{"id":206873,"date":"2026-05-04T17:00:07","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T14:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=206873"},"modified":"2026-05-04T17:59:47","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T14:59:47","slug":"fed-icin-yeni-donem-basliyor-ama-piyasalar-ikna-olmadi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-icin-yeni-donem-basliyor-ama-piyasalar-ikna-olmadi\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed i\u00e7in Yeni D\u00f6nem Ba\u015fl\u0131yor Ama Piyasalar \u0130kna Olmad\u0131!"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD<\/a> Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019nda liderlik de\u011fi\u015fimi yakla\u015f\u0131rken, piyasalar\u0131n beklentileri dikkat \u00e7ekici bir \u015fekilde sabit kalmaya devam ediyor. Kevin Warsh<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/a>\u2019\u0131n Fed<\/strong> ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ge\u00e7mesi beklenirken, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Haziran ay\u0131nda faiz indirimi<\/strong> ihtimalini olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Fed Powell D\u00f6nemi Sona Eriyor, Belirsizlik S\u00fcr\u00fcyor<\/h2>\n

Jerome Powell<\/span><\/span>, 29 Nisan\u2019daki toplant\u0131yla birlikte ba\u015fkan olarak son Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) oturumunu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. G\u00f6rev s\u00fcresi 15 May\u0131s 2026\u2019da sona erecek olan Powell\u2019\u0131n, isterse 2028 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar Fed Y\u00f6netim Kurulu\u2019nda kalabilme opsiyonu bulunuyor. Ancak bu karar\u0131n hen\u00fcz netle\u015fmemi\u015f olmas\u0131, piyasalarda ek bir belirsizlik unsuru yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Yeni Ba\u015fkan, Eski Politika m\u0131?<\/h2>\n

Senato Bankac\u0131l\u0131k Komitesi\u2019nden ge\u00e7en Warsh\u2019\u0131n, Haziran ortas\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131na ba\u015fkanl\u0131k etmesi bekleniyor. Warsh, ge\u00e7mi\u015f a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131nda daha gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131k bir profil \u00e7izmi\u015f ve \u00f6zellikle yapay zek\u00e2 kaynakl\u0131 verimlilik art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu dengeleyebilece\u011fini savunmu\u015ftu. Ancak mevcut makroekonomik tablo, bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\"fed<\/p>\n

Piyasalar Net: Faizler Sabit Kalacak<\/h2>\n

Vadeli i\u015flem piyasalar\u0131 ve tahmin platformlar\u0131, Haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz oranlar\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fiklik beklemiyor. CME Group<\/span><\/span> verilerine g\u00f6re faizlerin sabit kalma ihtimali %93\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde fiyatlan\u0131yor. Benzer \u015fekilde Polymarket<\/span><\/span> ve Kalshi<\/span><\/span> gibi platformlarda da \u201cde\u011fi\u015fiklik yok\u201d senaryosu %95\u2019in \u00fczerinde olas\u0131l\u0131kla \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Faiz indirimi ihtimali ise olduk\u00e7a s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir indirim beklentisi %3 ila %6 band\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ihtimali neredeyse s\u0131f\u0131r seviyesinde.<\/p>\n

Fed i\u00e7in Enflasyon ve Enerji Fiyatlar\u0131 Belirleyici<\/h2>\n

Piyasalar\u0131n temkinli duru\u015funun arkas\u0131nda iki temel fakt\u00f6r bulunuyor: %3,3 seviyesinde seyreden enflasyon ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131. Buna ek olarak jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerin enerji fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131s\u0131, enflasyonun kal\u0131c\u0131 olabilece\u011fine dair endi\u015feleri art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u0130lk S\u0131nav: G\u00fcven mi, De\u011fi\u015fim mi?<\/h2>\n

Warsh\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6reve ba\u015flamas\u0131, teoride politika y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir de\u011fi\u015fim potansiyeli ta\u015f\u0131sa da, piyasa oyuncular\u0131 bu de\u011fi\u015fimin hemen ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini beklemiyor. Aksine, yeni ba\u015fkan\u0131n ilk toplant\u0131s\u0131nda mevcut veri odakl\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi daha olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Sonu\u00e7 olarak, Fed\u2019de liderlik de\u011fi\u015fimi ya\u015fansa bile k\u0131sa vadede para politikas\u0131nda keskin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f beklenmiyor. Haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131, Warsh\u2019\u0131n piyasaya verece\u011fi ilk mesajlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik bir e\u015fik olacak.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019nda liderlik de\u011fi\u015fimi yakla\u015f\u0131rken, piyasalar\u0131n beklentileri dikkat \u00e7ekici bir \u015fekilde sabit kalmaya devam ediyor. Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n Fed ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ge\u00e7mesi beklenirken, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Haziran ay\u0131nda faiz indirimi ihtimalini olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Fed Powell D\u00f6nemi Sona Eriyor, Belirsizlik S\u00fcr\u00fcyor Jerome Powell, 29 Nisan\u2019daki toplant\u0131yla birlikte ba\u015fkan olarak son Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) oturumunu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. G\u00f6rev<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":174258,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9692,1512],"tags":[6037,15817,413,10127,28345,1298],"class_list":["post-206873","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","category-haber","tag-enflasyon","tag-faiz-indirimi","tag-fed","tag-fed-faiz","tag-kevin-warsh","tag-powell"],"yoast_head":"\nFed i\u00e7in Yeni D\u00f6nem Ba\u015fl\u0131yor Ama Piyasalar \u0130kna Olmad\u0131! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n Fed ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ge\u00e7mesi beklenirken, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Haziran ay\u0131nda faiz indirimi ihtimalini olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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