{"id":196812,"date":"2026-02-19T14:00:05","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T11:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=196812"},"modified":"2026-02-19T10:34:24","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T07:34:24","slug":"hayesten-bitcoin-icin-iki-senaryo-ralli-mi-cokus-mu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/hayesten-bitcoin-icin-iki-senaryo-ralli-mi-cokus-mu\/","title":{"rendered":"Hayes\u2019ten Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in \u0130ki Senaryo: Ralli Mi? \u00c7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f M\u00fc?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kripto piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 isimlerden Arthur Hayes<\/strong><\/a>, Bitcoin<\/strong> i\u00e7in yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisi dile getirdi. BitMEX\u2019in kurucu orta\u011f\u0131 olan Hayes\u2019e g\u00f6re Washington kaynakl\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 572 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir likidite art\u0131\u015f\u0131, piyasalar i\u00e7in yeni bir ralli zemini olu\u015fturabilir. Bu de\u011ferlendirme, \u00f6zellikle ABD Hazine Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n nakit y\u00f6netimi ve bor\u00e7 geri al\u0131m ad\u0131mlar\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131.<\/p>\n

Likidite Dalgas\u0131n\u0131n Kayna\u011f\u0131 Ne?<\/h2>\n

Hayes\u2019in dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fi temel unsur, ABD Hazine Genel Hesab\u0131 (TGA). Bu hesap, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin Fed nezdindeki ana nakit hesab\u0131 olarak i\u015flev g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Hesaptaki bakiye y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funda para sistem d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bekliyor; bakiye azald\u0131k\u00e7a ise harcamalar yoluyla finansal sisteme likidite geri d\u00f6n\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Mevcut tabloda TGA bakiyesi yakla\u015f\u0131k 750 milyar dolar seviyesinde. Hazine\u2019nin hedefledi\u011fi seviye ise 450 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda. Bu fark, yakla\u015f\u0131k 301 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir tutar\u0131n zamanla piyasaya akabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Buna ek olarak Hazine\u2019nin ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahvil geri al\u0131m program\u0131 da dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Eski tahvillerin geri sat\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131 yoluyla piyasa i\u015fleyi\u015finin desteklenmesi ama\u00e7lan\u0131yor. Hayes, bu program\u0131n mevcut h\u0131zda y\u0131ll\u0131k yakla\u015f\u0131k 271 milyar dolar ek likidite yaratabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. \u0130ki kalem bir araya geldi\u011finde toplam potansiyel likidite etkisi 572 milyar dolara ula\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u201cGizli Te\u015fvik\u201d Etkisi<\/h2>\n

Hayes\u2019e g\u00f6re bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, resmi olarak parasal gev\u015feme olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lmasa da pratikte benzer bir etki yarat\u0131yor. Fed s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015f mesajlar\u0131 verirken, Hazine kanal\u0131yla sisteme nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 \u201c\u00f6rt\u00fck bir te\u015fvik\u201d anlam\u0131na geliyor. Likiditenin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131n genellikle olumlu tepki verdi\u011fi biliniyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Ne Anlama Geliyor?<\/h2>\n

Hayes, kripto piyasalar\u0131nda en zorlu d\u00f6nemin geride kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunuyor. Bitcoin\u2019in tarihsel olarak k\u00fcresel likiditeyle paralel hareket etti\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Dolar arz\u0131n\u0131n geni\u015flemesi, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 arza sahip varl\u0131klar \u00fczerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fturabiliyor.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca piyasada a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 k\u0131sa pozisyon birikimine i\u015faret eden fonlama oranlar\u0131n\u0131n da potansiyel bir s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmaya zemin haz\u0131rlayabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor. E\u011fer Hazine kaynakl\u0131 likidite ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u0131zlan\u0131r ve piyasa ters pozisyonda yakalan\u0131rsa, bu durum h\u0131zl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f hareketini tetikleyebilir. Hayes, bu senaryonun Bitcoin\u2019i yeniden t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvelerine, hatta 100.000 dolar seviyesine ta\u015f\u0131yabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

*Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kripto piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 isimlerden Arthur Hayes, Bitcoin i\u00e7in yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisi dile getirdi. BitMEX\u2019in kurucu orta\u011f\u0131 olan Hayes\u2019e g\u00f6re Washington kaynakl\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 572 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir likidite art\u0131\u015f\u0131, piyasalar i\u00e7in yeni bir ralli zemini olu\u015fturabilir. Bu de\u011ferlendirme, \u00f6zellikle ABD Hazine Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n nakit y\u00f6netimi ve bor\u00e7 geri al\u0131m ad\u0131mlar\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131. Likidite Dalgas\u0131n\u0131n Kayna\u011f\u0131<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":186604,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[10109,12,636,413,18936,835,39748,39749],"class_list":["post-196812","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-arthur-hayes","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitmex","tag-fed","tag-hazine-bakanligi","tag-likidite","tag-tahvil-geri-alim","tag-tga"],"yoast_head":"\nHayes\u2019ten Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in \u0130ki Senaryo: Ralli Mi? \u00c7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f M\u00fc? - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Kripto piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 isimlerden Arthur Hayes, Bitcoin i\u00e7in iki senaryo payla\u015ft\u0131! 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