{"id":160039,"date":"2025-06-26T17:03:54","date_gmt":"2025-06-26T14:03:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=160039"},"modified":"2025-07-15T18:44:21","modified_gmt":"2025-07-15T15:44:21","slug":"sonbaharda-faiz-indirimi-mumkun-mu-abd-verileri-ne-durumda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/sonbaharda-faiz-indirimi-mumkun-mu-abd-verileri-ne-durumda\/","title":{"rendered":"Sonbaharda Faiz \u0130ndirimi M\u00fcmk\u00fcn M\u00fc? ABD Verileri Ne Durumda?"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD\u2019de<\/strong> <\/a>i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik \u00f6nemli veriler a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. 21 Haziran ile sona eren haftada ilk i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131<\/strong> 236 bin olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu rakam, ekonomistlerin beklentisi olan 244 binin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. \u00d6nceki hafta ise ba\u015fvurular 246 bin seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde s\u00fcregelen i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 da dikkat \u00e7ekici bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. 14 Haziran haftas\u0131nda 1,974 milyon olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan bu veri, 2021 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131ndan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Beklenti ise 1,950 milyon d\u00fczeyindeydi.<\/p>\n

Ekonomik Daralma Beklentileri A\u015ft\u0131<\/h2>\n

ABD ekonomisi<\/strong>, 2024\u2019\u00fcn ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda %0,5 oran\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc<\/strong>. Ekonomistler daralman\u0131n %0,2 olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyordu. Bu, 2023\u2019\u00fcn son \u00e7eyre\u011finde kaydedilen %2,4\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ard\u0131ndan sert bir geri \u00e7ekilme anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015ften \u00c7\u0131karmalar Art\u0131yor, \u0130stihdam Zay\u0131f<\/h2>\n

Veriler, i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131nda k\u0131sa vadede bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olsa da, daha geni\u015f kapsamda i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karmalar\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> g\u00f6steriyor. Yaz tatili d\u00f6nemine girilmesi ve teknik fakt\u00f6rlerin etkisiyle, baz\u0131 eyaletlerde \u00f6\u011fretmen d\u0131\u015f\u0131 personelin i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurusu yapabilmesi bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak ekonomistler, artan belirsizliklerin ve Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump<\/strong>\u2019\u0131n ithalat vergileri<\/strong> gibi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n \u015firketlerin plan yapmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Bu nedenle bir\u00e7ok i\u015fletme, yeni istihdam konusunda temkinli davran\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Sonbaharda Faiz \u0130ndirimi M\u00fcmk\u00fcn M\u00fc?<\/h2>\n

ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed)<\/strong>, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta politika faizini %4,25 – %4,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tuttu. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell<\/strong>, faiz indirimi i\u00e7in enflasyon \u00fczerindeki d\u0131\u015f etkilerin netle\u015fmesini beklediklerini belirtti. Sonbahar aylar\u0131nda faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015fsizlik Oran\u0131nda Art\u0131\u015f Bekleniyor<\/h2>\n

S\u00fcregelen ba\u015fvurular\u0131n artmas\u0131, Haziran ay\u0131 i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n<\/strong> %4,2\u2019den %4,3\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde tahminleri beraberinde getirdi. Conference Board\u2019un yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ankette, \u201ci\u015f bulman\u0131n kolay oldu\u011funu\u201d d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen t\u00fcketicilerin oran\u0131 son d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi.<\/p>\n

Wrightson ICAP Ba\u015fekonomisti Lou Crandall, \u201c\u0130\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karmalardaki art\u0131\u015f, Haziran istihdam raporunda i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131nda en az 0,1 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fa neden olabilir\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n

ABD Borsalar\u0131 Pozitif!<\/h2>\n

Ayr\u0131ca, ABD borsalar\u0131 da pozitif <\/strong>a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Dow Jones<\/strong> %0,24, S&P<\/strong> 500 %0,38 ve Nasdaq<\/strong> %0,45 oran\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. Bu hareketlilikte, Orta Do\u011fu’daki gerilimin azalmas\u0131 ve Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n faiz indirimi<\/strong> konusundaki daha yumu\u015fak a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131<\/strong>, piyasalarda k\u0131sa vadeli iyimserli\u011fe yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in\u00a0hemen t\u0131kla<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD\u2019de i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik \u00f6nemli veriler a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. 21 Haziran ile sona eren haftada ilk i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 236 bin olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu rakam, ekonomistlerin beklentisi olan 244 binin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. \u00d6nceki hafta ise ba\u015fvurular 246 bin seviyesindeydi. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde s\u00fcregelen i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 da dikkat \u00e7ekici bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. 14 Haziran haftas\u0131nda 1,974 milyon olarak<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":147922,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9692,1512],"tags":[10753,29771,29773,20630,8082,6037,15817,413,22175,6109,1846,2708,1298,2451,1107,29772,24266,1180],"class_list":["post-160039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","category-haber","tag-abd-borsalari","tag-abd-is-gucu","tag-daralma","tag-dow-jones","tag-ekonomi","tag-enflasyon","tag-faiz-indirimi","tag-fed","tag-gumruk-vergileri","tag-issizlik","tag-nasdaq","tag-orta-dogu","tag-powell","tag-resesyon","tag-sp-500","tag-sonbahar","tag-tarifeler","tag-trump"],"yoast_head":"\nSonbaharda Faiz \u0130ndirimi M\u00fcmk\u00fcn M\u00fc? 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