{"id":195289,"date":"2026-02-09T16:00:47","date_gmt":"2026-02-09T13:00:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=195289"},"modified":"2026-02-09T10:45:18","modified_gmt":"2026-02-09T07:45:18","slug":"coinshares-bitcoin-icin-kuantum-tehdidi-abartiliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/coinshares-bitcoin-icin-kuantum-tehdidi-abartiliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"CoinShares: “Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Kuantum Tehdidi Abart\u0131l\u0131yor”"},"content":{"rendered":"

Son d\u00f6nemde kuantum<\/strong> bilgisayarlar\u0131n Bitcoin<\/strong> <\/a>i\u00e7in ciddi bir tehdit olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki s\u00f6ylemler yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelmi\u015f durumda. Ancak dijital varl\u0131k y\u00f6netim \u015firketi CoinShares taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan yeni bir analiz, bu endi\u015felerin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde abart\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor. Rapora g\u00f6re, teorik risk ile piyasay\u0131 ger\u00e7ekten sarsabilecek pratik risk aras\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir fark bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Risk Alt\u0131ndaki Bitcoin Ne Kadar?<\/h2>\n

Kuantum tehdidine ili\u015fkin baz\u0131 tahminler, toplam Bitcoin arz\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 20 ila 50\u2019sinin gelecekte tehlikeye girebilece\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. CoinShares ise bu rakamlar\u0131n, teknik olarak \u201cmaruz kalma ihtimali\u201d ile fiilen ele ge\u00e7irilebilir varl\u0131klar\u0131 birbirine kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunuyor.<\/p>\n

\u015eirket analizinde \u00f6zellikle eski nesil Pay-to-Public-Key (P2PK) adreslerine odaklan\u0131yor. Bu adreslerde a\u00e7\u0131k anahtarlar zincir \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebildi\u011fi i\u00e7in, teorik olarak kuantum sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na daha a\u00e7\u0131k kabul ediliyor. CoinShares\u2019e g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,6 milyon BTC, yani toplam arz\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 8\u2019i bu t\u00fcr adreslerde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

As\u0131l Kritik Nokta: Da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m<\/h2>\n

Ancak CoinShares\u2019in vurgulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 as\u0131l mesele, bu Bitcoin\u2019lerin nas\u0131l da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131. Analize g\u00f6re, piyasa \u00fczerinde \u201canlaml\u0131 bir bozulma\u201d yaratabilecek b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte risk ta\u015f\u0131yan miktar yaln\u0131zca 10.200 BTC civar\u0131nda. Geri kalan Bitcoin\u2019ler ise 32 binden fazla farkl\u0131 UTXO\u2019ya da\u011f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f durumda ve her biri ortalama 50 BTC i\u00e7eriyor.<\/p>\n

Bu durum, olas\u0131 bir kuantum sald\u0131rgan\u0131n\u0131n tek bir b\u00fcy\u00fck c\u00fczdan\u0131 hedef al\u0131p y\u00fcksek miktarda Bitcoin ele ge\u00e7irmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Aksine, sald\u0131rgan\u0131n binlerce k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck par\u00e7ay\u0131 tek tek k\u0131rmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bu da s\u00fcreci daha yava\u015f, daha maliyetli ve daha g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr h\u00e2le getiriyor.<\/p>\n

Teknolojik Ger\u00e7ekler ve Zaman \u00c7izelgesi<\/h2>\n

CoinShares\u2019e g\u00f6re Bitcoin\u2019in kriptografisini k\u0131rabilecek bir kuantum sistem, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczdeki en geli\u015fmi\u015f makinelerden yakla\u015f\u0131k 100.000 kat daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmal\u0131. Ledger CTO\u2019su Charles Guillemet\u2019in aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, mevcut sistemler y\u00fczlerce qubit seviyesindeyken, bu t\u00fcr bir sald\u0131r\u0131 i\u00e7in milyonlarca qubit gerekiyor. Bu da tehdidin en az on y\u0131l uzakta oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Panik Yerine Kademeli Ge\u00e7i\u015f<\/h2>\n

Raporda, kuantum riskinin acil bir krizden ziyade, zaman i\u00e7inde y\u00f6netilebilecek bir m\u00fchendislik problemi oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. CoinShares, Bitcoin ekosisteminin post-kuantum imzalara kademeli olarak ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini savunuyor.<\/p>\n

Geli\u015ftiriciler ile kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar aras\u0131nda bu konuda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ayr\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 olsa da, mevcut veriler kuantum tehdidinin bug\u00fcn i\u00e7in Bitcoin piyasas\u0131n\u0131 sarsacak d\u00fczeyde olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Tart\u0131\u015fma s\u00fcrse de, tablo k\u0131sa vadeli bir felaketten \u00e7ok uzun vadeli bir haz\u0131rl\u0131k s\u00fcrecine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Son dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen<\/a>\u00a0t\u0131kla<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Son d\u00f6nemde kuantum bilgisayarlar\u0131n Bitcoin i\u00e7in ciddi bir tehdit olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki s\u00f6ylemler yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelmi\u015f durumda. Ancak dijital varl\u0131k y\u00f6netim \u015firketi CoinShares taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan yeni bir analiz, bu endi\u015felerin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde abart\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor. Rapora g\u00f6re, teorik risk ile piyasay\u0131 ger\u00e7ekten sarsabilecek pratik risk aras\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir fark bulunuyor. Risk Alt\u0131ndaki Bitcoin Ne Kadar? Kuantum<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":171479,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[12,525,21611,38029],"class_list":["post-195289","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-bitcoin","tag-coinshares","tag-kuantum-bilgisayar","tag-quantum"],"yoast_head":"\nCoinShares: "Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Kuantum Tehdidi Abart\u0131l\u0131yor" - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Son d\u00f6nemde kuantum bilgisayarlar\u0131n Bitcoin i\u00e7in ciddi bir tehdit olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki s\u00f6ylemler yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelmi\u015f durumda.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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