{"id":125655,"date":"2024-06-12T14:45:46","date_gmt":"2024-06-12T11:45:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=125655"},"modified":"2024-06-12T14:26:25","modified_gmt":"2024-06-12T11:26:25","slug":"abd-tufe-ve-fed-toplantisi-btc-zararlarini-telafi-ederken-dikkat-edilmesi-gerekenler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/abd-tufe-ve-fed-toplantisi-btc-zararlarini-telafi-ederken-dikkat-edilmesi-gerekenler\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD T\u00dcFE ve Fed Toplant\u0131s\u0131: BTC Zararlar\u0131n\u0131 Telafi Ederken Dikkat Edilmesi Gerekenler"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/a>, Fed’in faiz oran\u0131 indirim beklentilerini etkileyebilecek \u00f6nemli olaylar \u00f6ncesinde bask\u0131 alt\u0131na girdi.<\/p>\n

Dolar endeksi ve bitcoin<\/a>, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon, konut kiralar\u0131 ve Fed’in enflasyon seyrine dair g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerine ba\u011fl\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131m bankalar\u0131 konut kiralar\u0131nda bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekliyor. Beklenenden y\u00fcksek bir T\u00dcFE, risk varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 sarsabilir. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc, kritik ABD t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi raporu, Federal Rezerv’in toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan sadece saatler \u00f6nce yay\u0131nlanaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in piyasalarda belirleyici bir g\u00fcn olabilir.<\/p>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131’n\u0131n T\u00dcFE raporu, 12:30 UTC’de yay\u0131nlanacak ve FactSet’e g\u00f6re, ya\u015fam maliyetinin Nisan ay\u0131ndaki %0.3’l\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan May\u0131s ay\u0131nda %0.1 artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesi bekleniyor. Bu, y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon oran\u0131n\u0131 %3.4’te sabit tutacakt\u0131r. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, volatil g\u0131da ve enerji kalemleri hari\u00e7 \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun da May\u0131s ay\u0131nda %0.3 artmas\u0131 bekleniyor, bu da Nisan ay\u0131ndaki oranla ayn\u0131.<\/p>\n

Daha sonra, 18:00 UTC’de Fed’in, g\u00f6sterge bor\u00e7lanma maliyetini %5.25 ile %5.5 aras\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131 ve faiz oran\u0131 nokta grafi\u011fini yay\u0131nlamas\u0131 bekleniyor. Enflasyon verilerinin, nokta grafik projeksiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 ve Powell’\u0131n toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 etkilemesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015fte dolar endeksi ve Bitcoin’i etkileyebilecek \u00f6nemli unsurlar:<\/p>\n

\u00c7ekirdek Enflasyon ve Kira Fiyat Art\u0131\u015f\u0131<\/h2>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131m bankalar\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE riskinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. “G\u0131da ve enerji hari\u00e7 \u00e7ekirdek fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n, daha normal bir %0.2 ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ile %3.5’e (Nisan’daki %3.6’dan) gerilemesi bekleniyor. Konut kira fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n da Fed politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi \u00e7ekirdek hizmetler kira d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fcndeki daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla birlikte yava\u015flamas\u0131 bekleniyor,” diyor RBC’nin ekonomistleri.<\/p>\n

ING’ye g\u00f6re, baz\u0131 ekonomistler, \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE sepetinde %40 a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011fa sahip olan Sahiplerin E\u015fde\u011fer Kiras\u0131’n\u0131n nihayet d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bar\u0131nma fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131ndaki olas\u0131 bir hafifleme, enflasyondaki son aylardaki yap\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n kaynaklar\u0131ndan biri olarak, Fed faiz indirim beklentilerini canland\u0131rabilir ve bu da dolar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilir. Daha zay\u0131f bir dolar genellikle bitcoin gibi risk varl\u0131klar\u0131nda bir y\u00fckseli\u015fle birlikte gelir.<\/p>\n

JPMorgan’a g\u00f6re, ayl\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE %0.4’\u00fc a\u015farsa dolar b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fckselecek.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcnden bu yana bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalarak %5’ten fazla de\u011fer kaybederek CoinDesk verilerine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k 67.350 dolara geriledi. Dolar endeksi ise, b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 ye\u015filback’in de\u011ferini \u00f6l\u00e7en bir g\u00f6sterge, %1 artarak 105.20’ye y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Fed A\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131<\/h2>\n

Mevcut durumda kalacak bir faiz karar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen bir sonu\u00e7tur ve faiz oran\u0131 projeksiyon grafi\u011finde bu y\u0131l \u00fc\u00e7 yerine iki faiz indirimi g\u00f6sterilmesi beklenmektedir. Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc beklenenden s\u0131cak gelen istihdam verilerinden bu yana, piyasalar bu y\u0131l iki faiz indiriminden fazlas\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u0131\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle, odak noktas\u0131 merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon seyrine dair g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc olacak. “Fed, a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131ndan ‘Son aylarda, Komite’nin %2 enflasyon hedefi do\u011frultusunda daha fazla ilerleme kaydedilmemi\u015ftir’ c\u00fcmlesini \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rsa, k\u0131sa vadeli ABD [Hazine] getirileri ve dolar d\u00fc\u015febilir,” diyor ING, \u00c7ar\u015famba sabah\u0131 m\u00fc\u015fterilerine g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi bir notta.<\/p>\n

“Ba\u015fkan Powell genellikle g\u00fcvercin bir bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fczenliyor ve dolar son d\u00f6rt FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcn\u00fcnde daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kapand\u0131,” diyor ING. “DXY’yi 105.90\/106.00 seviyelerine getirecek bir \u015fok %0.4 ayl\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE rakam\u0131 veya daha \u015fahin bir Powell g\u00f6rmemiz gerekecek. Bunun olas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.”<\/p>\n

Bu y\u0131l, bitcoin genellikle Fed karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri ya\u015farken, karar sonras\u0131nda tekrar y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin, Fed’in faiz oran\u0131 indirim beklentilerini etkileyebilecek \u00f6nemli olaylar \u00f6ncesinde bask\u0131 alt\u0131na girdi. Dolar endeksi ve bitcoin, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon, konut kiralar\u0131 ve Fed’in enflasyon seyrine dair g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerine ba\u011fl\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131m bankalar\u0131 konut kiralar\u0131nda bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekliyor. Beklenenden y\u00fcksek bir T\u00dcFE, risk varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 sarsabilir. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc, kritik ABD t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi raporu, Federal Rezerv’in toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan sadece saatler<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":28,"featured_media":119338,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,9692,1512],"tags":[12,15331,413,15332,3092],"class_list":["post-125655","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-ekonomi-haberleri","category-haber","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-fed","tag-fed","tag-fed-tufe","tag-tufe"],"yoast_head":"\nABD T\u00dcFE ve Fed Toplant\u0131s\u0131: BTC Zararlar\u0131n\u0131 Telafi Ederken Dikkat Edilmesi Gerekenler - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin i\u00e7in Fed T\u00dcFE toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde \u00f6nemli metrikleri sizler i\u00e7in derledik. 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