{"id":169991,"date":"2025-09-11T10:59:03","date_gmt":"2025-09-11T07:59:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=169991"},"modified":"2025-09-11T11:28:25","modified_gmt":"2025-09-11T08:28:25","slug":"fed-tufe-faiz-beklentileri-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-tufe-faiz-beklentileri-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed \u00d6ncesi Kritik T\u00dcFE Verisi ve Faiz Beklentileri!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 T\u00dcFE<\/strong><\/a> verisi, Fed\u2019in 17 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de alaca\u011f\u0131 faiz karar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce piyasalar\u0131n odak noktas\u0131 oldu. Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdamda beklenenden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelen rakamlar ve \u00fcretici enflasyonundaki s\u00fcrpriz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, faiz indirimi beklentilerini y\u00fckseltti. Piyasalar art\u0131k sadece bu ay de\u011fil, gelecek aylar i\u00e7in Fed\u2019in ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131; bu durum \u00f6zellikle kripto ve riskli varl\u0131klar i\u00e7in potansiyel f\u0131rsatlar sunuyor.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Fed’in 17 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019deki faiz karar\u0131<\/strong> \u00f6ncesinde alaca\u011f\u0131 son enflasyon verisini de\u011ferlendirece\u011fiz. Son zamanlardaki verileri yorumlayal\u0131m.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Eyl\u00fcl Ay\u0131 Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam: 22 bin gibi bir rakam geldi. Beklentinin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131, istihdam\u0131n yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Burada da piyasa, ”Fed kenara s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131, faiz indirimi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz” \u015feklinde yorum yapt\u0131. %80 olan beklentiler veri ile bir anda %99\u2019a kadar y\u00fckseldi.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Eyl\u00fcl Ay\u0131 \u00dcFE: \u00dcretici enflasyonu d\u00fcn beklenti alt\u0131nda geldi. Her ne kadar \u00f6nemli olsa da, bu verinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck veya y\u00fcksek gelmesi, t\u00fcketici enflasyonunu etkileyecek son verilerden bir tanesi. A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda beklentinin \u00e7ok \u00fcst\u00fcnde gelmi\u015fti, bu ay beklentinin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda. Bu veriye bakarak T\u00dcFE hakk\u0131nda net bilgi sahibi olmam\u0131z m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Eyl\u00fcl Ay\u0131 T\u00dcFE: Bug\u00fcn 15:30\u2019da \u00e7ok kritik olan T\u00dcFE verisi a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Yani T\u00fcketici Enflasyonu. Fed<\/strong>\u2019in y\u0131llard\u0131r %2\u2019nin alt\u0131nda enflasyon g\u00f6rmek istedi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesine ra\u011fmen, son zamanlardaki gev\u015fek para politikalar\u0131 bunu \u015fimdilik m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6stermiyor. Bu durumun fark\u0131nda olan Fed, bu ay faiz indirimi yapacaklar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde beklentiler olu\u015fturdu; benim yorumum da ayn\u0131 y\u00f6nde.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz ay %2,7 a\u00e7\u0131klanan T\u00dcFE i\u00e7in bu ay beklenti %2,9 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Beklenti veya beklenti alt\u0131 veri, bu ay i\u00e7in faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %99,9\u2019a \u00e7\u0131karacakt\u0131r. Ancak bundan sonra, gelecek aylar\u0131 fiyatlamaya ba\u015flayabiliriz.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ne Demek Bu?<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n

Fed\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na g\u00f6re 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda 25 baz puan indirim (yani bu ay) planlan\u0131yor; di\u011fer faiz indirimlerini ise 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda yapacaklar\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyorlar. Asl\u0131nda bu bir s\u00f6zl\u00fc y\u00f6nlendirme. An itibariyle faiz indirimi beklentileri Ekim ay\u0131nda 25 bp %72, Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda 25 bp %64 \u015feklinde. Bu da demek oluyor ki Fed, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda toplam 75 bp indirimi piyasa fiyatlayabilir. Gelebilecek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir enflasyon verisi bu beklentileri yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yacakt\u0131r.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 T\u00dcFE verisi, Fed\u2019in 17 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de alaca\u011f\u0131 faiz karar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce piyasalar\u0131n odak noktas\u0131 oldu. Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdamda beklenenden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelen rakamlar ve \u00fcretici enflasyonundaki s\u00fcrpriz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, faiz indirimi beklentilerini y\u00fckseltti. Piyasalar art\u0131k sadece bu ay de\u011fil, gelecek aylar i\u00e7in Fed\u2019in ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131; bu durum \u00f6zellikle kripto ve riskli varl\u0131klar i\u00e7in potansiyel f\u0131rsatlar sunuyor.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":155371,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1512],"tags":[23681,34475,19065,15817,20875,12311,34474,3092],"class_list":["post-169991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-haber","tag-altin-piyasasi","tag-ekonomi-2025","tag-enflasyon-verisi","tag-faiz-indirimi","tag-istihdam-verisi","tag-kripto-analiz","tag-piyasa-beklenti","tag-tufe"],"yoast_head":"\nFed \u00d6ncesi Kritik T\u00dcFE Verisi ve Faiz Beklentileri! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Eyl\u00fcl T\u00dcFE verisi ve istihdam rakamlar\u0131 Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 \u015fekillendiriyor. 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