{"id":12210,"date":"2022-02-08T22:48:06","date_gmt":"2022-02-08T19:48:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=12210"},"modified":"2022-02-08T22:48:06","modified_gmt":"2022-02-08T19:48:06","slug":"her-an-olabilir-uzman-altin-fiyati-bu-rakamlara-gidiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/her-an-olabilir-uzman-altin-fiyati-bu-rakamlara-gidiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cHer An Olabilir\u201d Uzman: Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131 Bu Rakamlara Gidiyor!"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD istihbarat yetkilileri, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u015fu anda Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal etmek i\u00e7in askeri haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %70\u2019ine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyor. ABD\u2019li yetkililer, analizin istihbarata dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak bilgilerin hassasiyeti nedeniyle bu de\u011ferlendirmeye ili\u015fkin kan\u0131tlar\u0131n ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n medyaya a\u00e7\u0131klanamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Kitco News\u2019in genel yay\u0131n y\u00f6netmeni Michelle Makori, Global Risk Intelligence & Planning CEO\u2019su eski Te\u011fmen Harold Kempfer ve BCA Research\u2019teki Emtia ve Enerji Stratejisi hizmetinin Ba\u015f Stratejisti Robert Ryan ile Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal etme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, piyasalar ve alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 \u00fczerindeki etkilerini tart\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong> okuyucular\u0131 i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlad\u0131k.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli mesele: Ukrayna gerilimi<\/b><\/p>\n

Global Risk Intelligence & Planning CEO\u2019su Harold Kempfer, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019ya bir i\u015fgal ba\u015flatmak i\u00e7in insan g\u00fcc\u00fcne sahip oldu\u011funu, ancak lojistik zorluklar\u0131n devam etti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

Rusya Ukrayna\u2019ya girebilir. Kesinlikle yeterli birlikleri var, z\u0131rhl\u0131lar\u0131, f\u00fczeleri, toplar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ihtiya\u00e7 duyduklar\u0131 t\u00fcm destek silahlar\u0131 var. Bu y\u00fczden kesinlikle bir i\u015fgal ba\u015flatabilirler. Benim bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m \u015feylerden biri, ileri konu\u015fland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f yak\u0131t ikmalleri var m\u0131? Yak\u0131t kaynaklar\u0131 raporlarda olmayan tek \u015fey. Bununla birlikte, son uydu foto\u011fraflar\u0131, s\u0131n\u0131r boyunca sahip olduklar\u0131 ana kamplara do\u011fru bir\u00e7ok yeni materyali ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Yani, haz\u0131rlan\u0131yorlar gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Harold Kempfer, Ukrayna i\u00e7inde Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 ABD\u2019den do\u011frudan askeri m\u00fcdahalenin olas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ancak Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n \u015fimdiden ABD ve m\u00fcttefiklerinden stratejik planlama konusunda istihbarat ve yard\u0131m ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydediyor:<\/p>\n

Yapaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u015fey muhtemelen Ukrayna\u2019ya \u00e7ok fazla silah ve ba\u015fka \u015feyler vermek. NATO ortaklar\u0131ndan herhangi birinin Ukrayna\u2019ya askeri g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6nderece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum. Bununla birlikte, \u015fu anda Ukrayna\u2019da askeri e\u011fitmenlerimiz var. Muhtemelen Ukrayna savunma plan\u0131n\u0131 geli\u015ftirmelerine yard\u0131mc\u0131 oluyoruz.<\/p>\n

\u201cTeknoloji ve sermaye konusunda yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar m\u00fcmk\u00fcn\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Harold Kempfer, bu nedenle Moskova\u2019n\u0131n, ABD askeri g\u00fc\u00e7leri taraf\u0131ndan e\u011fitilen ve bilgilendirilen Ukrayna kuvvetleriyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ABD destekli Ukrayna savunmalar\u0131n\u0131n muhtemelen Rus g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin y\u0131pranmas\u0131na neden olabilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Ayr\u0131ca, Bat\u0131\u2019dan Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 muhtemel eylemin yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade ediyor ve Rusya Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir Putin\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck ihtimalle bu noktada sadece tavizler arad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ekliyor:<\/p>\n

Bana g\u00f6re, Putin elinden geldi\u011fince \u00e7ok taviz almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak ve tavizler i\u00e7in toprak ticareti yapmaya ba\u015flayabilir. Ancak Ukrayna topraklar\u0131na giden bu \u00e7izgiyi a\u015farsa, b\u00fcy\u00fck yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

\u00d6te yandan Robert Ryan, yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n Rus petrol \u00fcretiminin yava\u015flamas\u0131na neden olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. \u201cSon zamanlarda, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n OPEC arz\u0131n\u0131n restorasyonuna ne kadar katk\u0131da bulunaca\u011f\u0131na dair tahminimizi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek zorunda kald\u0131k, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc her ay kotalar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layabilecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyorlar\u201d diyen Robert Ryan, teknoloji ve sermaye yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 konusuna dikkat \u00e7ekiyor:<\/p>\n

Yine teknoloji ve sermaye konusunda ba\u015fka bir yapt\u0131r\u0131m t\u00fcr\u00fcne tabi tutulurlarsa, uzun vadeli hedefleri olan \u00fcretimi eski haline getirmeyi ve b\u00fcy\u00fctmeyi b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla giderek daha zor bulacaklar.<\/p>\n

Harold Kempfer: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin asl\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir rol oynayabilir<\/b><\/p>\n

Ancak Harold Kempfer, Rusya ile NATO g\u00fc\u00e7leri aras\u0131ndaki askeri gerilimlerin en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoda Karadeniz\u2019de ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u201cDeniz kuvvetlerinin muhtemelen bir t\u00fcr \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya girebilece\u011fi bir senaryoya bak\u0131yoruz\u201d diyen Kempfer, bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin asl\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir rol oynayabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Harold Kempfer, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Karadeniz\u2019de bir yerde Rus kuvvetleriyle bir T\u00fcrk deniz kuvvetleri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 olursa, bunun nereye varaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin edemiyorum. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye veya herhangi bir NATO \u00fcyesine do\u011frudan bir sald\u0131r\u0131 bir yana, ABD ve m\u00fcttefiklerinin Rus kuvvetlerine kar\u015f\u0131 do\u011frudan askeri harekat yoluyla m\u00fcdahale etmesi pek olas\u0131 de\u011fil. NATO ortaklar\u0131ndan hi\u00e7birinin, \u00f6zellikle Almanya\u2019n\u0131n da bunu yapmak isteyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Harold Kempfer, bunun nedeni olarak da Almanya\u2019n\u0131n, do\u011fal gaz\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra \u00f6nemli mineraller i\u00e7in Rusya\u2019ya b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ihra\u00e7 etti\u011fi muazzam miktarda nikel var. Almanya\u2019n\u0131n Rus do\u011falgaz\u0131na bu kadar ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131n nedenlerinden biri de k\u00f6m\u00fcr santrallerinden kurtulmalar\u0131 ve Fukushima\u2019dan sonra siyasi nedenlerle n\u00fckleer santrallerden kurtulaca\u011f\u0131z demeleri. Harold Kempfer, \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Yenilenebilir kaynaklara gitmek istiyorlar. Yenilenebilir enerji, \u00e7ok fazla pile ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelir. Piller, lityum ve nikel, kobalt ve bunun gibi ba\u015fka \u015feyler gerektirir. Rusya, \u00f6zellikle Avrupa\u2019da nikel piyasas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir role sahiptir. San\u0131r\u0131m %80 falan, Avrupa\u2019ya nikel sa\u011fl\u0131yorlar. Bu \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck.<\/p>\n

\u201cGerilim artarsa petrol u\u00e7ar, alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 2.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine yol al\u0131r\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Robert Ryan ise, ABD ordusu ve NATO m\u00fcttefikleriyle a\u00e7\u0131k alanda do\u011frudan bir askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n, Kremlin\u2019in ne pahas\u0131na olursa olsun ka\u00e7\u0131nmak istedi\u011fi bir senaryo oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Ancak Ryan, ABD ile Rusya aras\u0131nda gerilimin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 durumunda, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlukla siber alanda olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

ABD ve NATO askeri bir g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak heybetli, bu y\u00fczden buna ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse, \u00e7ok \u00e7abuk bitece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f olur ve ard\u0131ndan aynen 1990 Irak Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019nda oldu\u011fu gibi d\u00fc\u015fer. Buradaki uyar\u0131 \u015fu ki, bir siber sava\u015f \u00e7a\u011f\u0131nda ya\u015f\u0131yoruz, bu y\u00fczden Rus denizalt\u0131lar\u0131 internetin kapanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Avrupa\u2019ya giden t\u00fcm kablolar\u0131 kesmeye ba\u015flarsa hi\u00e7 de \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmaz. Elektrik \u015febekesini \u00e7\u00f6kerten b\u00fcy\u00fck bir siber sald\u0131r\u0131 olabilir. Bu durumda NATO ve ABD kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k vermek zorunda kal\u0131r.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Robert Ryan, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekten de Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal etmesi halinde, ham petrol\u00fcn harekete \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck edece\u011fini ve piyasalar\u0131n derhal tepki verece\u011fini kaydediyor:<\/p>\n

S\u0131n\u0131rda 100.000 askeriniz haz\u0131r oldu\u011funda ve ikmal i\u00e7in gereken yak\u0131t\u0131n hareket etmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcrseniz, piyasa bunu fark edecektir. Sadece bu k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 eyleme verilen saf tepki muhtemelen ham petrol\u00fc 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Robert Ryan, Ukrayna geriliminin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 halinde g\u00fcvenli liman varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n toparlanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve alt\u0131n\u0131n 2.000 dolara yol alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor:<\/p>\n

Tahminime g\u00f6re alt\u0131n burada bir f\u0131rsat yakalar ve sar\u0131 metali almak i\u00e7in bir m\u00fccadele olur. \u0130\u015flerin ne kadar k\u00f6t\u00fcye gitti\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, ralliyi s\u0131n\u0131rlayan dolar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc olur. Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 2.000 dolara gider, ancak 2.000 dolar\u0131 ne kadar geride b\u0131rak\u0131r bilemiyorum.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD istihbarat yetkilileri, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u015fu anda Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal etmek i\u00e7in askeri haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %70\u2019ine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyor. ABD\u2019li …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":12211,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,8,7],"tags":[545,309,966],"class_list":["post-12210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blockchain","category-defi","category-nft","tag-abd","tag-rus","tag-ukrayna"],"yoast_head":"\n\u201cHer An Olabilir\u201d Uzman: Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131 Bu Rakamlara Gidiyor! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/her-an-olabilir-uzman-altin-fiyati-bu-rakamlara-gidiyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u201cHer An Olabilir\u201d Uzman: Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131 Bu Rakamlara Gidiyor!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ABD istihbarat yetkilileri, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u015fu anda Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal etmek i\u00e7in askeri haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %70\u2019ine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyor. 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