{"id":193215,"date":"2026-01-25T12:30:20","date_gmt":"2026-01-25T09:30:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=193215"},"modified":"2026-01-25T11:19:29","modified_gmt":"2026-01-25T08:19:29","slug":"abdde-kapanma-riski-yye-dayandi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/abdde-kapanma-riski-yye-dayandi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD\u2019de Kapanma Riski %79\u2019a Dayand\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD<\/strong> merkezli tahmin piyasas\u0131 Polymarket\u2019te, Ocak ay\u0131 bitmeden yeni bir h\u00fck\u00fcmet kapanmas\u0131<\/strong> ya\u015fanma ihtimali %79\u2019a y\u00fckseldi. Sadece son 24 saatte g\u00f6r\u00fclen 67 puanl\u0131k s\u0131\u00e7rama, Washington\u2019daki b\u00fct\u00e7e \u00e7\u0131kmaz\u0131n\u0131n yeniden derinle\u015fti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Zamanlama kritik. Olas\u0131l\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn \u00f6nce yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u201cmuhtemelen yine bir Demokrat kapanmas\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131z\u201d s\u00f6zleriyle dikkat \u00e7eken a\u00e7\u0131klaman\u0131n hemen ard\u0131ndan geldi. Piyasa, s\u00f6ylemin \u00f6tesinde somut bir kilitlenme riskini fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

B\u00fct\u00e7e Krizi CLARITY Act Takvimini Tehdit Ediyor<\/h2>\n

Siyasi belirsizlik, kripto sekt\u00f6r\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da do\u011frudan sonu\u00e7lar \u00fcretiyor. Kripto d\u00fczenlemelerine netlik kazand\u0131rmay\u0131 hedefleyen CLARITY Act, h\u00e2l\u00e2 Kongre g\u00fcndeminde ilerlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Hat\u0131rlanaca\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere, Ekim ve Kas\u0131m aylar\u0131ndaki 43 g\u00fcnl\u00fck rekor kapanma, bir\u00e7ok stratejik d\u00fczenlemenin aylarca sarkmas\u0131na neden olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle Polymarket\u2019te y\u00fckselen kapanma ihtimali, yaln\u0131zca siyasi bir risk de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda d\u00fczenleyici takvimin yeniden \u00f6telenmesi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

Senato\u2019da Gerilim Devam<\/h2>\n

S\u00fcre\u00e7teki k\u0131r\u0131lma noktalar\u0131ndan biri Senato cephesinde oldu. Senato Az\u0131nl\u0131k Lideri Chuck Schumer, \u0130\u00e7 G\u00fcvenlik Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (DHS) i\u00e7in fon i\u00e7eren b\u00fct\u00e7e tasar\u0131s\u0131na destek vermeyeceklerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Schumer, tasar\u0131n\u0131n G\u00f6\u00e7menlik ve G\u00fcmr\u00fck Muhafaza (ICE) uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131 dizginlemekten uzak oldu\u011funu savundu.<\/p>\n

Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamadan k\u0131sa s\u00fcre sonra, Minneapolis\u2019te federal ajanlar\u0131n 37 ya\u015f\u0131ndaki bir ki\u015fiyi vurarak \u00f6ld\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dair haberler kamuoyuna yans\u0131d\u0131. Olay, DHS b\u00fct\u00e7esi etraf\u0131ndaki siyasi tansiyonu daha da art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Trump Kapanma \u0130htimalini D\u0131\u015flam\u0131yor<\/h2>\n

Trump ise olas\u0131 bir kapanma senaryosunu tamamen reddetmi\u015f de\u011fil. Fox Business\u2019a verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, b\u00fct\u00e7e s\u00fcrecinde ciddi bir sorun oldu\u011funu belirten Trump, yeni bir h\u00fck\u00fcmet kapanmas\u0131n\u0131n masada oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131k \u015fekilde ifade etti.<\/p>\n

Bu belirsizlik, CLARITY Act\u2019in zaman \u00e7izelgesini daha da mu\u011flak hale getiriyor. \u00dcstelik tasar\u0131, kripto sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde de tam bir mutabakat sa\u011flayabilmi\u015f de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Kripto Sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden Geri Ad\u0131m Sinyali<\/h2>\n

Coinbase CEO\u2019su Brian Armstrong ve baz\u0131 sekt\u00f6r y\u00f6neticileri, CLARITY Act<\/a>\u2019e verdikleri deste\u011fi geri \u00e7ekti. Armstrong, mevcut tasla\u011f\u0131n stat\u00fckodan daha k\u00f6t\u00fc sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ve \u201cK\u00f6t\u00fc bir yasa yerine hi\u00e7 yasa olmamas\u0131 daha iyi\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Galaxy Digital Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Alex Thorn da benzer bir belirsizli\u011fe dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Thorn\u2019a g\u00f6re, stablecoin getirileri ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraflar aras\u0131nda en fazla ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 alanlardan biri. Bankac\u0131l\u0131k lobisi bu yap\u0131lar\u0131, rekabet dengesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan sorunlu g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

H\u00fck\u00fcmet kapanmas\u0131 ihtimalinin y\u00fckselmesi, yaln\u0131zca Washington\u2019daki b\u00fct\u00e7e krizine i\u015faret etmiyor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda kripto d\u00fczenlemeleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da takvimi belirsiz. Gecikmeye a\u00e7\u0131k bir s\u00fcrecin yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelmesine neden oluyor. CLARITY Act etraf\u0131ndaki ilerleme beklentisi, siyasi kilitlenme riskiyle birlikte zay\u0131fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Galaxy Digital\u2019e g\u00f6re \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 4\u20136 haftal\u0131k pencere, tasar\u0131n\u0131n kaderi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik. Ancak \u015fu a\u015famada, stablecoin getirileri ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere temel ba\u015fl\u0131klarda iki partili bir uzla\u015f\u0131ya yakla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sinyaller bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n

Son dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD merkezli tahmin piyasas\u0131 Polymarket\u2019te, Ocak ay\u0131 bitmeden yeni bir h\u00fck\u00fcmet kapanmas\u0131 ya\u015fanma ihtimali %79\u2019a y\u00fckseldi. Sadece son 24 saatte g\u00f6r\u00fclen 67 puanl\u0131k s\u0131\u00e7rama, Washington\u2019daki b\u00fct\u00e7e \u00e7\u0131kmaz\u0131n\u0131n yeniden derinle\u015fti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Zamanlama kritik. Olas\u0131l\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn \u00f6nce yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u201cmuhtemelen yine bir Demokrat kapanmas\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131z\u201d s\u00f6zleriyle dikkat \u00e7eken a\u00e7\u0131klaman\u0131n hemen<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":173895,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1512],"tags":[36074,12689,38534,10752,6868,19794,39112,33307],"class_list":["post-193215","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-haber","tag-abd-hukumet-kapanmasi","tag-abd-hukumeti","tag-duzenleyici-risk","tag-hukumet-kapanmasi","tag-kripto-yasasi","tag-piyasa-beklentisi","tag-siyasi-belirsizlik","tag-tahmin-piyasasi"],"yoast_head":"\nABD\u2019de Kapanma Riski %79\u2019a Dayand\u0131 - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ABD h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin kapanma ihtimali Polymarket\u2019te y\u00fckseldi. 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