Analistlere g\u00f6re, alt\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede 2.000 dolar civar\u0131nda gezinmeye devam edecek. \u201cAlt\u0131n 1.980 dolardan kapan\u0131rsa, o zaman ben bo\u011fay\u0131m\u201d diyen OANDA k\u0131demli piyasa analisti Edward Moya, verdi\u011fi bir deme\u00e7te, alt\u0131n 2.010 dolara y\u00fckselirse o zaman tarafs\u0131z kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/p>\n Edward Moya\u2019ya g\u00f6re, alt\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta bu aral\u0131kta i\u015flem g\u00f6rebilir<\/b><\/p>\n Bir\u00e7ok finansal piyasadaki mevcut oynakl\u0131k nedeniyle alt\u0131n al\u0131m sat\u0131m aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 olduk\u00e7a geni\u015f. \u00d6nde gelen iki itici g\u00fc\u00e7, Federal Rezerv\u2019in \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131 ve Rusya\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar ile Ukrayna\u2019daki sava\u015fla ilgili yeni geli\u015fmeler olacak. Edward Moya, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n Sar\u0131 metal \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta 1.960 dolar ile 2.050 dolar aras\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rebilir. Ukrayna\u2019daki durumun hassasiyeti g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olduk\u00e7a geni\u015f bir yelpazeye bak\u0131yor. ABD merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc nas\u0131l ele alaca\u011f\u0131 ve daha da \u00f6nemlisi ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yolunun ne olaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda baz\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fiklikler sa\u011flayabilecek Fed politika toplant\u0131s\u0131 var.<\/p>\n \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc duyuruyu Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 takip edecek. T\u00fcm g\u00f6zler yeni ekonomik projeksiyonlarda, nokta plan\u0131nda ve Powell\u2019\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u2018istenmeyen sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131\u2019 ele al\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olacak. \u201cPowell netlik sa\u011flamal\u0131. Piyasa beklentilerini belirlemesi gerekiyor\u201d diyen Edward Moya, bundan sonra, yaz boyunca \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 riski olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n daha iyi anla\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade ediyor.<\/p>\n Paul Ashworth: QT\u2019nin bu y\u0131l\u0131n ortas\u0131na kadar ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemiyoruz<\/b><\/p>\n Piyasalar \u015fu anda gelecek hafta 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in %95,1 \u015fansla fiyatlan\u0131yor. Bu beklentiler, ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi\u2019nin (T\u00dcFE) \u015eubat ay\u0131nda 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan %7,9\u2019a y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6steren son enflasyon verileriyle daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. Ayr\u0131ca, Powell ge\u00e7en hafta Mart toplant\u0131s\u0131nda geleneksel 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 destekleyece\u011fini ifade etti. CIBC World Markets ba\u015f ekonomisti Avery Shenfeld, geli\u015fmeleri \u015fu \u015fekilde yorumluyor:<\/p>\n Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgalinin ABD para politikas\u0131 i\u00e7in ne anlama gelece\u011fine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerinde bir U d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc yapt\u0131. Sava\u015f\u0131n ekonomik maliyetlerinin faiz art\u0131r\u0131m yolunu yumu\u015fataca\u011f\u0131 fikriyle k\u0131sa bir fl\u00f6rt, \u015eubat T\u00dcFE verilerinin enflasyonun hemen hemen her ana mal ve hizmet kategorisinde patlak verdi\u011fini bir kez daha hat\u0131rlatmas\u0131yla h\u0131zla tersine \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n Capital Economics, 2021\u2019de en az be\u015f faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na ve 2023\u2019te ek d\u00f6rt faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na i\u015faret edecek yeni tahminler \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu, Fed Fon oran\u0131n\u0131 %2,25 ile %2,50 aras\u0131na y\u00fckseltecek. Capital Economics ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kuzey Amerika, ekonomist Paul Ashworth, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Fed\u2019in niceliksel s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma (QT) planlar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda daha fazla ayr\u0131nt\u0131 sunabilir. Ancak QT\u2019nin bu y\u0131l\u0131n ortas\u0131na kadar ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemiyoruz.<\/p>\n Frank Cholly: Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in bo\u011fa trendi hala bozulmad\u0131<\/b><\/p>\n RJO Futures k\u0131demli piyasa stratejisti Frank Cholly, 2.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra konsolidasyonun alt\u0131n i\u00e7in iyi bir \u015fey oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Frank Cholly, verdi\u011fi bir deme\u00e7te, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n Bir geri \u00e7ekilme d\u00fczeltmesi iyidir. Piyasan\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc test ediyor. Alt\u0131n 2.050 dolar b\u00f6lgesine y\u00fckselmeye devam edecek. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n piyasaya zarar verece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum. Art\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kopu\u015f ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131za g\u00f6re, bo\u011fa olmaya devam ediyorum. Bo\u011fa trendi hala bozulmad\u0131. Ve \u015fu anda, bu iyi bir sat\u0131n alma f\u0131rsat\u0131.<\/p>\n \u201cAlt\u0131n\u0131n tekrar 1.800 dolara d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n Stratejist, k\u0131sa vadede alt\u0131n\u0131n kolayca 2.050 dolar seviyesine geri d\u00f6nece\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor. Ayr\u0131ca, Fed\u2019in ekonomiyi resesyona sokmamak i\u00e7in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltirken daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131ma i\u015faret etti\u011fi i\u00e7in 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015fla s\u00fcrpriz yapmas\u0131n\u0131 pek olas\u0131 bulmuyor. Frank Cholly ayr\u0131ca Ukrayna\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n aylarca s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve alt\u0131n\u0131n potansiyel olarak 1.900 dolara d\u00f6nebilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren \u00e7ok fazla korku unsuru g\u00f6rm\u00fcyor ve konuyu \u015fu \u015fekilde a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor:<\/p>\n Er ya da ge\u00e7 bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulunacakt\u0131r. Bu hi\u00e7 de Putin\u2019in planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi gitmiyor. 1.900 dolara geri \u00e7ekilmemiz olas\u0131. Ancak Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal etti\u011fi 24 \u015eubat\u2019tan \u00f6nce bile alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 bo\u011fa g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc almaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Art\u0131k da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131za ve bu seviyelerin \u00fczerinde oldu\u011fumuza g\u00f6re alt\u0131n\u0131n tekrar 1.800 dolara d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Federal Rezerv\u2019in faiz oran\u0131 karar\u0131 ve Ukrayna\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler, k\u0131ymetli metalin rekor seviyelere ko\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta alt\u0131n …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":17515,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[55],"class_list":["post-17514","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-piyasa"],"yoast_head":"\n![](\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/coinmuhendisi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/goldman-100k.jpg?resize=1024%2C576&ssl=1\")
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