{"id":13752,"date":"2022-02-16T21:36:08","date_gmt":"2022-02-16T18:36:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=13752"},"modified":"2022-02-16T21:36:08","modified_gmt":"2022-02-16T18:36:08","slug":"petrolde-100-dolar-ustu-senaryolar-konusuluyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/petrolde-100-dolar-ustu-senaryolar-konusuluyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrolde 100 dolar \u00fcst\u00fc senaryolar konu\u015fuluyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bat\u0131 Teksas Petrol\u00fc pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7evirdi. ABD\u2019nin Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 her an i\u015fgal edebilece\u011fine dair uyar\u0131lar\u0131na ra\u011fmen Moskova diplomasi \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yaparak i\u015fgal iddialar\u0131n\u0131 tekrar reddetti.<\/p>\n

Avrupa\u2019daki jeopolitik riskler bu haftaya damgas\u0131n\u0131 vuracak olsa da ABD\u2019de kaya petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131na ve \u0130ran ile yap\u0131lan n\u00fckleer g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde ilerleme sa\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair i\u015faretler mevcut.<\/p>\n

Her iki olay\u0131n da petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak art\u0131\u015f trendini zay\u0131flatabilece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnyada k\u00fcresel t\u00fcketim artmaya devam ederken Avrupa\u2019da uzun s\u00fcredir devam eden krizin enerji arz\u0131nda yaratabilece\u011fi potansiyel bozulmalar nedeniyle petrol bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131lda ba\u015flayan sert y\u00fckseli\u015fine 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda da devam etti. Y\u00fckseli\u015f stoklar\u0131n t\u00fckenmesine neden olurken Brent petrol\u00fcn 100 dolar seviyesinden birka\u00e7 dolar a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesini sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u015eu anda piyasan\u0131n t\u00fcm oda\u011f\u0131 Rusya-Ukrayna krizi \u00fczerinde\u201d diyen ING Groep NV Emtia Stratejileri M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Warren Patterson, \u201cDolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu konuda ya\u015fanacak geli\u015fmeler piyasan\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn belirlenmesi i\u00e7in hayati \u00f6neme sahip olacakt\u0131r ve bu sorunun nas\u0131l \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclece\u011fi netle\u015fmeden fiyatlardaki y\u00fcksek risk priminin kalmaya devam edece\u011fini bekliyorum\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n

Piyasalarda yak\u0131n vadeli fiyatlar\u0131n uzun vadelileri oranla y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131 arz s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederken Brent vadelileri aras\u0131ndaki fark 2,23 dolarla 2019\u2019dan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Banka raporlar\u0131ndan 100 dolar \u00fcst\u00fc korkutucu senaryolar<\/b><\/p>\n

Piyasalarda mevcut g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm b\u00f6yleyken baz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m raporlar\u0131nda 100 dolar \u00fcst\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde dile getirilmeye ba\u015fland\u0131. Daha \u00f6nce petrol\u00fcn 100 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rebilece\u011fini belirten banka 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7inde 105 dolar g\u00f6r\u00fclmeden bir d\u00fczeltme ya\u015fanmas\u0131 halinde petrol\u00fcn bir sonraki zirvesinin 125 dolar olabilece\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n

RBC Capital Markets ise daha karamsar bir senaryo \u00e7izerken fiyatlar\u0131 2008 krizi ve 2011-14 Arap Bahar\u0131 d\u00f6nemiyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Bankaya g\u00f6re 2008 krizinde ya\u015fanan talep bozunumunda Haziran ay\u0131nda benzin fiyatlar\u0131 galon ba\u015f\u0131na 4,09 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcrken enflasyon giydirildi\u011finde bu rakam bugun i\u00e7in 5,21 dolara denk geliyor. Arap Bahar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda ise fiyatlar galon ba\u015f\u0131na 3,50 dolar ortalamayla seyretmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Bu rakamlar\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze uyarlayan banka galon ba\u015f\u0131na 4 dolar g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi halinde varil fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 112 dolara ula\u015fabilece\u011fini fakat talep bozunumu ya\u015fanmadan 2008 fiyatlar\u0131na ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde galon ba\u015f\u0131na 5 dolar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fini bunun da varil ba\u015f\u0131na 150 dolar anlam\u0131na gelece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

Mart vadeli Bat\u0131 Teksas Petrol\u00fc Nymex piyasas\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,6 d\u00fc\u015ferek 94,52 dolara geriledi.<\/p>\n

Nisan vadeli Brent petrol Londra ICE Futures Europe piyasas\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,5 d\u00fc\u015ferek 96,05 dolara geriledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bat\u0131 Teksas Petrol\u00fc pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7evirdi. ABD\u2019nin Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 her an i\u015fgal …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":13753,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[1857,638],"class_list":["post-13752","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","tag-petrolu","tag-vadeli"],"yoast_head":"\nPetrolde 100 dolar \u00fcst\u00fc senaryolar konu\u015fuluyor - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/petrolde-100-dolar-ustu-senaryolar-konusuluyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Petrolde 100 dolar \u00fcst\u00fc senaryolar konu\u015fuluyor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bat\u0131 Teksas Petrol\u00fc pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7evirdi. 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