{"id":195265,"date":"2026-02-09T09:29:22","date_gmt":"2026-02-09T06:29:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=195265"},"modified":"2026-02-09T09:29:22","modified_gmt":"2026-02-09T06:29:22","slug":"altin-ve-gumus-fiyatlari-yeni-haftada-ne-durumda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/altin-ve-gumus-fiyatlari-yeni-haftada-ne-durumda\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n ve G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f Fiyatlar\u0131 Yeni Haftada Ne Durumda?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n<\/strong> ve g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f<\/strong><\/a> fiyatlar\u0131 haftaya g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ba\u015flad\u0131. ABD dolar\u0131ndaki zay\u0131flama, cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc sert toparlanman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan de\u011ferli metallere yeni bir ivme kazand\u0131rd\u0131. Spot alt\u0131n pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 1,46 y\u00fckselerek ons ba\u015f\u0131na 5.038,8 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. G\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 5.046 dolar test edilirken, Nisan vadeli ABD alt\u0131n kontratlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 1,1 primle 5.033,80 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n, psikolojik 5.000 dolar e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerine yeniden yerle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f cephesinde hareket daha sertti. Spot g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f y\u00fczde 4,6 art\u0131\u015fla 81,54 dolara kadar y\u00fckseldi. Ge\u00e7en hafta 60 dolar band\u0131na kadar sarkan fiyatlar i\u00e7in bu s\u0131\u00e7rama, k\u0131sa vadeli panik sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sindirildi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Platin ise ayn\u0131 tabloyu payla\u015fmad\u0131 ve y\u00fczde 2,3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 2.068 dolar seviyelerine geriledi.<\/p>\n

Piyasa h\u00e2l\u00e2 net bir hik\u00e2ye ar\u0131yor. Ve a\u00e7\u0131k konu\u015fmak gerekirse, bulmakta zorlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

G\u00f6zler ABD Verilerinde: Dolar Bask\u0131 Alt\u0131nda<\/h2>\n

Bu hafta yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda ABD tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi ile t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi (T\u00dcFE) bulunuyor. Her iki veri de Fed\u2019in faiz patikas\u0131na dair yeni ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 verebilir. Ocak ay\u0131 i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc raporunun \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fcne ertelenmesi, k\u0131sa vadeli oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131; bu bo\u015fluk, alt\u0131na nefes alacak alan a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD dolar\u0131 4 \u015eubat\u2019tan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine gerilerken, bu durum dolar bazl\u0131 fiyatlanan metalleri k\u00fcresel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in daha cazip hale getirdi. Uzmanlar, k\u0131sa vadede alt\u0131n, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f ve dolar aras\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir g\u00fcn i\u00e7i korelasyon olu\u015ftu\u011funu vurguluyor.<\/p>\n

KCM Ba\u015f Analisti Tim Waterer, mevcut tabloyu \u015f\u00f6yle \u00f6zetliyor:<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cF\u0131rsat al\u0131mlar\u0131 alt\u0131n\u0131 psikolojik 5.000 dolar seviyesinin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yor.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Japon yeni de hafta sonu yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken, dolar endeksi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131 daha g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr hale geldi.<\/p>\n

Fed Belirsizli\u011fi Fiyatlaman\u0131n Merkezinde<\/h2>\n

Ge\u00e7en hafta de\u011ferli metal piyasalar\u0131nda sert k\u0131rba\u00e7 hareketleri izlendi. Bunun temel nedeni, Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n Fed ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirmesiyle dolar\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli toparlanmas\u0131yd\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar, alt\u0131n ve g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte k\u00e2r realizasyonunu tetikledi.<\/p>\n

Ancak tablo h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fti. ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent\u2019in Warsh hakk\u0131nda olas\u0131 cezai soru\u015fturma ihtimalini net bi\u00e7imde d\u0131\u015flamamas\u0131, kurumsal g\u00fcven taraf\u0131nda soru i\u015faretleri yaratt\u0131. Fed\u2019in ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik artan kayg\u0131lar dolar\u0131 yeniden bask\u0131 alt\u0131na ald\u0131. Dolar zay\u0131flad\u0131k\u00e7a, dolar bazl\u0131 fiyatlanan alt\u0131n do\u011fal olarak yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc tepki verdi.<\/p>\n

Piyasalar \u015fu anda 2026 i\u00e7inde en az iki adet 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz indirimi ihtimalini fiyatl\u0131yor. \u0130lk indirimin Haziran ay\u0131nda gelmesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 masada. Faiz getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ortamlar\u0131nda tarihsel olarak daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

San Francisco Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mary Daly de cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 dengelemek i\u00e7in bir veya iki faiz indirimine daha ihtiya\u00e7 duyulabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Waterer\u2019a g\u00f6re, istihdam verilerinde olas\u0131 bir yumu\u015fama alt\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekleyebilir \u2014 ancak ciddi bir bozulma g\u00f6r\u00fclmedik\u00e7e Fed\u2019in y\u0131l ortas\u0131na kadar net bir ad\u0131m atmas\u0131 beklenmiyor.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye Piyasas\u0131nda Gram Alt\u0131n 7.500 TL\u2019ye Dayand\u0131<\/h2>\n

K\u00fcresel y\u00fckseli\u015f T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye de yans\u0131d\u0131. Kapal\u0131\u00e7ar\u015f\u0131 taraf\u0131nda gram alt\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 7.518 TL civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, \u00e7eyrek alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 12.262 TL seviyelerine kadar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Fiziki piyasada al\u0131m ilgisi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; ons alt\u0131ndaki hareket ve d\u00f6viz kuru birlikte fiyatlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Yerel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan tablo net: k\u00fcresel belirsizlik, i\u00e7eride fiyatlar\u0131 daha da hassas hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in Fakt\u00f6r\u00fc Sessiz Ama Kal\u0131c\u0131<\/h2>\n

Alt\u0131n\u0131n orta\u2013uzun vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc destekleyen en net ba\u015fl\u0131klardan biri ise \u00c7in.<\/p>\n

Ocak ay\u0131nda \u00c7in Halk Bankas\u0131 alt\u0131n rezervlerini 15. ay \u00fcst \u00fcste art\u0131rarak 74,19 milyon ons seviyesine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Bu hamle, dolar bazl\u0131 rezervlerden stratejik \u00e7e\u015fitlendirme sinyali olarak okunuyor. \u00c7in zaten d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck alt\u0131n t\u00fcketicisi konumunda ve merkez bankas\u0131 talebinin devam etmesi, fiyatlar i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte Diren\u00e7 Hatt\u0131 Yakla\u015f\u0131yor<\/h2>\n

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm daha agresif. Metal, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk s\u0131\u00e7raman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ivmesini koruyor. Ancak analistler temkinli.<\/p>\n

Kelvin Wong\u2019a g\u00f6re 92,24 dolar seviyesi kritik diren\u00e7. Bu b\u00f6lge a\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k\u00e7a, orta vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryolar\u0131 i\u00e7in ihtiyat pay\u0131 korunmal\u0131. Hat\u0131rlatmakta fayda var: g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f 29 Ocak\u2019ta 121,64 dolar ile t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. O g\u00fcnden bu yana oynakl\u0131k belirgin bi\u00e7imde artt\u0131.<\/p>\n

2026 Performans\u0131 Pozitif<\/h2>\n

T\u00fcm bu dalgalanmalara ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 15, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f ise y\u00fczde 5 primli i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. \u015eubat ba\u015f\u0131ndaki rekorlardan gelen sert d\u00fczeltme, spek\u00fclatif pozisyonlar\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 temizledi. \u015eu an daha dengeli, fakat h\u00e2l\u00e2 hassas bir yap\u0131 var.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zetle: alt\u0131n 5.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunuyor, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f sert toparland\u0131. Ancak y\u00f6n konusunda kesin konu\u015fmak zor. Fed belirsizli\u011fi, dolar hareketleri ve merkez bankas\u0131 talebi ayn\u0131 potada kayn\u0131yor. Bu hafta gelecek ABD verileri k\u0131sa vadeli fiyatlamada belirleyici olacak.<\/p>\n

Piyasa hen\u00fcz rahat de\u011fil. Ama tamamen savunmada da de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f Nedir? Nas\u0131l Al\u0131n\u0131r?<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n