{"id":196320,"date":"2026-02-16T17:00:32","date_gmt":"2026-02-16T14:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=196320"},"modified":"2026-02-16T11:26:59","modified_gmt":"2026-02-16T08:26:59","slug":"bitcoin-%22-dustu-2018-senaryosu-mu-geliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-%22-dustu-2018-senaryosu-mu-geliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin %22 D\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: 2018 Senaryosu mu Geliyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131nda 87.700 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6ren Bitcoin<\/strong>, birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 bin dolarl\u0131k bir kay\u0131pla 68.000 band\u0131na kadar indi. Ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde basit bir d\u00fczeltme gibi duruyor. Ama rakamlar biraz daha derine indik\u00e7e ba\u015fka bir hik\u00e2ye anlat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131, Bitcoin i\u00e7in \u015fimdiden %22,3\u2019l\u00fck bir erime anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu tempo korunursa, piyasa 2018\u2019den bu yana en k\u00f6t\u00fc ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fe do\u011fru ilerliyor olabilir. O d\u00f6nem hat\u0131rlan\u0131r: \u00fc\u00e7 ayda neredeyse %50\u2019lik sert bir \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

K\u0131sa cevap? Evet, ihtimal masada. Uzun cevap ise biraz daha katmanl\u0131.<\/p>\n

Q1 istatistikleri alarm veriyor<\/h3>\n

Verilere g\u00f6re Bitcoin, bug\u00fcne kadar 13 farkl\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fin yedisini k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 kapatt\u0131. En sert darbe 2018\u2019de geldi (%49,7). Daha yak\u0131n \u00f6rneklerde ise 2020\u2019de %10,8, 2025\u2019te %11,8\u2019lik kay\u0131plar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc \u2014 bu rakamlar CoinGlass<\/span><\/span> kay\u0131tlar\u0131nda net \u015fekilde yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Kripto analisti Daan Trades Crypto<\/span><\/span>, hafta sonu yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmede ilk \u00e7eyreklerin tarihsel olarak \u201cdo\u011fas\u0131 gere\u011fi oynak\u201d oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekti. Yani Q1\u2019de olan biten, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131n\u0131 birebir yans\u0131tm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Burada ilgin\u00e7 bir detay var: Bitcoin yaln\u0131zca iki kez \u00fcst \u00fcste ilk \u00e7eyrekleri zararla kapatt\u0131. 2018 ve 2022. \u0130kisi de ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Hem Ocak hem \u015eubat k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 olabilir<\/h3>\n

Belki de as\u0131l dikkat \u00e7ekici sinyal buras\u0131. Bitcoin Ocak\u2019ta %10,2 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u015eubat taraf\u0131nda kay\u0131p \u015fimdiden %13,4. E\u011fer fiyat ay sonuna kadar 80.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine atamazsa, tarihte ilk kez hem Ocak hem \u015eubat negatif kapanm\u0131\u015f olacak.<\/p>\n

Bu k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnen istatistik, algoritmik trader\u2019lardan uzun vadeli fonlara kadar bir\u00e7ok oyuncunun radar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

Bu arada Ethereum<\/a> cephesi de rahat de\u011fil. ETH, ilk \u00e7eyreklerin yaln\u0131zca \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnde k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f olsa da mevcut d\u00f6nem \u015fimdiden %34,3 kay\u0131pla tarihsel olarak en k\u00f6t\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc Q1\u2019e do\u011fru ilerliyor.<\/p>\n

\u201cBu bir \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f de\u011fil, klasik bir d\u00fczeltme\u201d<\/h3>\n

Nick Ruck<\/span><\/span>, LVRG Research<\/span><\/span> ad\u0131na yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmede, mevcut geri \u00e7ekilmeyi yap\u0131sal bir bozulmadan ziyade \u201cklasik bir d\u00fczeltme faz\u0131\u201d olarak tan\u0131ml\u0131yor. K\u00fcresel belirsizliklerin k\u0131sa vadede bask\u0131 yaratabilece\u011fini kabul ediyor, ancak tarihsel olarak Bitcoin\u2019in bu t\u00fcr d\u00f6nemlerden sonra g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc toparlanmalar sergiledi\u011fini hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Kurumsal ilginin devam etmesi ve halving d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn arka planda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, orta vadeli anlat\u0131y\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 ayakta tutan ana ba\u015fl\u0131klar aras\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

Son 24 saatte BTC %2,3 daha geriledi ve yaz\u0131 haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken 68.600 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. G\u00fcncel fiyat ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 CoinGecko<\/span><\/span> verileriyle \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Haber ilk olarak Cointelegraph<\/span><\/span> kaynakl\u0131.<\/p>\n

Piyasa \u015fimdilik durdu, ama veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u0131zlan\u0131yor<\/h3>\n

Zincir \u00fcst\u00fc metriklerde i\u015flem hacmi d\u00fc\u015ferken, t\u00fcrev piyasalar\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131k pozisyonlar yeniden artmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu genelde \u201ckarars\u0131z dip\u201d evresine i\u015faret eder. Yani panik sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 geride kalm\u0131\u015f olabilir, fakat y\u00f6n hen\u00fcz net de\u011fil. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn, \u00f6zellikle ABD makro verileriyle birlikte, fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli kaderini belirleyebilir.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana %22\u2019den fazla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, art arda be\u015f haftal\u0131k kay\u0131p ya\u015fad\u0131 ve tarihte ilk kez Ocak\u2013\u015eubat \u00e7ift k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131s\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131yor. Bu tablo, y\u00fczeyde \u00fcrk\u00fct\u00fcc\u00fc. Ancak ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fcler, Q1 \u00e7alkant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n her zaman kal\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Piyasa \u015fu anda bir t\u00fcr bekleme odas\u0131nda \u2014 sessiz, gergin ve fazlas\u0131yla hassas.<\/p>\n

Son dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131nda 87.700 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6ren Bitcoin, birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 bin dolarl\u0131k bir kay\u0131pla 68.000 band\u0131na kadar indi. Ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde basit bir d\u00fczeltme gibi duruyor. Ama rakamlar biraz daha derine indik\u00e7e ba\u015fka bir hik\u00e2ye anlat\u0131yor. 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131, Bitcoin i\u00e7in \u015fimdiden %22,3\u2019l\u00fck bir erime anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu tempo korunursa, piyasa 2018\u2019den<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":150771,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[39663,39381,39661,19285,39662],"class_list":["post-196320","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-bitcoin-q1-analizi","tag-btc-neden-dusuyor","tag-kripto-performansi","tag-kripto-volatilite","tag-piyasa-duzeltme-sureci"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin %22 D\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: 2018 Senaryosu mu Geliyor? - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda \u2019den fazla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 2026, 2018\u2019den bu yana en k\u00f6t\u00fc Q1 olabilir mi? Ocak\u2013\u015eubat ilk kez k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131ya gidiyor.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin--dustu-2018-senaryosu-mu-geliyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin %22 D\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: 2018 Senaryosu mu Geliyor?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda \u2019den fazla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 2026, 2018\u2019den bu yana en k\u00f6t\u00fc Q1 olabilir mi? 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