{"id":17942,"date":"2022-03-15T23:30:05","date_gmt":"2022-03-15T20:30:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=17942"},"modified":"2022-03-15T23:30:05","modified_gmt":"2022-03-15T20:30:05","slug":"balinalar-btclerini-satiyor-bitcoin-ustasi-bunlari-bekleyin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/balinalar-btclerini-satiyor-bitcoin-ustasi-bunlari-bekleyin\/","title":{"rendered":"Balinalar BTC\u2019lerini Sat\u0131yor! Bitcoin Ustas\u0131: Bunlar\u0131 Bekleyin"},"content":{"rendered":"

On-chain analisti Willy Woo\u2019ya g\u00f6re, \u2018balinalar\u2019 (1 milyon dolardan fazla Bitcoin tutan adresler) sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131rsa, Bitcoin (BTC) son bir ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 kapit\u00fclasyonuna u\u011frayabilir. Ancak daha deneyimsiz yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, uzun vadeli Bitcoin holder\u2019\u0131 olmay\u0131 se\u00e7erek, sat\u0131\u015f taraf\u0131ndaki riskleri 30.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131yor. Bitcoin ustas\u0131n\u0131n yorumlar\u0131n\u0131 ve analizlerini Coinm\u00fchendisi.com<\/strong>\u00a0okuyucular\u0131 i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlad\u0131k.<\/p>\n

Ba\u015fka bir Bitcoin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc i\u00e7in yer var m\u0131?<\/b><\/p>\n

Willy Woo, k\u0131sa vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n tarih boyunca Bitcoin piyasas\u0131na girdi\u011fi ortalama fiyat\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyor ve de\u011ferdeki g\u00fcnl\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fimi \u00e7iziyor. Bu, genellikle piyasan\u0131n dibiyle ayn\u0131 zamana denk gelen bir BTC serbest d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u2018deneyimsiz\u2019 traderlar\u0131n BTC\u2019yi \u2018deneyimli\u2019 traderlara satt\u0131klar\u0131nda sinyal veren bir maliyet esas\u0131 ile sonu\u00e7lan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Maliyet taban\u0131, \u00f6nceki ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131nda, ayr\u0131ca a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte g\u00f6sterildi\u011fi gibi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc birikim ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeden \u00f6nce \u00f6nemli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ya\u015fad\u0131. \u0130lgin\u00e7 bir \u015fekilde, Bitcoin\u2019in devam eden d\u00fczeltmesi (Kas\u0131m 2021\u2019de 69.000 dolardan Mart 2022\u2019de yakla\u015f\u0131k 39.000 dolara) maliyet temelinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7mad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin k\u0131sa vadeli sahibi maliyet esas\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi \/ Kaynak: Willy Woo<\/figure>\n

Analist, \u201cHen\u00fcz teslim olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z kesin de\u011fil,\u201d diyor ve maliyet bazl\u0131 sinyale dayanarak \u201cba\u015fka bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f i\u00e7in yer oldu\u011funu\u201d da s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor.<\/p>\n

\u201cBozulan makro ortam nedeniyle Bitcoin 30.000 dolara d\u00fc\u015febilir\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Willy Woo\u2019nun g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, Bitcoin\u2019in bir sonraki b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle \u200b\u200bilgili artan spek\u00fclasyonlarla ayn\u0131 do\u011frultuda ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, Acheron Insights edit\u00f6r\u00fc Christopher Yates, BTC\u2019nin fiyat\u0131n\u0131n \u2018bozulan makro ortam\u2019 nedeniyle 30.000 dolara d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u20182022\u2019de dip seviyenin hen\u00fcz gelmedi\u011fi konusunda beni giderek daha fazla endi\u015felendiren \u015fey, 2019\u2019un sonlar\u0131nda, 2020\u2019nin ba\u015flar\u0131nda ve 2021\u2019in ortalar\u0131ndaki t\u00fcm son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcklerde meydana gelen bir kapit\u00fclasyon tarz\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fini hen\u00fcz g\u00f6rmemi\u015f olmam\u0131z\u201d diyen Christopher Yates, son BTC analizinde \u015funlar\u0131 ekliyor:<\/p>\n

Piyasa dibi i\u00e7in bir \u00f6n ko\u015ful olmasa da, hacimdeki b\u00f6ylesi kapit\u00fclasyon benzeri bir art\u0131\u015f, b\u00f6yle bir dibin ne zaman yak\u0131n olabilece\u011fi konusunda bize g\u00fcven vermeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 oluyor.<\/p>\n

Veri kayna\u011f\u0131 Ecoinometrics, en son haftal\u0131k raporunda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ve zengin Bitcoin yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki talep bo\u015flu\u011funa dair kan\u0131t sa\u011fl\u0131yor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, 10 BTC\u2019ye kadar tutan adreslerin son 30 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde kripto paralar\u0131 biriktirdi\u011fini kaydediyor.<\/p>\n

On-chain Bitcoin biriktirme ve da\u011f\u0131tma \/ Kaynak: Ecoinometrics<\/figure>\n

\u201cS\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fclerini bozarlarsa, t\u00fcm risk varl\u0131klar\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6kecektir\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Willy Woo ayr\u0131ca, Bitcoin balinalar\u0131n\u0131n zulalar\u0131n\u0131 satt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve b\u00f6ylece fiyat \u00fczerindeki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydediyor. Bu, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f taraf\u0131ndaki bask\u0131y\u0131 emdi\u011fi ve \u015fimdiye kadar BTC fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 30.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesini engelledi\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

Ek olarak, Ecoinometrics analisti Nick, devam eden birikim e\u011filiminin \u2018olabildi\u011fince durgun\u2019 oldu\u011funu belirterek, artan enflasyonu dizginlemek i\u00e7in Federal Rezerv\u2019in Mart ay\u0131nda beklenen faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan daha da zay\u0131flayabilece\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor. Analist, \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131kamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

\u00d6zetlemek gerekirse, kontrol Fed\u2019de. S\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fclerini bozarlarsa, t\u00fcm risk varl\u0131klar\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6kecektir. Bitcoin \u015fu anda bir risk varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor, bu nedenle bir istisna olmas\u0131 pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Ecoinometrics ve Willy Woo\u2019nun analizi ayr\u0131ca deneyimsiz yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n kripto paralar\u0131n\u0131 terk etmedi\u011fini ve bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te uzun vadeli holder\u2019lar (LTH) haline geldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin tarihin \u2018en deflasyonist\u2019i<\/b><\/p>\n

Bu arada, ARK Invest on-chain analisti David Puell\u2019e g\u00f6re, \u2018LTH Enflasyon\/Deflasyon oran\u0131\u2019 olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan ba\u015fka bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm de yukar\u0131da bahsedilen teoriyi destekliyor. Ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 olarak, Bitcoin enflasyonu, LTH\u2019nin BTC\u2019lerini madencilerin do\u011fal sat\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 dola\u015f\u0131ma sokmas\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Tersine, deflasyon, LTH\u2019lerin ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc toplam arz\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra her g\u00fcn madenci sat\u0131\u015f taraf\u0131n\u0131n orant\u0131l\u0131 bir miktar\u0131n\u0131 emdi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki ekteki grafik, enflasyonist sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 renkte yan\u0131p s\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve deflasyonist verilerin ye\u015fil renkte oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steren LTH Enflasyon\/Deflasyon oran\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin LTH piyasa enflasyon\/deflasyon oran\u0131 \/ Kaynak: ARK, Glassnode<\/figure>\n

ARK Invest\u2019te on-chain ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131s\u0131 David Puell, \u201cAnalizimiz, uzun vadeli holder\u2019lar (LTH) taraf\u0131ndan tutulan arzla orant\u0131l\u0131 olan Bitcoin\u2019in tarihin en deflasyonist d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesini yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

On-chain analisti Willy Woo\u2019ya g\u00f6re, \u2018balinalar\u2019 (1 milyon dolardan fazla Bitcoin tutan adresler) sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131rsa, Bitcoin (BTC) son …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":17943,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[12,207,55],"class_list":["post-17942","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-piyasa"],"yoast_head":"\nBalinalar BTC\u2019lerini Sat\u0131yor! Bitcoin Ustas\u0131: Bunlar\u0131 Bekleyin - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/balinalar-btclerini-satiyor-bitcoin-ustasi-bunlari-bekleyin\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Balinalar BTC\u2019lerini Sat\u0131yor! 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