{"id":198280,"date":"2026-03-02T16:00:53","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T13:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=198280"},"modified":"2026-03-02T14:25:32","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T11:25:32","slug":"bitcoin-altina-gore-ucuz-kaldi-ralli-mi-geliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-altina-gore-ucuz-kaldi-ralli-mi-geliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Alt\u0131na G\u00f6re Ucuz Kald\u0131: Ralli Mi Geliyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/strong> mevcut fiyat seviyesinin, alt\u0131n<\/strong> <\/a>ve k\u00fcresel para arz\u0131na k\u0131yasla g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde dikkat \u00e7ekici bir analiz payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. Bitcoin teknoloji \u015firketi Jan3\u2019\u00fcn CEO\u2019su ve uzun s\u00fcredir Bitcoin savunuculu\u011fu yapan Samson Mow<\/strong><\/a>\u2019a g\u00f6re, piyasa verileri olas\u0131 bir fiyat d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor olabilir.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n Y\u00fckseldi, Bitcoin Geride mi Kald\u0131?<\/h2>\n

Alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Nisan vadeli alt\u0131n kontratlar\u0131 haftay\u0131 5.247,90 dolar seviyesinde kapat\u0131rken, tokenize alt\u0131n \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc PAX Gold (PAXG) ise 5.404,14 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Mow\u2019a g\u00f6re alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 geni\u015flemi\u015f\u201d bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiliyor.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Bitcoin\u2019in, alt\u0131n\u0131n piyasa de\u011feri ve k\u00fcresel para arz\u0131 trendine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 24 ila y\u00fczde 66 aras\u0131nda iskontolu i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ifade ediliyor. Bu durum, tarihsel e\u011filimlere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda BTC lehine bir d\u00fczeltme potansiyeline i\u015faret edebilir.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Z-Score Ne Anlat\u0131yor?<\/h2>\n

Mow\u2019un dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fi bir di\u011fer g\u00f6sterge ise Bitcoin\u2019in alt\u0131na oran\u0131n\u0131n Z-score metri\u011fi. Bu metrik, fiyat\u0131n tarihsel ortalamaya ne kadar uzakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcyor. Z-score\u2019un 0 seviyesinde olmas\u0131 fiyat\u0131n ortalamaya paralel seyretti\u011fini g\u00f6sterirken, negatif de\u011ferler ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin\/alt\u0131n oran\u0131n\u0131n Z-score\u2019u \u015fu anda yakla\u015f\u0131k -1,24 seviyesinde bulunuyor. Tarihsel olarak bu oran -2\u2019nin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ralliler ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f durumda. \u00d6rne\u011fin Kas\u0131m 2022\u2019de FTX \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131ras\u0131nda metrik -3 seviyesinin alt\u0131na gerilemi\u015f ve takip eden 12 ayda Bitcoin y\u00fczde 150\u2019den fazla y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. Benzer bir tablo Mart 2020\u2019de pandemi \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131ras\u0131nda da ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f; Bitcoin 3.717 dolar seviyesine indikten sonra bir y\u0131l i\u00e7inde y\u00fczde 300\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde de\u011fer kazanm\u0131\u015f ve Kas\u0131m 2021\u2019de 69.000 dolara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

50.000 Dolar Senaryosu Masada<\/h2>\n

\u00d6te yandan t\u00fcm analistler bu iyimser tabloyu payla\u015fm\u0131yor. Jeopolitik riskler ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 belirsizli\u011fi nedeniyle BTC fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 50.000 dolara do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilebilece\u011fini savunan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler de bulunuyor. Baz\u0131 piyasa uzmanlar\u0131 mevcut fiyat hareketlerinin 2022 ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131na benzerlik g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

BTC yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde zirveden dip seviyeye y\u00fczde 50\u2019den fazla gerileyerek 60.000 dolara kadar d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, ard\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir toparlanmayla 66.400 dolar civar\u0131na y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumda. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7te alt\u0131n ile aras\u0131ndaki makas\u0131n nas\u0131l kapanaca\u011f\u0131, piyasan\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan belirleyici olabilir.<\/p>\n

Son dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin mevcut fiyat seviyesinin, alt\u0131n ve k\u00fcresel para arz\u0131na k\u0131yasla g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde dikkat \u00e7ekici bir analiz payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. Bitcoin teknoloji \u015firketi Jan3\u2019\u00fcn CEO\u2019su ve uzun s\u00fcredir Bitcoin savunuculu\u011fu yapan Samson Mow\u2019a g\u00f6re, piyasa verileri olas\u0131 bir fiyat d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor olabilir. Alt\u0131n Y\u00fckseldi, Bitcoin Geride mi Kald\u0131? Alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":168410,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,39247],"tags":[6043,6141,12,207,6034,859,3010],"class_list":["post-198280","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-emtia-haberleri","tag-altin","tag-analiz","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-fiyat","tag-ralli","tag-teknik-analiz"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Alt\u0131na G\u00f6re Ucuz Kald\u0131: Ralli Mi Geliyor? - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin mevcut fiyat seviyesinin, alt\u0131n ve k\u00fcresel para arz\u0131na k\u0131yasla g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde dikkat \u00e7ekici bir analiz payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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