{"id":193552,"date":"2026-01-27T15:30:30","date_gmt":"2026-01-27T12:30:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=193552"},"modified":"2026-01-27T13:55:37","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T10:55:37","slug":"fomc-toplantisi-yarin-fed-faizleri-dusurecek-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fomc-toplantisi-yarin-fed-faizleri-dusurecek-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"FOMC Toplant\u0131s\u0131 Yar\u0131n: Fed Faizleri D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecek mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"

K\u00fcresel piyasalar, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FED<\/strong><\/a>) yar\u0131n tamamlanacak FOMC<\/strong> toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kacak karara kilitlendi. Enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcrerken i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda so\u011fuma sinyalleri belirginle\u015fiyor. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019in bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131na dair belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Piyasa fiyatlamalar\u0131 ise daha net. Vadeli i\u015flemler, Fed\u2019in faizlerde duraklama karar\u0131 verme ihtimalini y\u00fczde 97 seviyesinde g\u00f6steriyor. \u00dcstelik bu beklenti, arka arkaya gelen \u00fc\u00e7 faiz indiriminin ard\u0131ndan \u015fekillenmi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Fed Cephesinde Temkinli Bekleyi\u015f<\/h3>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz ay yay\u0131mlanan FOMC tutanaklar\u0131, karar vericiler aras\u0131nda temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n a\u011f\u0131r bast\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu. Bir\u00e7ok Fed yetkilisi, enflasyon riskleri ile i\u015fsizlik ihtimali aras\u0131nda hassas bir denge kurmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Politika faizinin h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda y\u00fczde 3,5\u20133,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bulunmas\u0131, Fed\u2019in elindeki manevra alan\u0131n\u0131 daralt\u0131yor. Son \u00fc\u00e7 toplant\u0131da yap\u0131lan \u00e7eyrek puanl\u0131k indirimler, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda sert bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7meyi hedefliyordu. Ancak bu ad\u0131mlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, frene bas\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda. Jerome Powell i\u00e7in durum olduk\u00e7a zorlay\u0131c\u0131.<\/p>\n

CME FedWatch verileri de bu tabloyu destekliyor. Ge\u00e7en hafta %95 olan \u201cfaiz sabit kal\u0131r\u201d beklentisi, bug\u00fcn y\u00fczde 97\u2019nin \u00fczerinde. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n son a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 ise belirsizli\u011fin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor. Powell, enflasyon ve i\u015fsizlik risklerinin ayn\u0131 anda y\u00fckseldi\u011fi bir ortamda karar alman\u0131n zorlu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Kripto Piyasas\u0131nda Bask\u0131 S\u00fcr\u00fcyor<\/h3>\n

Faiz cephesindeki belirsizlik, kripto varl\u0131klar \u00fczerinde hissedilmeye devam ediyor. Toplam piyasa de\u011feri 2,99 trilyon dolara yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f olsa da, bu art\u0131\u015f g\u00fcven veren bir ivmeye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f de\u011fil. Bitcoin ve b\u00fcy\u00fck altcoin\u2019lerde fiyatlar tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor, ancak zemin h\u00e2l\u00e2 kaygan.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n ve g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fteki sert y\u00fckseli\u015f, risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k bi\u00e7imde g\u00f6steriyor. Sermaye, dalgal\u0131 piyasalardan ziyade g\u00fcvenli limanlara ak\u0131yor. Bu kayma, Bitcoin yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 t\u00f6rp\u00fclerken kriptonun k\u0131sa vadeli anlat\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 da zay\u0131flat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Polymarket cephesinde ise beklenti neredeyse tek y\u00f6nde. Fed\u2019in faizi sabit tutma ihtimali %99\u2019a yak\u0131n fiyatlan\u0131yor. Bu beklenti, kripto piyasas\u0131nda ani s\u0131\u00e7ramalardan \u00e7ok, y\u00f6ns\u00fcz ve gergin hareketleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc denemeler var, ancak kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k \u015fimdilik s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrev Piyasalar\u0131 Ne S\u00f6yl\u00fcyor?<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev piyasalardaki g\u00f6stergeler, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha fazla y\u00fckseli\u015f konusunda ikna olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret ediyor. Kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 uzun pozisyonlara olan talep zay\u0131f. Profesyonel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ise opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskleri daha y\u00fcksek olas\u0131l\u0131kla fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin opsiyonlar\u0131nda delta \u00e7arp\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc &12\u2019ye ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu seviye, sat\u0131\u015f (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n primli i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f riskine kar\u015f\u0131 korunma iste\u011finin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Normal ko\u015fullarda bu g\u00f6stergenin eksi y\u00fczde 6 ile art\u0131 y\u00fczde 6 band\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 beklenir.<\/p>\n

Bu seviyelerin en son g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc tarih ise dikkat \u00e7ekici. 1 Aral\u0131k 2025\u2019te, Bitcoin birka\u00e7 saat i\u00e7inde 91.500 dolardan 83.900 dolara gerilemi\u015fti. Piyasadaki bu haf\u0131za, bug\u00fcnk\u00fc temkinli duru\u015fu da a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n Rekorda, Bitcoin Geride<\/h3>\n

ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131na y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feler artarken, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 rekor seviyelere ula\u015ft\u0131. Ons alt\u0131n ilk kez 5.100 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f, analistleri \u201cde\u011fer kayb\u0131 ticareti\u201dnin h\u0131z kazan\u0131p kazanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sorgulamaya itti.<\/p>\n

Ancak Bitcoin, bu hik\u00e2yeye \u015fimdilik e\u015flik etmiyor. S&P 500 endeksinin y\u00fczde 0,6 y\u00fckseldi\u011fi bir g\u00fcnde Bitcoin\u2019in zay\u0131f kalmas\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc yaln\u0131zca ABD\u2019deki mali risklere ba\u011flamay\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Daha geni\u015f bir g\u00fcven eksikli\u011fi hissi, kripto piyasas\u0131nda bask\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zetle, Fed\u2019in yar\u0131n alaca\u011f\u0131 karar k\u0131sa vadeli oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rabilir. Ancak faizlerin sabit kalmas\u0131 halinde, kripto piyasas\u0131nda y\u00f6n de\u011fil, belirsizlik konu\u015fulmaya devam edecek gibi duruyor.<\/p>\n

Son dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

K\u00fcresel piyasalar, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FED) yar\u0131n tamamlanacak FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kacak karara kilitlendi. Enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcrerken i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda so\u011fuma sinyalleri belirginle\u015fiyor. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019in bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131na dair belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor. Piyasa fiyatlamalar\u0131 ise daha net. Vadeli i\u015flemler, Fed\u2019in faizlerde duraklama karar\u0131 verme ihtimalini y\u00fczde 97 seviyesinde g\u00f6steriyor. \u00dcstelik bu beklenti, arka arkaya gelen \u00fc\u00e7<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":164362,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9692,1512],"tags":[39173,39171,39170,30434,28214,39172],"class_list":["post-193552","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","category-haber","tag-altin-bitcoin-karsilastirmasi","tag-bitcoin-turev-piyasasi","tag-fed-faiz-duraklama-ihtimali","tag-fed-faiz-karari-beklentisi","tag-fomc-toplantisi","tag-opsiyon-piyasasi-sinyalleri"],"yoast_head":"\nFOMC Toplant\u0131s\u0131 Yar\u0131n: Fed Faizleri D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecek mi? - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesi Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131 bekleniyor. 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