{"id":196022,"date":"2026-02-13T15:00:43","date_gmt":"2026-02-13T12:00:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=196022"},"modified":"2026-02-13T10:59:14","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T07:59:14","slug":"fed-2026da-kac-faiz-indirimi-yapacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-2026da-kac-faiz-indirimi-yapacak\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed 2026’da Ka\u00e7 Faiz \u0130ndirimi Yapacak?"},"content":{"rendered":"

K\u00fcresel piyasalarda g\u00f6zler ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FED<\/strong>) ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlara \u00e7evrilmi\u015f durumda. Reuters taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen iki ayr\u0131 anketin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, bu y\u0131l para politikas\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ancak dikkat \u00e7ekici bir gev\u015feme beklentisine i\u015faret ediyor. Ekonomistlerin genel g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, FED\u2019in 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde toplam iki faiz indirimi<\/strong><\/a> yapaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde \u015fekilleniyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130lk Fed Faiz \u0130ndirimi Ne Zaman?<\/h2>\n

Anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re ilk faiz indiriminin Haziran ay\u0131nda gelmesi bekleniyor. Bu d\u00f6nemin, FED ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 devralmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen Kevin Warsh\u2019un g\u00f6rev s\u00fcresine denk gelmesi dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, yeni ba\u015fkan d\u00f6neminde para politikas\u0131nda daha esnek bir yakla\u015f\u0131m ihtimalini fiyatlamaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Medyan beklentiye g\u00f6re y\u0131l i\u00e7inde iki indirimle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131nacak. Bu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc, agresif bir gev\u015feme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnden ziyade kontroll\u00fc ve veri odakl\u0131 bir politika patikas\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Tahvil Getirilerine Yans\u0131yan Beklentiler<\/h2>\n

Faiz indirimi beklentileri, k\u0131sa vadeli tahvil piyasas\u0131nda da kendini g\u00f6steriyor. Faize duyarl\u0131 iki y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili getirisi i\u00e7in Nisan sonunda y\u00fczde 3,50\u2019den y\u00fczde 3,45\u2019e gerileme, Temmuz sonunda ise y\u00fczde 3,38 seviyesine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f tahmin ediliyor. Bu tablo, piyasalar\u0131n faiz indirimlerini kademeli olarak fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131n uzun vadeli tahvillerde farkl\u0131 bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm s\u00f6z konusu. Ankete g\u00f6re, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k g\u00f6sterge tahvil getirisi bir y\u0131l i\u00e7inde y\u00fczde 4,29 seviyesine y\u00fckselebilir. Bu oran, ge\u00e7en ayki y\u00fczde 4,20\u2019lik medyan beklentinin \u00fczerinde. Uzun vadeli faizlerde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskin temel nedenleri aras\u0131nda enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131 ve FED\u2019in ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin kayg\u0131lar yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\"\"
ABD Hazine Tahvili Getirileri<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Maliye Politikas\u0131 ve FED Dengesi<\/h2>\n

Ankete kat\u0131lan 37 tahvil stratejistinin 21\u2019i, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda artmas\u0131 beklenen Hazine tahvili ihrac\u0131n\u0131n FED bilan\u00e7osunda anlaml\u0131 bir k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeyi zorla\u015ft\u0131rabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Trump\u2019\u0131n vergi indirimleri ve harcama planlar\u0131n\u0131n finansman\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek miktarda bor\u00e7lanma ihtiyac\u0131 do\u011fabilece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

FED\u2019in yakla\u015f\u0131k 6,6 trilyon dolarl\u0131k bilan\u00e7osu dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, para politikas\u0131 ile maliye politikas\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki denge daha karma\u015f\u0131k bir hal alabilir. Bu durum, faiz patikas\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme verileriyle de\u011fil, kamu finansman\u0131 dinamikleriyle de \u015fekillenece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

K\u00fcresel piyasalarda g\u00f6zler ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FED) ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlara \u00e7evrilmi\u015f durumda. Reuters taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen iki ayr\u0131 anketin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, bu y\u0131l para politikas\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ancak dikkat \u00e7ekici bir gev\u015feme beklentisine i\u015faret ediyor. Ekonomistlerin genel g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, FED\u2019in 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde toplam iki faiz indirimi yapaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde \u015fekilleniyor. \u0130lk Fed Faiz \u0130ndirimi Ne Zaman? Anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re ilk<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":174258,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9692,1512],"tags":[9175,12,8082,243,15817,413,28345,698,1180],"class_list":["post-196022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","category-haber","tag-altcoinler","tag-bitcoin","tag-ekonomi","tag-ethereum","tag-faiz-indirimi","tag-fed","tag-kevin-warsh","tag-tahvil","tag-trump"],"yoast_head":"\nFed 2026'da Ka\u00e7 Faiz \u0130ndirimi Yapacak? - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"K\u00fcresel piyasalarda g\u00f6zler ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FED) faiz karar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlara \u00e7evrilmi\u015f durumda.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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