip noktas\u0131nda bu oran yakla\u015f\u0131k %55, 2022’deki FTX kaynakl\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda ise %50 seviyesindeydi. Mevcut oran\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015f dip seviyelerinin belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131, piyasan\u0131n hen\u00fcz tam anlam\u0131yla kapit\u00fclasyon s\u00fcrecine girmemi\u015f olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Bu tablo, sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n tamamen sona ermedi\u011fi veya piyasan\u0131n daha uzun s\u00fcre yatay hareket edebilece\u011fi ihtimalini g\u00fcndemde tutuyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Tarihsel Veriler Yeterli Mi?<\/h2>\n

Her ne kadar zincir \u00fcst\u00fc g\u00f6stergeler yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan takip edilse de, bunlar\u0131n kesin sonu\u00e7 veren ara\u00e7lar olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 unutmamak gerekiyor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f veriler gelece\u011fi garanti etmiyor ve her piyasa d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc farkl\u0131 dinamikler ta\u015f\u0131yabiliyor.<\/p>\n

Baz\u0131 analistler, Haziran 2026’da g\u00f6r\u00fclen 58.000 dolar seviyesinin bu d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn dip noktas\u0131 olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bitcoin’in bu seviyeden %7’nin \u00fczerinde toparlanm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 da bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekleyen unsurlar aras\u0131nda g\u00f6steriliyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n di\u011fer uzmanlar ise tarihsel g\u00f6stergelerin hen\u00fcz tam anlam\u0131yla dip sinyali \u00fcretmedi\u011fini ve kripto yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n risk y\u00f6netimine \u00f6ncelik vermesi gerekti\u011fini vurguluyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde zincir \u00fcst\u00fc veriler, fiyat hareketleri ve makroekonomik geli\u015fmeler birlikte de\u011ferlendirilerek daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 kararlar al\u0131nabilir.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin fiyat\u0131ndaki son toparlanmaya ra\u011fmen bir\u00e7ok analist, Bitcoin i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ek dip seviyesinin hen\u00fcz olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Zincir \u00fcst\u00fc (on-chain) veriler, ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fclerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen baz\u0131 \u00f6nemli sinyallerin bu kez hen\u00fcz ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu nedenle kripto para piyasas\u0131 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, mevcut y\u00fckseli\u015fin kal\u0131c\u0131 olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlamak i\u00e7in teknik ve zincir \u00fcst\u00fc g\u00f6stergeleri yak\u0131ndan takip ediyor. \u00d6zellikle piyasa analizi<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":210544,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[6141,12,207,828,9260,224],"class_list":["post-214730","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-analiz","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-kripto-para","tag-on-chain","tag-yatirim"],"yoast_head":"\nAnalistler B\u00fcy\u00fck Bitcoin D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc Bekliyor: \u0130\u015fte On-chain Verileri! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin fiyat\u0131ndaki son toparlanmaya ra\u011fmen bir\u00e7ok analist, Bitcoin i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ek dip seviyesinin hen\u00fcz olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/analistler-buyuk-bitcoin-dususu-bekliyor-iste-on-chain-verileri\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analistler B\u00fcy\u00fck Bitcoin D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc Bekliyor: \u0130\u015fte On-chain Verileri!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin fiyat\u0131ndaki son toparlanmaya ra\u011fmen bir\u00e7ok analist, Bitcoin i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ek dip seviyesinin hen\u00fcz olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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