{"id":212597,"date":"2026-06-19T12:57:25","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T09:57:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=212597"},"modified":"2026-06-19T12:57:25","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T09:57:25","slug":"altin-neden-dustu-gram-ve-ceyrek-altinda-son-durum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/altin-neden-dustu-gram-ve-ceyrek-altinda-son-durum\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n Neden D\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc? Gram ve \u00c7eyrek Alt\u0131nda Son Durum"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131<\/strong> haftan\u0131n son i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde yeniden sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131. Son g\u00fcnlerde jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerin deste\u011fiyle y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7en de\u011ferli metal, bu kez ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (Fed) \u015fahin mesajlar\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar\u0131n etkisiyle y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7evirdi.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel piyasalarda ons alt\u0131n<\/strong><\/a> 4.146 dolar seviyesine gerilerken, yurt i\u00e7inde gram alt\u0131n 6.206 TL seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. B\u00f6ylece alt\u0131n \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftal\u0131k kayb\u0131na y\u00f6nelmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

Peki alt\u0131n neden d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc?<\/p>\n

Fed’in \u015eahin Mesajlar\u0131 Alt\u0131n\u0131 Bask\u0131lad\u0131<\/h2>\n

Alt\u0131ndaki son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn merkezinde Fed’in son toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kan mesajlar yer al\u0131yor. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 politika faizini beklentilere paralel \u015fekilde y\u00fczde 3,50-3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit b\u0131rakt\u0131. Ancak piyasalar karar\u0131n kendisinden \u00e7ok gelecek d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin sinyallere odakland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Fed’in yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 projeksiyonlara g\u00f6re 19 politika yap\u0131c\u0131n\u0131n 9’u bu y\u0131l i\u00e7inde faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duyulabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Kevin Warsh’\u0131n ba\u015fkan olarak y\u00f6netti\u011fi ilk toplant\u0131da ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bu tablo, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 beklentilerini fiyatlamas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n

Piyasalardaki fiyatlama da bu de\u011fi\u015fimi do\u011fruluyor. CME FedWatch verilerine g\u00f6re Fed’in aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131rma ihtimali y\u00fczde 61 seviyesinden y\u00fczde 87’ye y\u00fckseldi. Y\u00fcksek faiz beklentisi ise faiz getirisi bulunmayan alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratan en \u00f6nemli fakt\u00f6rlerden biri olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Dolar G\u00fc\u00e7lenince Alt\u0131n Geriledi<\/h2>\n

Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7eken ikinci \u00f6nemli unsur dolar oldu. Dolar endeksi son d\u00f6nemde y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine yak\u0131n seyretmeye devam ediyor. G\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar, alt\u0131n\u0131 di\u011fer para birimleriyle sat\u0131n alan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha maliyetli hale getiriyor ve talebi zay\u0131flat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

KCM Trade Ba\u015f Piyasa Analisti Tim Waterer, ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fckseli\u015fin k\u0131sa \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek piyasalarda yeniden dolar\u0131n belirleyici unsur haline geldi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Waterer’a g\u00f6re Fed’in daha \u015fahin bir \u00e7izgiye y\u00f6nelmesi, jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerin alt\u0131na sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 deste\u011fi b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ortadan kald\u0131rd\u0131. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar yeniden para politikas\u0131 ve dolar hareketlerine odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

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Goldman Sachs Tahminini 500 Dolar D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc<\/h2>\n

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131n\u0131 etkileyen bir di\u011fer dikkat \u00e7ekici geli\u015fme ise Goldman Sachs’tan geldi. Wall Street devi, Fed’in faiz indirimlerine ili\u015fkin beklentilerin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 nedeniyle y\u0131l sonu ons alt\u0131n tahminini 5.400 dolardan 4.900 dolara d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Goldman Sachs analistleri Lina Thomas ve Daan Struyven, alt\u0131n konusunda uzun vadeli olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini koruduklar\u0131n\u0131 ancak k\u0131sa vadede daha temkinli bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm benimsediklerini belirtti.<\/p>\n

Analistler yay\u0131mlad\u0131klar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmede, “Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerimiz yap\u0131sal olarak olumlu kalmaya devam ediyor ancak taktiksel olarak temkinliyiz. Yak\u0131n vadede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskler, orta vadede ise yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc f\u0131rsatlar g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle banka uzun vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisini tamamen terk etmese de k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde risklerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcncel Alt\u0131n Fiyatlar\u0131 ve Beklentiler<\/h2>\n

Sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 yaln\u0131zca alt\u0131nla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmad\u0131. Spot g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f y\u00fczde 1,5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 64,83 dolara gerilerken, platin y\u00fczde 1,3 kay\u0131pla 1.674 dolar seviyesine indi. Paladyum ise y\u00fczde 0,8 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 1.268 dolar seviyesine \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n

19 Haziran 2026 saat 11:03 itibar\u0131yla g\u00fcncel alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n