{"id":14399,"date":"2022-02-20T08:40:06","date_gmt":"2022-02-20T05:40:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=14399"},"modified":"2022-02-20T08:40:06","modified_gmt":"2022-02-20T05:40:06","slug":"ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomistler: Gelecek Hafta Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131, Bu Seviyeleri Vurabilir!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Analistler, piyasa jeopolitik olarak gergin uzun bir hafta sonuna girerken alt\u0131nda baz\u0131 abart\u0131l\u0131 hareketler ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinin \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ancak alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, de\u011ferli metalin 1.900 dolar\u0131 test etmesiyle y\u00fckseli\u015fini koruyor.<\/p>\n

\u201cUkrayna geriliminde hemen bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm olmayacak\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 riskten uzak tutan Ukrayna\u2019daki jeopolitik duruma ili\u015fkin par\u00e7a par\u00e7a g\u00fcncellemelerle bu hafta borsada kaotik bir i\u015flem oldu. Ayr\u0131ca, Federal Rezerv\u2019in d\u00f6rt y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fcksek enflasyonla m\u00fccadele etmek i\u00e7in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden fiyatland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131 terk etmesine ve alt\u0131n gibi g\u00fcvenli limanlara kucak a\u00e7mas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n

Rusya\u2019n\u0131n askeri tatbikatlar\u0131n\u0131n Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc sona ermesi planlan\u0131yor ve askerlerin hareketleri izlenen kilit geli\u015fme konumunda. Bu arada coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong> haberlerinde de yer verdi\u011fimiz \u00fczere, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Joe Biden, Moskova\u2019n\u0131n \u2018yak\u0131n bir i\u015fgal\u2019 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131na ikna olmu\u015f durumda. T\u00fcm g\u00f6zler ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Antony Blinken\u2019in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta Rusya D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Sergei Lavrov ile Avrupa\u2019da yapaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede. OANDA k\u0131demli piyasa analisti Edward Moya, verdi\u011fi bir deme\u00e7te \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

\u015eu anda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar t\u00fcm bu jeopolitik riskleri, man\u015fetleri ve artan g\u00fcncellemeleri ele almakta zorlan\u0131yor. Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n durumu hakk\u0131nda hemen bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm olmayacak.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Edward Moya: Emniyete u\u00e7u\u015f art\u0131yor<\/b><\/p>\n

Jeopolitik a\u00e7\u0131ya ek olarak, alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 i\u00e7i \u00f6nemli bir itici g\u00fc\u00e7, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n agresif s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131ndan kaynaklanan ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015feleri. \u00dclkeler nihayet pandemiden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yorlar, ancak \u00e7ok yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyonla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yalar. Edward Moya, bunun b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc riske att\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Analiste g\u00f6re, bu jeopolitik hikayenin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131, tedarik zinciri sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rarak, k\u00fcresel enerji krizine fazladan yak\u0131t d\u00f6kmek ve bu da daha agresif bir merkez bankas\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na neden olabilir. Edward Moya, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Sonunda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye zarar verecek ve bu alt\u0131n i\u00e7in destekleyici olabilir. Herkesin bekledi\u011finden \u00e7ok daha erken bir zamanda (genellikle durgunluk veya depresyonun habercisi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen) tersine \u00e7evrilmi\u015f bir getiri e\u011frisinden bahsedece\u011fiz. Wall Street\u2019in g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Wall Street resesyondan bahsederken bir\u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 ekonominin 12-24 ay i\u00e7inde nerede olaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda endi\u015feleniyor. Edward Moya, konuyu \u015fu \u015fekilde a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Bir\u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131da nakde do\u011fru bir \u00e7eki\u015fme oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Emniyete u\u00e7u\u015f art\u0131yor. Ukrayna\u2019da ne olaca\u011f\u0131na dair uzun bir belirsizlik d\u00f6nemimiz olsa bile, yine de g\u00fcvenli\u011fe do\u011fru ilerlemenin devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Bunun da alt\u0131na faydas\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n

Kevin Grady\u2019ye g\u00f6re alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 hareketlerinin \u00e7o\u011fu enflasyon kaynakl\u0131<\/b><\/p>\n

Phoenix Futures and Options LLC ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Grady ise verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, enflasyon arg\u00fcman\u0131n\u0131n riskli hisse senetlerinden ve kripto piyasas\u0131ndan ka\u00e7an yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in alt\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00e7ekici g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesini sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n\u0131n fiyat hareketlerinin \u00e7o\u011fu enflasyon hikayesinden geliyor. Enflasyonun 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan %7,5\u2019e ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ancak t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksini (T\u00dcFE) 1980\u2019de oldu\u011fu gibi \u00f6l\u00e7mek i\u00e7in ayn\u0131 metri\u011fi kullan\u0131rsak, enflasyonumuz %15\u2019e yak\u0131n olacakt\u0131r. \u0130nsanlar bunu anl\u0131yor, bu y\u00fczden alt\u0131n sonunda y\u00fckseliyor.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Kevin Grady, Fed\u2019in enflasyon \u00fczerinde hi\u00e7bir kontrol\u00fc olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve enerji piyasas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek talep nedeniyle \u00e7ok fazla bask\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. LLC ba\u015fkan\u0131, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn biraz daha netlik kazanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u015fu tarihe dikkat \u00e7ekiyor:<\/p>\n

Herkes, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n enflasyona nas\u0131l yakla\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in Mart ay\u0131ndaki Federal Rezerv toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n

Analistlerin alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 tahminleri<\/b><\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ons ba\u015f\u0131na 1.900 dolar seviyesini test ederek Haziran ortas\u0131ndan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131. Edward Moya, alt\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftaya girmesi i\u00e7in daha fazla yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyel oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekiyor:<\/p>\n

Uzun hafta sonuna girerken y\u00fcksek riskler var. Risk hissi so\u011fudu ve onu h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde geri getirebilecek pek bir \u015fey yok. Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in 1.930 dolar yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kritik diren\u00e7 seviyesi olacak. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde, alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.880 dolarda deste\u011fi var. Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc tatil oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta abart\u0131l\u0131 dalgalanmalar g\u00f6rmek sizi \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtmas\u0131n.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Kevin Grady, May\u0131s ay\u0131n\u0131n sonundan itibaren diren\u00e7 noktalar\u0131 olarak iki seviyeyi izliyor: 1.919 dolar ve 1.922 dolar. Analist , bu seviyelerin \u00fczerinde \u00e7ok fazla genel diren\u00e7 oldu\u011funu kaydediyor ve destek olarak \u015fu seviyeyi i\u015faret ediyor:<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli destek, 16 \u015eubat\u2019\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan 1.881,60 dolarda bulunuyor. Bu devam etmezse, alt\u0131n 1.845 dolara geri \u00e7ekilebilir.<\/p>\n

Kevin Grady, jeopolitik gerilimlerin azalmas\u0131 durumunda alt\u0131nda bir geri \u00e7ekilme riski oldu\u011fu konusunda uyar\u0131yor ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n bu durumu bu hafta k\u0131smen g\u00f6rd\u00fcklerini belirtiyor:<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en Cuma, ABD\u2019nin Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019ya her g\u00fcn sald\u0131rabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki uyar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan hisse senetlerinin d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve alt\u0131n\u0131n patlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Sonra Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc, gerginlikler yat\u0131\u015f\u0131rken tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fck. Sonra d\u00f6ng\u00fc bir kez daha tekrarland\u0131.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Gelecek haftan\u0131n takip edilecek makro verileri<\/b><\/p>\n

Veri cephesinde, CME FedWatch Tool\u2019a g\u00f6re, piyasalar Mart toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 50 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini %33\u2019e geri \u00e7ektikten sonra Fed konu\u015fmac\u0131lar\u0131na bak\u0131yor olacak. ING FX stratejisti Francesco Pesole, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftan\u0131n g\u00fcndemine ili\u015fkin olarak \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftan\u0131n Fed konu\u015fma g\u00fcndeminde birka\u00e7 \u015fahin ses (Bostic, Mester ve Waller) var. Bunlar faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6n y\u00fckleme spek\u00fclasyonlar\u0131n\u0131 canland\u0131rabilir ve dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na bir taban koymaya daha fazla yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Sal\u0131: \u0130malat PMI, CB t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni, Atlanta Federal Rezerv Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Raphael Bostic konu\u015fuyor<\/li>\n
  2. Per\u015fembe: GSY\u0130H Q4, ilk i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131, yeni ev sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131, Cleveland Federal Rezerv Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Loretta Mester konu\u015fuyor<\/li>\n
  3. Cuma: PCE fiyat endeksi, ki\u015fisel harcamalar, dayan\u0131kl\u0131 mal sipari\u015fleri<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Analistler, piyasa jeopolitik olarak gergin uzun bir hafta sonuna girerken alt\u0131nda baz\u0131 abart\u0131l\u0131 hareketler ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinin \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":14400,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[413],"class_list":["post-14399","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-fed"],"yoast_head":"\nEkonomistler: Gelecek Hafta Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131, Bu Seviyeleri Vurabilir! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ekonomistler: Gelecek Hafta Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131, Bu Seviyeleri Vurabilir!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Analistler, piyasa jeopolitik olarak gergin uzun bir hafta sonuna girerken alt\u0131nda baz\u0131 abart\u0131l\u0131 hareketler ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinin \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-02-20T05:40:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir-lkDYrjf9-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1600\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92661db359d245dcf90385075aee07ed\"},\"headline\":\"Ekonomistler: Gelecek Hafta Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131, Bu Seviyeleri Vurabilir!\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-02-20T05:40:06+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1139,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/02\\\/ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir-lkDYrjf9-1.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Fed\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Coin\",\"NFT\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2022\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/ekonomistler-gelecek-hafta-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyeleri-vurabilir\\\/\",\"name\":\"Ekonomistler: Gelecek Hafta Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131, Bu Seviyeleri Vurabilir! 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