{"id":14791,"date":"2022-02-22T23:00:06","date_gmt":"2022-02-22T20:00:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=14791"},"modified":"2022-02-22T23:00:06","modified_gmt":"2022-02-22T20:00:06","slug":"korkunun-ayak-sesleri-fon-yoneticisi-altin-ve-bunlardan-alin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/korkunun-ayak-sesleri-fon-yoneticisi-altin-ve-bunlardan-alin\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cKorkunun Ayak Sesleri\u201d Fon Y\u00f6neticisi: Alt\u0131n ve Bunlardan Al\u0131n!"},"content":{"rendered":"

On y\u0131ll\u0131k inat\u00e7\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyondan sonra, fiyatlar 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. VanEck\u2019ten David Schassler, y\u00f6netti\u011fi enflasyon odakl\u0131 ETF\u2019nin neden emsallerinin %97\u2019sinden iyi oldu\u011funu ve enflasyondan korunmak i\u00e7in alt\u0131n ve benzeri al\u0131nabilecek \u00fcr\u00fcnleri payla\u015f\u0131yor. Biz de Coinm\u00fchendisi.com<\/strong>\u00a0olarak David Schassler\u2019in payla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 okuyucular\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in derledik.<\/p>\n

Enflasyondan faydalanan bir fon<\/b><\/p>\n

The VanEck Inflation Allocation ETF (VanEck ETF), Nisan 2018\u2019de \u00e7ok fazla tantana olmadan i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Kurulu\u015fundan yirmi iki ay sonra, pandemi vurmadan hemen \u00f6nce VanEck\u2019in enflasyon odakl\u0131 borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonu %0,4 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Fon, %6,5\u2019lik bir kayba d\u00fc\u015fmeden ve son iki y\u0131l\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funu bu dar aral\u0131kta i\u015flem yaparak ge\u00e7irmeden \u00f6nce %2,7\u2019lik bir kazanca kadar y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

VanEck ETF, neredeyse iki y\u0131l boyunca zar zor hareket ettikten sonra, \u015eubat sonu ile Mart 2020 sonu aras\u0131ndaki 30 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde de\u011ferinin \u00fc\u00e7te birini kaybetti. Ekonomik aktivitede sars\u0131c\u0131 bir duraklama, ekonomik \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f ve fiyat deflasyonu konusunda yayg\u0131n korkulara neden oldu ve bunun sonucunda t\u00fcm piyasa batt\u0131.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

VanEck\u2019in niceliksel yat\u0131r\u0131m \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmleri ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve fon i\u00e7in iki portf\u00f6y y\u00f6neticisinden biri olan David Schassler, daha sonra ne oldu\u011funun sonradan anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ancak bunun sadece iki y\u0131l \u00f6nce hayal bile edilemeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Enflasyon k\u0131rk y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine f\u0131rlad\u0131 ve yava\u015flama belirtisi g\u00f6stermiyor. \u00c7ok y\u00fcksek enflasyon \u00e7o\u011fu yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131y\u0131 korkutsa da, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l %21,5 artan (emsallerinin %97\u2019sinden daha iyi) ve bu y\u0131l \u015fimdiye kadar %3 y\u00fckselen ve 2022\u2019de fonlar\u0131n ilk %2\u2019sinde yer alan David Schassler\u2019in fonu i\u00e7in Sabah Y\u0131ld\u0131z\u0131\u2019na giden bir r\u00fcya senaryosu.<\/p>\n

Belirsizlikle dolu bir piyasada kazanan bahis nas\u0131l yap\u0131l\u0131r?<\/b><\/p>\n

David Schassler, y\u00fcksek enflasyona ili\u015fkin korkular\u0131n piyasalar\u0131 vurmas\u0131 nedeniyle VanEck\u2019in enflasyon ETF\u2019sinin hakim olmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7 ana nedeni oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor: Enflasyonla m\u00fccadele eden varl\u0131klar\u0131 al\u0131yor, farkl\u0131 enflasyon rejimlerine uyum sa\u011flayabiliyor ve varl\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131 aras\u0131nda iyi \u00e7e\u015fitlendirilmi\u015f. Kombinasyon, ETF\u2019yi belirsizlikle dolu bir piyasada kazanan bir bahis haline getirdi ve fiyatlar y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam ettik\u00e7e, enflasyonu savu\u015fturabilecek fonlara olan talep de artacak.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

David Schassler\u2019e g\u00f6re, fiyatlar\u0131n istikrarl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamakla g\u00f6revli Federal Rezerv, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltme e\u011frisinin gerisinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ciddi bir yerle\u015fme riski var. Schassler, daha y\u00fcksek faizlerin hem ekonomiyi hem de enflasyonu yava\u015flataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ancak \u00e7ok fazla h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ekonomide ba\u015fka bir durgunlu\u011fa neden olabilecek \u2018stres \u00e7atlaklar\u0131na\u2019 yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor:<\/p>\n

Fed\u2019in ekonomi \u00fczerinde derin olumsuz etkiler yaratmadan faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok, \u00e7ok zor bir durumda olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Yani, enflasyon oran\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131klar\u0131 yere g\u00f6re \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu, \u00e7ok zor bir durumda bulunduklar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Politika hatas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek. Bu y\u00fczden, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fen bir ekonomik ortamda y\u00fckseltmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n

Enflasyon i\u00e7in bir ideal portf\u00f6y: Emtia, alt\u0131n, Bitcoin ve di\u011ferleri<\/b><\/p>\n

Fed\u2019in artan fiyatlara nas\u0131l tepki verece\u011finden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak, David Schassler\u2019e g\u00f6re, neredeyse bir garanti, enflasyonun 2020\u2019lerde 2010\u2019larda oldu\u011fundan daha y\u00fcksek olaca\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Schassler, y\u00fcksek enflasyon ortam\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n reel varl\u0131klar\u0131n portf\u00f6ylerinin %10 ile %15\u2019ini olu\u015fturmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamalar\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor ve de\u011ferli enflasyon korumalar\u0131na sekiz \u00f6rnek veriyor: emtialar, do\u011fal kaynaklara ba\u011fl\u0131 hisse senetleri, alt\u0131n ve alt\u0131n madenci ETF\u2019leri, gayrimenkul yat\u0131r\u0131m ortakl\u0131klar\u0131, ana limited ortakl\u0131klar, altyap\u0131 hisse senetleri ve Bitcoin.<\/p>\n

Schassler, enflasyonla ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kabilenler (enflasyondan yararlananlar) ile yapamayanlar (genellikle daha uzun vadeli varl\u0131klar) aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7atallanma bekliyor. Faiz oranlar\u0131 y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e daha y\u00fcksek de\u011ferlemelere sahip b\u00fcy\u00fcme stoklar\u0131n\u0131n zarar g\u00f6rme e\u011filiminde oldu\u011funu da s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor. The VanEck Inflation Allocation ETF, yukar\u0131daki t\u00fcm \u00f6rneklerdeki pozisyonlar\u0131 i\u00e7eriyor, ancak VanEck\u2019in enflasyon ETF\u2019sinin belki de en kafa kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 par\u00e7as\u0131, Bitcoin (BTC) almay\u0131 sa\u011flayan Purpose Bitcoin ETF (BTCC). VanEck\u2019in enflasyon ETF\u2019sinin kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131na Bitcoin eklemesinden bu yana kabaca 365 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde, token yakla\u015f\u0131k %22 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Birka\u00e7 ay \u00f6nce, lider kripto para biriminin bir enflasyon riskinden korunma olaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131l\u0131yordu. Schassler taraf\u0131ndan sunulan tez basit: Bitcoin\u2019in arz\u0131, alt\u0131n gibi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ve di\u011fer kripto para birimlerinin aksine, kolayca aktar\u0131labilir ve taklit edilmesi imkans\u0131z. Ancak \u015fu ana kadar bu teorinin do\u011frulu\u011fu kan\u0131tlanmad\u0131. Asl\u0131nda, Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 ortas\u0131nda, kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonun bir sorun haline geldi\u011fine dair kan\u0131tlar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, \u2018dijital alt\u0131n\u2019, Ocak ay\u0131 sonundaki en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerinden %15\u2019lik bir toparlanmadan sonra bile, rekor seviyesinden %40 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, alt\u0131n (en eski enflasyon riskinden korunma) bu d\u00f6nemde yakla\u015f\u0131k %2 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ancak Schassler, Bitcoin bahsinden vazge\u00e7miyor. Schassler, kripto para biriminin alt\u0131n\u0131n uzun bir ge\u00e7mi\u015fi olmamas\u0131na ve baz\u0131 vah\u015fi fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131ndan muzdarip olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, \u201cBitcoin\u2019in y\u00fckseldi\u011fi ve volatilitenin arkada\u015f\u0131n\u0131z oldu\u011fu bir senaryo var,\u201d diyor. \u201cTarihsel olarak, y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 teknolojiyi reddetmek kaybedilen bir teklif oldu\u201d diyen Schassler, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Kimse gelece\u011fi tam olarak bilemez. Zamanlaman\u0131n, enflasyonun ne kadar s\u00fcredir var oldu\u011funu ve enflasyonun ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131ndan bu yana Bitcoin\u2019in ne kadar iyi oldu\u011funu, s\u00f6ylemek i\u00e7in yeterince uzun olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Asl\u0131nda ayn\u0131 \u015feyi alt\u0131n i\u00e7in de s\u00f6yleyebilirim. Alt\u0131n, enflasyon ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan beri iyi bir performans g\u00f6stermedi, ancak bizim g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcze g\u00f6re hala \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir enflasyon riskinden korunma arac\u0131. D\u00f6ng\u00fc i\u00e7in hen\u00fcz \u00e7ok erken.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

On y\u0131ll\u0131k inat\u00e7\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyondan sonra, fiyatlar 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. VanEck\u2019ten David Schassler, y\u00f6netti\u011fi enflasyon …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":14792,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[606,672],"class_list":["post-14791","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-vaneck","tag-yuksek"],"yoast_head":"\n\u201cKorkunun Ayak Sesleri\u201d Fon Y\u00f6neticisi: Alt\u0131n ve Bunlardan Al\u0131n! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/korkunun-ayak-sesleri-fon-yoneticisi-altin-ve-bunlardan-alin\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u201cKorkunun Ayak Sesleri\u201d Fon Y\u00f6neticisi: Alt\u0131n ve Bunlardan Al\u0131n!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On y\u0131ll\u0131k inat\u00e7\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyondan sonra, fiyatlar 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 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