{"id":211487,"date":"2026-06-11T12:30:57","date_gmt":"2026-06-11T09:30:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=211487"},"modified":"2026-06-11T09:17:54","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T06:17:54","slug":"altin-icin-korkutan-tahmin-bazi-yatirimcilar-yuzde-40-dusus-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/altin-icin-korkutan-tahmin-bazi-yatirimcilar-yuzde-40-dusus-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Korkutan Tahmin: Baz\u0131 Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar %40 D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n<\/strong> piyasas\u0131nda dikkat \u00e7eken bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ya\u015fan\u0131yor. B\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda sert \u015fekilde gerileyebilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlar almaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Opsiyon piyasas\u0131ndaki son i\u015flemler, baz\u0131 fonlar\u0131n 2028 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar y\u00fczde 40’a varan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosuna haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Bu beklenti, alt\u0131n\u0131n son aylarda ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan geldi. Ons<\/strong> alt\u0131n ocak ay\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc zirveden bu yana y\u00fczde 26,5 de\u011fer kaybederken, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yak\u0131ndan takip etti\u011fi b\u00fcy\u00fck alt\u0131n fonlar\u0131 da benzer \u015fekilde yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 25 geriledi.<\/p>\n

Sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 yaln\u0131zca fiyatlarda g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi. Verilere g\u00f6re alt\u0131n ve g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n toplam de\u011feri son 132 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k 12,95 trilyon dolar eridi.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u015fimdi yan\u0131t arad\u0131\u011f\u0131 soru ise net: Alt\u0131ndaki d\u00fczeltme devam m\u0131 edecek, yoksa bu sat\u0131\u015flar yeni bir f\u0131rsat m\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor?<\/p>\n

Opsiyon Piyasas\u0131nda Ay\u0131lar G\u00fc\u00e7 Kazan\u0131yor<\/h2>\n

CNBC taraf\u0131ndan payla\u015f\u0131lan verilere g\u00f6re \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc GLD opsiyonlar\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 200 milyon dolarl\u0131k prim i\u015flemi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu i\u015flemlerin yakla\u015f\u0131k 130 milyon dolarl\u0131k b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisini temsil eden “put” kontratlar\u0131ndan olu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Daha dikkat \u00e7ekici olan ise en yo\u011fun ilgi g\u00f6ren i\u015flemlerden birinin Haziran 2028 vadeli 240 dolar kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put opsiyonu olmas\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu kontrat\u0131n k\u00e2ra ge\u00e7ebilmesi i\u00e7in GLD’nin mevcut seviyelerden yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 40 daha gerilemesi gerekiyor. Ba\u015fka bir ifadeyle baz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar alt\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki y\u0131l boyunca devam edece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik pozisyon al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu beklentinin \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck alt\u0131n borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131ndan (ETF) biri olan SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) \u00fczerinde a\u00e7\u0131lan opsiyon i\u015flemlerinden kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Piyasadaki genel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de bu e\u011filimi destekliyor. \u0130\u015flem hacmi en y\u00fcksek 10 kontrat\u0131n sekizi put taraf\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ayr\u0131ca bu i\u015flemlerin \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn sat\u0131\u015f de\u011fil, do\u011frudan al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Bu durum yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yaln\u0131zca korunma amac\u0131yla de\u011fil, do\u011frudan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle hareket etti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Citigroup Hedef D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc, Merkez Bankalar\u0131 Sat\u0131\u015f Yap\u0131yor<\/h2>\n

Alt\u0131n \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131ran geli\u015fmelerden biri de b\u00fcy\u00fck finans kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmesi oldu.<\/p>\n

Citigroup analistleri, \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k alt\u0131n fiyat hedefini ons<\/strong><\/a> ba\u015f\u0131na 4.300 dolardan 4.000 dolara d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Banka, k\u0131sa vadede alt\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yabilecek g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kataliz\u00f6rlerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Arora Report kurucusu Nigam Arora ise sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131nda resmi kurumlar\u0131n bulundu\u011funu savundu.<\/p>\n

Arora\u2019ya g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131<\/strong>‘n\u0131n liray\u0131 desteklemek amac\u0131yla alt\u0131n sat\u0131p dolar almas\u0131, K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerinin ise artan jeopolitik harcamalar nedeniyle rezervlerinden sat\u0131\u015f yapmas\u0131 piyasadaki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Buna ek olarak Hindistan’daki ithalat vergileri ve belirli fiyat seviyelerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan stop-loss emirleri de sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131ran fakt\u00f6rler aras\u0131nda g\u00f6steriliyor.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Herkes Ayn\u0131 Fikirde De\u011fil<\/h2>\n

Piyasadaki karamsarl\u0131\u011fa ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n konusunda iyimser kalan isimler de bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Ekonomist Peter Schiff, devam eden jeopolitik gerilimlerin uzun vadede alt\u0131n i\u00e7in destekleyici olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Schiff’e g\u00f6re \u00f6zellikle \u0130ran merkezli \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n uzamas\u0131 halinde g\u00fcvenli liman talebi yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanabilir.<\/p>\n

Analist, alt\u0131n\u0131n mart ay\u0131nda olu\u015fturdu\u011fu dip b\u00f6lgeyi yeniden test etti\u011fini ancak uzun s\u00fcreli jeopolitik belirsizliklerin de\u011ferli metaller i\u00e7in olumlu zemin haz\u0131rlayabilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda olu\u015fan yo\u011fun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle belirgin \u015fekilde ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131nda S\u0131radaki Hamle Ne Olabilir?<\/h2>\n

Mevcut tablo, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn alt\u0131nda k\u0131sa vadede temkinli durdu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Opsiyon piyasas\u0131ndaki sert pozisyonlanma, b\u00fcy\u00fck bankalar\u0131n hedef indirimleri ve son aylardaki sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131 bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 ge\u00e7mi\u015fte bir\u00e7ok kez beklentilerin ters y\u00f6n\u00fcnde hareket etti. \u00d6zellikle k\u00fcresel risklerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde g\u00fcvenli liman talebi h\u0131zla geri d\u00f6nebiliyor.<\/p>\n

\u015eimdilik yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosuna a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veriyor. Ancak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler ve merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n hamleleri, alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc yeniden belirleyebilir.<\/p>\n

\n

Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131nda dikkat \u00e7eken bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ya\u015fan\u0131yor. B\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda sert \u015fekilde gerileyebilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlar almaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Opsiyon piyasas\u0131ndaki son i\u015flemler, baz\u0131 fonlar\u0131n 2028 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar y\u00fczde 40’a varan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosuna haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor. Bu beklenti, alt\u0131n\u0131n son aylarda ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan geldi. Ons alt\u0131n ocak ay\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc zirveden bu<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":196013,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[39247],"tags":[36261,12214,20044,42480,42479,37513,11648,1488,8399],"class_list":["post-211487","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-emtia-haberleri","tag-altin-analizi","tag-altin-etf","tag-altin-fiyati","tag-altin-tahmini","tag-altin-yatirimcilari","tag-emtia-piyasasi","tag-gumus","tag-ons-altin","tag-peter-schiff"],"yoast_head":"\nAlt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Korkutan Tahmin: Baz\u0131 Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar %40 D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Bekliyor - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131nda dikkat \u00e7eken hamle. 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