{"id":211584,"date":"2026-06-11T14:45:37","date_gmt":"2026-06-11T11:45:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=211584"},"modified":"2026-06-11T14:22:09","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T11:22:09","slug":"zcash-icin-kritik-esik-360-dolar-kaybedilirse-ne-olacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/zcash-icin-kritik-esik-360-dolar-kaybedilirse-ne-olacak\/","title":{"rendered":"Zcash \u0130\u00e7in Kritik E\u015fik: 360 Dolar Kaybedilirse Ne Olacak?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Birka\u00e7 hafta \u00f6nce 300 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6ren Zcash<\/strong>, k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede 470 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak yeniden g\u00fcndeme oturdu. Piyasadaki son d\u00fczeltmeye ra\u011fmen ZEC<\/strong><\/a> h\u00e2len 425 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak son y\u00fckseli\u015f kadar \u00f6nemli ba\u015fka bir konu daha var. \u015eu an g\u00f6zler tek bir seviyede toplanm\u0131\u015f durumda: 360 dolar.<\/p>\n

Analistlere g\u00f6re bu destek korunursa toparlanma s\u00fcreci devam edebilir. Aksi halde Zcash \u00e7ok daha sert bir sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalabilir.<\/p>\n

Bo\u011falar\u0131n Savunmas\u0131 Gereken Seviye<\/h2>\n

Alphractal kurucusu Joao Wedson taraf\u0131ndan payla\u015f\u0131lan son analiz, ZEC i\u00e7in kritik bir d\u00f6neme i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Wedson’a g\u00f6re Alphractal’\u0131n CVDD modeli, Zcash’in tarihsel olarak \u00f6nemli dip ve tepe b\u00f6lgelerine yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ortaya koyuyor. Uzun vadeli piyasa d\u00f6ng\u00fclerini incelemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan model, mevcut hareketin s\u0131radan bir y\u00fckseli\u015ften daha fazlas\u0131 olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Analizde \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan g\u00f6stergelerden biri de MVRV Z-Score oldu.<\/p>\n

Son d\u00fczeltme s\u0131ras\u0131nda ZEC fiyat\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ortalama maliyetini temsil eden Realized Price seviyesine kadar geriledi. MVRV Z-Score’un s\u0131f\u0131ra yakla\u015fmas\u0131yla birlikte bu b\u00f6lge g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek g\u00f6revi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ZEC daha sonra bu seviyeden y\u00fczde 90’\u0131n \u00fczerinde toparlanarak zincir \u00fcst\u00fc deste\u011fin ne kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

Wedson’a g\u00f6re bo\u011falar\u0131n \u015fimdi korumas\u0131 gereken en \u00f6nemli seviye 360 dolar.<\/p>\n

Bu deste\u011fin kaybedilmesi halinde piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bozulabilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor. B\u00f6yle bir senaryoda sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha agresif \u015fekilde pozisyon kapatmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

360 Dolar\u0131n Alt\u0131nda G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Sertle\u015febilir<\/h2>\n

\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc 360 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda tablo h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015febilir.<\/p>\n

Wedson, bu seviyenin alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 bir ge\u00e7i\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131 durumunda Alphractal’\u0131n yeniden CVDD Kanal\u0131 verilerine odaklanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

Bu senaryoda takip edilen destek b\u00f6lgesi 48 dolar ile 170 dolar aras\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zellikle 48 dolar seviyesi dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc modelin i\u015faret etti\u011fi en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoyu temsil ediyor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda Zcash’in \u00f6nceki piyasa d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnde olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ana dip b\u00f6lgesi de buras\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u00fczden yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar yaln\u0131zca y\u00fckseli\u015fe de\u011fil, 360 dolar deste\u011finin korunup korunamayaca\u011f\u0131na da odaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Wedson’\u0131n analizinin \u00f6zeti olduk\u00e7a net: ZEC y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosunu korumak istiyorsa 360 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmak zorunda.<\/p>\n

\n

This chart helps define major bottoms and tops in Zcash (ZEC), making it very useful for estimating whether the asset is expensive or cheap. It is based on the CVDD model implemented by the Research team at Alphractal.<\/p>\n

But another chart that stands out is the MVRV Z-Score, which\u2026 https:\/\/t.co\/5qH63SmWxv<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/aeXhBXN3Y9<\/a><\/p>\n

— Joao Wedson (@joao_wedson) June 9, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n