{"id":211290,"date":"2026-06-09T14:34:44","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T11:34:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=211290"},"modified":"2026-06-09T14:34:44","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T11:34:44","slug":"fed-faiz-indirimi-yapacak-mi-102-ekonomist-oyladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-faiz-indirimi-yapacak-mi-102-ekonomist-oyladi\/","title":{"rendered":"FED Faiz \u0130ndirimi Yapacak M\u0131? 102 Ekonomist Oylad\u0131!"},"content":{"rendered":"

FED<\/strong> politikalar\u0131, k\u00fcresel<\/a> finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra kripto para piyasas\u0131 \u00fczerinde de belirleyici etkisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Son Reuters anketine g\u00f6re ekonomistlerin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 boyunca faiz oranlar\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmeyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Daha \u00f6nce g\u00fcndemde olan faiz indirim beklentileri ise giderek zay\u0131fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zellikle Orta Do\u011fu<\/a>‘da devam eden \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n enerji maliyetlerini art\u0131rmas\u0131 ve enflasyonu beklenenden daha diren\u00e7li hale getirmesi, para politikas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirmi\u015f durumda. Bu geli\u015fmeler, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n dijital varl\u0131k ve di\u011fer riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelik beklentilerini de yeniden \u015fekillendiriyor.<\/p>\n

FED Faizleri Neden Sabit Tutabilir?<\/h2>\n

Reuters taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen ankete kat\u0131lan 102 ekonomistin 72’si, FED’in politika faizini 2026 boyunca mevcut y\u00fczde 3,50 – y\u00fczde 3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda koruyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bir ay \u00f6nce bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc savunanlar\u0131n oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 50’nin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, daha \u00f6nceki anketlerde oran yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7te bir seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n

Vadeli faiz piyasalar\u0131 ise daha da dikkat \u00e7ekici bir tablo ortaya koyuyor. Piyasalar art\u0131k y\u0131l sonuna kadar en az bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

May\u0131s ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verileri de faiz indirimi beklentilerinin \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde geri \u00e7ekilmesine neden oldu. Bu durum hem geleneksel yat\u0131r\u0131m piyasalar\u0131nda hem de kripto yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar aras\u0131nda yak\u0131ndan takip ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Piyasalar\u0131n Beklentisi Ne Y\u00f6nde?<\/h2>\n

CME FedWatch verileri de piyasalar\u0131n 16-17 Haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in mevcut beklentisini net \u015fekilde ortaya koyuyor. Verilere g\u00f6re yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, FED’in faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 mevcut %3,50-%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda b\u0131rakma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %98,2 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, faizin %3,25-%3,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7ekilme ihtimali yaln\u0131zca %1,8 seviyesinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\"fed<\/p>\n

Bu tablo, piyasan\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede herhangi bir faiz indirimi beklemedi\u011fini ve mevcut para politikas\u0131 duru\u015funun korunaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Enflasyon FED \u00dczerindeki Bask\u0131y\u0131 Nas\u0131l Art\u0131r\u0131yor?<\/h2>\n

ABD’de enflasyon oran\u0131 FED’in y\u00fczde 2 hedefinin yakla\u015f\u0131k iki kat\u0131na ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. \u00dcstelik son be\u015f y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcredir devam eden fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklenmiyor.<\/p>\n

Reuters’\u0131n ayr\u0131 bir ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na g\u00f6re t\u00fcketici enflasyonunun ge\u00e7en ay y\u00fczde 4,2 seviyesine y\u00fckselmi\u015f olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u00c7ekirdek enflasyonun ise y\u00fczde 2,9’a \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

FED’in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 (PCE) Fiyat Endeksi de nisan ay\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 3,8’e ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu veri, May\u0131s 2023’ten bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en y\u00fcksek seviye olarak kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n

Uzmanlar, ikinci \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 3,9, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 3,8 ve d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 3,6 seviyelerinde enflasyon bekliyor.<\/p>\n

Yeni FED Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Nas\u0131l Bir Yol \u0130zleyebilir?<\/h2>\n

16-17 Haziran tarihlerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi toplant\u0131s\u0131, yeni FED Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh’\u0131n ilk toplant\u0131s\u0131 olacak. Ankete kat\u0131lan ekonomistlerin hi\u00e7biri bu toplant\u0131 sonunda faiz indirimi beklemiyor.<\/p>\n

Wells Fargo Ba\u015f Ekonomisti Tom Porcelli, mevcut ko\u015fullarda faiz indiriminin savunulmas\u0131n\u0131n olduk\u00e7a zor oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Ona g\u00f6re FED \u00fcyelerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funu faiz indirimi konusunda ikna etmek k\u0131sa vadede m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Baz\u0131 ekonomistler, FED’in bu ay yay\u0131mlayaca\u011f\u0131 politika metninde gev\u015feme e\u011filimini tamamen kald\u0131rabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Mart ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanan projeksiyonlarda bir faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, yeni tahminlerde sabit faiz veya s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sinyalleri g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n

Kripto Para Piyasas\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in Riskler Neler?<\/h2>\n

Rabobank Stratejisti Philip Marey’e g\u00f6re en b\u00fcy\u00fck risk, enflasyonun beklenenden daha kal\u0131c\u0131 hale gelmesi. Bu senaryo, daha az faiz indirimi veya faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir.<\/p>\n

Uzmanlar ayr\u0131ca 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda yap\u0131lan ge\u00e7ici enflasyon de\u011ferlendirmelerinin hat\u0131rlanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini vurguluyor. O d\u00f6nemde Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131 y\u00fckselen fiyatlar\u0131n ge\u00e7ici olaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f, ancak merkez bankalar\u0131 daha sonra sert s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ad\u0131mlar\u0131 atmak zorunda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fcme ve i\u015fsizlik tahminlerinde ise \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik bulunmuyor. ABD ekonomisinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 2 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n ise y\u00fczde 4,3 civar\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

FED politikalar\u0131, k\u00fcresel finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra kripto para piyasas\u0131 \u00fczerinde de belirleyici etkisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Son Reuters anketine g\u00f6re ekonomistlerin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 boyunca faiz oranlar\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmeyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Daha \u00f6nce g\u00fcndemde olan faiz indirim beklentileri ise giderek zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle Orta Do\u011fu‘da devam eden \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n enerji maliyetlerini art\u0131rmas\u0131 ve enflasyonu beklenenden<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":211292,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9692,1512],"tags":[6037,413,16141,7517,25866,28345,828],"class_list":["post-211290","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","category-haber","tag-enflasyon","tag-fed","tag-fed-faiz-indirimi","tag-fed-faiz-karari","tag-fed-toplantisi","tag-kevin-warsh","tag-kripto-para"],"yoast_head":"\nFED Faiz \u0130ndirimi Yapacak M\u0131? 102 Ekonomist Oylad\u0131! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"FED politikalar\u0131, k\u00fcresel finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra kripto para piyasas\u0131 \u00fczerinde de belirleyici etkisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-faiz-indirimi-yapacak-mi-102-ekonomist-oyladi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"FED Faiz \u0130ndirimi Yapacak M\u0131? 102 Ekonomist Oylad\u0131!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"FED politikalar\u0131, k\u00fcresel finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra kripto para piyasas\u0131 \u00fczerinde de belirleyici etkisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-faiz-indirimi-yapacak-mi-102-ekonomist-oyladi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-06-09T11:34:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/fed-faiz-indirimi_cm.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1080\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Emre Yumlu\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Emre Yumlu\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/fed-faiz-indirimi-yapacak-mi-102-ekonomist-oyladi\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/fed-faiz-indirimi-yapacak-mi-102-ekonomist-oyladi\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Emre Yumlu\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/b420e8dd526693b7d9988349af8fb3bd\"},\"headline\":\"FED Faiz \u0130ndirimi Yapacak M\u0131? 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