{"id":181466,"date":"2025-11-09T18:00:36","date_gmt":"2025-11-09T15:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=181466"},"modified":"2025-11-09T12:05:45","modified_gmt":"2025-11-09T09:05:45","slug":"abd-hukumeti-kapanmasi-polymarket-verileri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/abd-hukumeti-kapanmasi-polymarket-verileri\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD H\u00fck\u00fcmet Kapanmas\u0131 Ne Zaman Sona Erecek? Polymarket Verileri"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"681\" data-end=\"1005\"><strong>ABD h\u00fck\u00fcmeti<\/strong>, Cumhuriyet\u00e7i ve Demokrat milletvekilleri aras\u0131ndaki b\u00fct\u00e7e anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle tarihin en uzun kapanmalar\u0131ndan birini ya\u015f\u0131yor. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,4 milyon federal \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ya \u00fccretsiz izne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131 ya da maa\u015fs\u0131z \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Polymarket verileri, kapanman\u0131n Kas\u0131m ortas\u0131na veya sonuna kadar s\u00fcrebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1007\" data-end=\"1037\">Kapanman\u0131n Nedenleri<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1038\" data-end=\"1385\"><a href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/abd-hukumetinin-kapanmasi-kripto-piyasasinda-dip-sinyali-olabilir\/\">Kapanma<\/a>, 1 Ekim\u2019den sonra Kongre\u2019nin kamu hizmetlerini finanse eden b\u00fct\u00e7e yasas\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7irememesinden kaynakland\u0131. Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler Kongre\u2019nin her iki kanad\u0131n\u0131 kontrol ediyor olsa da, Senato\u2019da tasar\u0131y\u0131 ge\u00e7irmek i\u00e7in gereken 60 oya ula\u015famad\u0131lar. Demokratlar, sa\u011fl\u0131k sigortas\u0131 s\u00fcbvansiyonlar\u0131 ve Medicaid kesintilerinin geri al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 talep ediyor.<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"1387\" data-end=\"1595\">\n<li data-start=\"1387\" data-end=\"1464\">\n<p data-start=\"1389\" data-end=\"1464\">Ge\u00e7ici b\u00fct\u00e7e tasar\u0131s\u0131 Temsilciler Meclisi\u2019nde ge\u00e7ti, Senato\u2019dan ge\u00e7emedi.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1465\" data-end=\"1525\">\n<p data-start=\"1467\" data-end=\"1525\">Ba\u015fkan Trump y\u00f6netimi, somut tavizler vermekten ka\u00e7\u0131nd\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1526\" data-end=\"1595\">\n<p data-start=\"1528\" data-end=\"1595\">Demokratlar, sa\u011fl\u0131k hizmetlerini iyile\u015ftirme \u00e7abalar\u0131nda kararl\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1597\" data-end=\"1714\">Bu \u00e7\u0131kmaz, h\u00fck\u00fcmet hizmetlerinin \u00e7o\u011funun ge\u00e7ici olarak durmas\u0131na ve federal \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n maa\u015f alamamas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1716\" data-end=\"1745\">H\u00fck\u00fcmet Kapanmas\u0131n\u0131n Etkileri<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1746\" data-end=\"2154\">H\u00fck\u00fcmet faaliyetlerinin tamam\u0131 durmad\u0131; s\u0131n\u0131r koruma, hastane i\u00e7i sa\u011fl\u0131k hizmetleri ve temel kolluk kuvvetleri \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya devam ediyor. Ancak hava trafik kontrol\u00f6rleri \u00fccretsiz \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00fclke genelinde u\u00e7u\u015f iptalleri ya\u015fand\u0131. Snap g\u0131da yard\u0131mlar\u0131 ve baz\u0131 federal projeler ge\u00e7ici olarak aksad\u0131. Ekonomistler, kapanman\u0131n haftal\u0131k olarak 15 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda ekonomik kay\u0131p yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"276\" data-end=\"320\">Polymarket Verileri ve Olas\u0131l\u0131klar<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"322\" data-end=\"751\">Polymarket tahmin piyasalar\u0131, ABD h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin kapanmas\u0131yla ilgili son \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleriyle b\u00fcy\u00fck yank\u0131 uyand\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu yenilik\u00e7i platformdaki yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, kapanman\u0131n 16 Kas\u0131m&#8217;dan sonra devam etme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %59 olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor. Bu da \u00e7o\u011fu yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n kapanman\u0131n birka\u00e7 hafta daha s\u00fcrece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"753\" data-end=\"1035\">Platform ayr\u0131ca 12\u201315 Kas\u0131m aras\u0131nda kapanman\u0131n sona erme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %31, 8\u201311 Kas\u0131m i\u00e7in ise %9 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu veriler, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun Kas\u0131m ortas\u0131ndan sonra \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bekledi\u011fini ve yaln\u0131zca k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 bir anla\u015fmaya inand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"1037\" data-end=\"1121\">\n<li data-start=\"1037\" data-end=\"1055\">\n<p data-start=\"1039\" data-end=\"1055\">4\u20137 Kas\u0131m: %20<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1056\" data-end=\"1074\">\n<p data-start=\"1058\" data-end=\"1074\">8\u201311 Kas\u0131m: %9<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1075\" data-end=\"1095\">\n<p data-start=\"1077\" data-end=\"1095\">12\u201315 Kas\u0131m: %31<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1096\" data-end=\"1121\">\n<p data-start=\"1098\" data-end=\"1121\">16 Kas\u0131m sonras\u0131: %59<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1123\" data-end=\"1240\">Bu sayede yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n tahmin piyasalar\u0131ndaki e\u011filimleri ve kapanman\u0131n muhtemel s\u00fcresi net bi\u00e7imde g\u00f6r\u00fclebiliyor.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1123\" data-end=\"1240\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-181467 \" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/polymarket-abd-1024x643.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"802\" height=\"503\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/polymarket-abd-1024x643.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/polymarket-abd-300x188.jpg 300w, https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/polymarket-abd-768x482.jpg 768w, https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/polymarket-abd.jpg 1242w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 802px) 100vw, 802px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2156\" data-end=\"2191\">Gelecek ve Olas\u0131 \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcmler<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2192\" data-end=\"2530\">Kapanman\u0131n sona ermesi i\u00e7in Senato\u2019daki iki partinin uzla\u015fmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Baz\u0131 \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 Demokrat ve Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler, \u015e\u00fckran G\u00fcn\u00fc\u2019nden \u00f6nce bir anla\u015fmaya varmak istiyor. Polymarket verileri, 16 Kas\u0131m sonras\u0131 kapanman\u0131n sona erme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %59 olarak g\u00f6steriyor. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, hem ekonomi hem de yat\u0131r\u0131m piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in belirsizlik yarat\u0131yor. Sonu\u00e7lar ne olcak hep birlikte g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2192\" data-end=\"2530\">Son dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in<span class=\"darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(255, 204, 0)\">\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinmuhendisihaber\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(254, 216, 43)\">hemen t\u0131kla<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ABD h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, Cumhuriyet\u00e7i ve Demokrat milletvekilleri aras\u0131ndaki b\u00fct\u00e7e anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle tarihin en uzun kapanmalar\u0131ndan birini ya\u015f\u0131yor. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,4 milyon federal \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ya \u00fccretsiz izne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131 ya da maa\u015fs\u0131z \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Polymarket verileri, kapanman\u0131n Kas\u0131m ortas\u0131na veya sonuna kadar s\u00fcrebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Kapanman\u0131n Nedenleri Kapanma, 1 Ekim\u2019den sonra Kongre\u2019nin kamu hizmetlerini finanse eden b\u00fct\u00e7e yasas\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7irememesinden kaynakland\u0131. Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":173895,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9692,1512],"tags":[36819,13928,20376,36820,20863],"class_list":["post-181466","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","category-haber","tag-abd-hukumeti-kapanmasi","tag-kripto-piyasasi","tag-piyasa-volatilitesi","tag-polymarket-tahmin","tag-trump-yonetimi"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.8 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ABD H\u00fckmeti Kapanmas\u0131 Ne Zaman Bitecek? Polymarket Verileri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ABD h\u00fck\u00fcmeti b\u00fct\u00e7e anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle kapand\u0131. 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