{"id":197001,"date":"2026-02-20T17:30:43","date_gmt":"2026-02-20T14:30:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=197001"},"modified":"2026-02-20T13:11:30","modified_gmt":"2026-02-20T10:11:30","slug":"bitcoin-icin-uyari-glassnode-kritik-seviyeyi-gosterdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-icin-uyari-glassnode-kritik-seviyeyi-gosterdi\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Uyar\u0131: Glassnode Verileri Kritik Seviyeyi G\u00f6sterdi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/strong>, Ger\u00e7ek Piyasa Ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ferek, Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen Fiyata (~54.900 $) do\u011fru savunma ama\u00e7l\u0131 bir aral\u0131\u011fa girdi. Glassnode\u2019un son zincir \u00fcst\u00fc verileri, bu k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli bir sapmadan \u00e7ok daha fazlas\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Piyasa art\u0131k net bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinde de\u011fil. Daha \u00e7ok dengelenmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Talep zay\u0131f, ETF<\/strong> ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131 negatife d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f durumda ve b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren net bir i\u015faret hen\u00fcz olu\u015fmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu t\u00fcr d\u00f6nemlerde fiyat genelde y\u00f6n aramaz. \u00d6nce zemin bulur.<\/p>\n

79.000 dolar\u0131n kayb\u0131 piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 savunmaya \u00e7ekti<\/h2>\n

True Market Mean, aktif Bitcoin arz\u0131n\u0131n ortalama maliyetini temsil eden \u00f6nemli bir zincir \u00fcst\u00fc referans seviyesidir ve \u015fu anda yakla\u015f\u0131k 79.000 dolar civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. Fiyat\u0131n bu seviyenin alt\u0131na inmesi, ortalama yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 maliyetinin art\u0131k piyasan\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu de\u011fi\u015fim teknik oldu\u011fu kadar davran\u0131\u015fsald\u0131r da.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fclerde benzer k\u0131r\u0131lmalar sonras\u0131 piyasa genellikle Realized Price\u2019a do\u011fru geni\u015fleyen bir s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma s\u00fcrecine girdi. Bug\u00fcn bu seviye yakla\u015f\u0131k 54.900 dolar. Bu nokta, dola\u015f\u0131mdaki t\u00fcm Bitcoin\u2019lerin ortalama edinim maliyetini temsil etti\u011fi i\u00e7in uzun vadeli denge seviyesi olarak kabul edilir.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle mevcut yap\u0131 iki ana referans aras\u0131nda \u015fekilleniyor: \u00fcstte 79.000 dolar, altta ise 54.900 dolar. Orta vadeli piyasa davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bu bant i\u00e7inde olu\u015fuyor.<\/p>\n

Piyasada Ger\u00e7ekte Ne Kadar Bitcoin Kald\u0131?<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

60.000\u201369.000 dolar kritik savunma b\u00f6lgesi<\/h2>\n

Glassnode\u2019un maliyet da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m verisi, \u00f6zellikle 60.000 ile 69.000 dolar aras\u0131nda yo\u011fun bir yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 pozisyonu oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu b\u00f6lge 2024\u2019\u00fcn ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda olu\u015fan konsolidasyon s\u00fcrecinde in\u015fa edildi ve o d\u00f6nemde yap\u0131lan al\u0131mlar b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde korunmu\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Bu \u00f6nemli bir denge mekanizmas\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar genellikle maliyet seviyelerine yak\u0131n fiyatlarda agresif sat\u0131\u015f yapmaz. Bu da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flat\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Son haftalarda g\u00f6zlenen fiyat davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 bu yap\u0131y\u0131 do\u011fruluyor. Sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 devam ediyor, ancak kontrols\u00fcz bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclme ya\u015fanm\u0131yor. Bunun yerine piyasa yatay bir s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma s\u00fcrecine giriyor.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Birikim var, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc al\u0131m yok<\/h2>\n

Accumulation Trend Score verisi yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 davran\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi daha net g\u00f6steriyor. Bu metrik k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m faz\u0131n\u0131 temsil eden 0.1 seviyesinin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Son \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmlerde ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 0.43 seviyesine y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Bu, sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc birikim evresi genellikle bu metrik 0.8 ve \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ba\u015flar. Mevcut seviyeler ise daha \u00e7ok n\u00f6tr bir dengeye i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Ba\u015fka bir ifadeyle, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar agresif \u015fekilde satmay\u0131 b\u0131rakt\u0131. Ama hen\u00fcz agresif \u015fekilde al\u0131m yapmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f de\u011filler.<\/p>\n

Bu fark, piyasan\u0131n neden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanma \u00fcretemedi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

ETF \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor<\/h2>\n

Kurumsal talep taraf\u0131nda da zay\u0131flama a\u00e7\u0131k \u015fekilde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Spot Bitcoin ETF\u2019lerinde net ak\u0131\u015flar yeniden negatif b\u00f6lgeye ge\u00e7ti. Daha \u00f6nce fiyat\u0131 destekleyen s\u00fcrekli giri\u015fler yerini \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flara b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Spot piyasa verileri de benzer bir tablo sunuyor. Cumulative Volume Delta g\u00f6stergesi, sat\u0131\u015f taraf\u0131n\u0131n daha bask\u0131n oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu, piyasada organik al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Bu t\u00fcr ortamda fiyat genellikle ani y\u00fckseli\u015flerden \u00e7ok yatay hareket eder. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi ta\u015f\u0131yacak s\u00fcrekli talep olu\u015fmaz.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131nda panik azald\u0131<\/h2>\n

Opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda volatilite oranlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi, panik a\u015famas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sona erdi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6zellikle implied volatility seviyelerindeki gerileme, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ani \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f beklentisini azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak bu durum g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisi olu\u015ftu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelmiyor. Funding rate ve opsiyon pozisyonlar\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 temkinli bir yap\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Yani piyasa art\u0131k panik modunda de\u011fil. Ama hen\u00fcz iyimser de de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin denge ar\u0131yor, y\u00f6n hen\u00fcz netle\u015fmi\u015f de\u011fil<\/h2>\n

Glassnode verileri birlikte de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde Bitcoin\u2019in \u015fu anda ge\u00e7i\u015f evresinde oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. True Market Mean\u2019in kayb\u0131 piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131. ETF \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve zay\u0131f spot talep toparlanmay\u0131 yava\u015flat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Buna ra\u011fmen sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 tamamen kontrol d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f de\u011fil. 60.000\u201369.000 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir denge b\u00f6lgesi olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

Yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin ba\u015flamas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00fc\u00e7 unsur belirleyici olacak: spot talebin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi, ETF giri\u015flerinin yeniden pozitife d\u00f6nmesi ve b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n net birikim davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6stermesi.<\/p>\n

Bu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fene kadar Bitcoin\u2019in, yakla\u015f\u0131k 54.900 dolar ile 79.000 dolar aras\u0131nda tan\u0131mlanan savunma aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareket etmeye devam etmesi, mevcut zincir \u00fcst\u00fc yap\u0131yla en uyumlu senaryo olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Son dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen<\/a>\u00a0t\u0131kla<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin, Ger\u00e7ek Piyasa Ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ferek, Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen Fiyata (~54.900 $) do\u011fru savunma ama\u00e7l\u0131 bir aral\u0131\u011fa girdi. Glassnode\u2019un son zincir \u00fcst\u00fc verileri, bu k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli bir sapmadan \u00e7ok daha fazlas\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Piyasa art\u0131k net bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinde de\u011fil. Daha \u00e7ok dengelenmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Talep zay\u0131f, ETF ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131 negatife d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f durumda ve b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":157994,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[11785,39802,39002,39800,39801],"class_list":["post-197001","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-bitcoin-analizi","tag-etf-cikis-etkisi","tag-glassnode-analizi","tag-realized-price-seviyesi","tag-zincir-ustu-piyasa-verisi"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Uyar\u0131: Glassnode Verileri Kritik Seviyeyi G\u00f6sterdi - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Glassnode verisi Bitcoin\u2019in 79.000 alt\u0131na indi\u011fini ve 54.900 dolar realized price seviyesine do\u011fru savunma 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