{"id":164355,"date":"2025-08-05T12:00:07","date_gmt":"2025-08-05T09:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=164355"},"modified":"2025-08-05T11:40:48","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T08:40:48","slug":"fed-eylulde-faiz-indirecek-mi-iste-sasirtan-rapor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-eylulde-faiz-indirecek-mi-iste-sasirtan-rapor\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed Eyl\u00fcl’de Faiz \u0130ndirecek mi? \u0130\u015fte \u015ea\u015f\u0131rtan Rapor"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD ekonomisine ili\u015fkin son istihdam verileri, para politikas\u0131 cephesinde \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131r\u0131lma yaratt\u0131. Temmuz ay\u0131ndaki istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131, beklentilerin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Bu zay\u0131flama, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed)<\/strong> Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz indirimi<\/strong> karar\u0131 alaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini h\u0131zla g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

CME Group\u2019un FedWatch Tool verilerine g\u00f6re, 17 Eyl\u00fcl tarihli FOMC<\/strong> toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz indirimi<\/strong> olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %90.1<\/strong>\u00a0seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu oran, g\u00fcn\u00fcn erken saatlerinde %89,1 olarak hesaplanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Yani beklentiler g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde ciddi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n faizlerin sabit tutulmas\u0131na verdi\u011fi olas\u0131l\u0131k sadece %5,6 d\u00fczeyinde kal\u0131yor. Bu tablo, piyasan\u0131n faiz indirimi beklentisinde ne kadar net bir pozisyon ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Trump ve Fed Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131: Faiz \u0130ndirimi Beklentisini Art\u0131ran Bir Di\u011fer Etken<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n

Bu arada, faiz indirimi ihtimalini art\u0131ran unsurlardan biri, Trump\u2019\u0131n yeni Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131<\/strong> atama plan\u0131 oldu. Ba\u015fkan Trump, g\u00f6rev s\u00fcresi sona eren Adriana Kugler\u2019\u0131n<\/strong><\/a> yerine faiz indirimi yanl\u0131s\u0131 bir ismi getirmeyi planl\u0131yor. Kugler, 2025 boyunca faiz indirimine kar\u015f\u0131 oy kulland\u0131. Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar g\u00f6revde kal\u0131rsa, yine faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 sabit tutmak i\u00e7in oy kullanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Fed, Aral\u0131k 2024\u2019ten bu yana politika faizini %4,25 – %4,50<\/strong><\/a> band\u0131nda tutuyor. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te be\u015f toplant\u0131 boyunca faiz oranlar\u0131nda herhangi bir de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gidilmedi. Ancak Temmuz 2025\u2019te a\u00e7\u0131klanan tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisinin sadece 73.000 seviyesinde kalmas\u0131, piyasa tepkisini tetikledi. Beklenti 147.000 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. Bu fark, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye dair endi\u015feleri art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

BlackRock\u2019tan 50 Baz Puanl\u0131k S\u00fcrpriz Tahmin: Piyasalar Temkinli \u0130yimser<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n

\u00dcstelik sadece 25 baz puan de\u011fil, 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz indirimi de g\u00fcndem konusu. BlackRock Yat\u0131r\u0131m Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Rick Rieder, Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda daha agresif bir indirimin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu belirtti. Rieder\u2019e g\u00f6re Fed, y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda toplam iki ila \u00fc\u00e7 faiz indirimi daha ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilir.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

BlackRock\u2019\u0131n kurumsal piyasa g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne g\u00f6re, ABD ekonomisinin mevcut ko\u015fullar\u0131 daha gev\u015fek bir para politikas\u0131n\u0131 zorunlu k\u0131l\u0131yor. Enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131 ve yava\u015flayan t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131 da bu beklentiyi destekliyor. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, faiz indiriminin zamanlamas\u0131 ve miktar\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 kritik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Fed\u2019in Eyl\u00fcl<\/strong> karar\u0131n\u0131 dikkatle izliyor. Zay\u0131f istihdam verisinin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bask\u0131, karar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u015fekillendiriyor.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla<\/a>.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD ekonomisine ili\u015fkin son istihdam verileri, para politikas\u0131 cephesinde \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131r\u0131lma yaratt\u0131. Temmuz ay\u0131ndaki istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131, beklentilerin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Bu zay\u0131flama, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz indirimi karar\u0131 alaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini h\u0131zla g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.\u00a0 CME Group\u2019un FedWatch Tool verilerine g\u00f6re, 17 Eyl\u00fcl tarihli FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %90.1\u00a0seviyesine<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":164362,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9692,1512],"tags":[10751,15863,32372,32371,32373,15817,32374,32370,15289,32261],"class_list":["post-164355","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","category-haber","tag-abd-ekonomisi","tag-abd-istihdam","tag-blackrock-yorumlari","tag-cme-fedwatch","tag-eylul-fomc-toplantisi","tag-faiz-indirimi","tag-fed-baskani-degisimi","tag-fed-eylul-karari","tag-fed-faiz-beklentisi","tag-istihdam-raporu"],"yoast_head":"\nFed Eyl\u00fcl'de Faiz \u0130ndirecek mi? \u0130\u015fte \u015ea\u015f\u0131rtan Rapor - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Zay\u0131f gelen istihdam verisi sonras\u0131 Fed\u2019in Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz indirme ihtimali y\u00fczde 94,4\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. 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