{"id":122093,"date":"2024-05-13T14:30:59","date_gmt":"2024-05-13T11:30:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=122093"},"modified":"2024-05-13T13:13:40","modified_gmt":"2024-05-13T10:13:40","slug":"bitcoin-fiyatinda-ince-bir-denge-boga-mi-ayi-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-fiyatinda-ince-bir-denge-boga-mi-ayi-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Fiyat\u0131nda \u0130nce Bir Denge: Bo\u011fa m\u0131? Ay\u0131 m\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin Fiyat\u0131nda \u0130nce Bir Denge: Bo\u011fa m\u0131? Ay\u0131 m\u0131? Bitcoin, duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n bo\u011fa iyimserli\u011fi ve ay\u0131 temkin aras\u0131nda gidip gelmesiyle birlikte dikkatlice 60.000 dolarl\u0131k deste\u011fini koruyor. Kripto paran\u0131n fiyat hareketi dar bir ticaret aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kalmaya devam ediyor ve momentumda \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fin neyin tetikleyebilece\u011fi spek\u00fclasyonu yap\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

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Hafta ilerledik\u00e7e, Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri makroekonomik verileri ve Federal Rezerv Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell’\u0131n yorumlar\u0131, risk varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebilecek potansiyel volatiliteye haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Mevcut aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bile Bitcoin bo\u011falar\u0131, son piyasa hareketleri taraf\u0131ndan i\u015faret edilen daha derin bir d\u00fczeltmeye kar\u015f\u0131 dikkatli bir \u015fekilde duruyorlar. \u0130\u015flemciler, \u00f6zellikle 50.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131ndaki teklif likiditesini yak\u0131ndan izliyorlar, uzun vadeli bir piyasa taban\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in \u00e7ekici bir b\u00f6lge sunuyor. Ancak k\u0131sa vadeli olarak, BTC\/USD’nin haftaya ba\u015flarken likiditeyi yukar\u0131 do\u011fru temizlemeye daha ilgi duydu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin’in son haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131, haftan\u0131n yeni oturumlar\u0131 ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce tan\u0131d\u0131k bir b\u00f6lgede oldu\u011funu yeniden do\u011fruluyor. BTC\/USD’deki minimum volatilite, hafta sonuna do\u011fru TradingView’den gelen verilere g\u00f6re g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Hayati olarak, 3 May\u0131s’ta geri al\u0131nmas\u0131ndan bu yana 60.000 dolar tutuldu ve baz\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in bu seviye bo\u011falar i\u00e7in bir \u00e7izgiyi i\u015faret ediyor. X’e (eski ad\u0131yla Twitter) y\u00fcklenen bir grafik hakk\u0131nda yorum yaparak, pop\u00fcler analist Mark Cullen, 60.000 dolar\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda bir “bo\u011fa emir blo\u011fu” nun al\u0131c\u0131 ilgisini i\u015faret etti. “Hala 60k’n\u0131n \u00fczerinde duruyor ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini k\u0131rd\u0131,” yazd\u0131. “O mavi OB, k\u0131sa vadede anahtar olacak, kaybedin ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckleri yeniden ziyaret ederiz ve muhtemelen \u00e7ok daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olur. Tutun ve bir ba\u015fka ayak, 64-67k’l\u0131k y\u00fcksekliklerin \u00fczerindeki likiditeyi almak i\u00e7in muhtemelen al\u0131n\u0131r.” Cullen, bu haftan\u0131n makroekonomik veri yay\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n, \u00f6zellikle 14 May\u0131s’ta T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (CPI) ile, BTC fiyat hareketi i\u00e7in belirleyici olabilece\u011fini ekledi.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin Bo\u011fa Destek Band\u0131<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

60.000 dolarl\u0131k b\u00f6lge yaln\u0131zca tekliflerden ibaret de\u011fil – anahtar hareketli ortalamalar ve di\u011fer bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131 destek trend \u00e7izgileri orada birle\u015fti. “Ge\u00e7en hafta tam olarak Bo\u011fa Piyasas\u0131 Destek Band\u0131’ndan s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131,” hafta sonu X takip\u00e7ilerine s\u00f6yledi. “Bu ve \u00f6nceki bo\u011fa d\u00f6ng\u00fclerinde, iyi destek sundu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Buradan nas\u0131l gidece\u011fimize bakal\u0131m.” Destek band\u0131, iki \u00fcssel hareketli ortalama veya EMA’dan olu\u015fur.<\/p>\n

\u0130zleme kayna\u011f\u0131 CoinGlass’\u0131n en son verileri, 13 May\u0131s’ta gece yar\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra, yakla\u015f\u0131k 60.250 dolar civar\u0131nda yeni 65 milyon dolarl\u0131k bir teklif blo\u011funun yerle\u015ftirildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6te yandan, 62.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde bekleyen bir sat\u0131\u015f likiditesi bulutu, bir sonraki nokta fiyat sava\u015f alan\u0131 olabilir. Bir \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn, meslekta\u015f\u0131 t\u00fcccar Skew, 60.000 dolar civar\u0131ndaki deste\u011fin “pasif spot al\u0131mlar\u0131ndan” sorumlu oldu\u011funu \u015f\u00fcphelendi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. “Genel olarak, iyi spot teklif derinli\u011fi 60K – 58K,” X yorumlar\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 ekledi.<\/p>\n

CPI, Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Powell’\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131yla e\u015fzamanl\u0131 olarak vurur. Hafta boyunca ABD’deki makroekonomik geli\u015fmelere olan ilgi, veriler h\u0131zla bas\u0131l\u0131rken odaklan\u0131yor. CPI, enflasyon tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve faiz oran\u0131 kesintisi beklentileri i\u00e7in risk varl\u0131klar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Ancak \u00f6ncesinde, 14 May\u0131s’ta Nisan ay\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (PPI) bas\u0131lacak ve Hollanda Merkez Bankas\u0131 De Nederlandse Bank’\u0131n ba\u015fkan\u0131 olan Klaas Knot ile moderat\u00f6rl\u00fc bir tart\u0131\u015fmada Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Powell ekonomiyi tart\u0131\u015facak.<\/p>\n

Piyasalar, Powell’\u0131n gelecekteki politika hamlelerine dair ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 verirken kendilerini son derece duyarl\u0131 g\u00f6stermi\u015flerdir. CME Group’un FedWatch Arac\u0131’n\u0131n en son verileri duygu durumu hissini vurguluyor – t\u00fcccarlar, Haziran ay\u0131ndaki Fed’in sonraki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 neredeyse hi\u00e7 g\u00f6rmezden gelmiyorlar, olas\u0131l\u0131k sadece Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131yor. “E\u011fer CPI enflasyonu bu hafta tekrar y\u00fckselirse, bu \u00dc\u00c7\u00dcNC\u00dc ART ARDA ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u015faret edecek,” X’teki haftal\u0131k makro g\u00fcnl\u00fck takvim g\u00f6nderisi yan\u0131nda The Kobeissi Letter adl\u0131 i\u015flem kayna\u011f\u0131 yorumlad\u0131 ve yakla\u015fan birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn\u00fc “\u00e7ok yo\u011fun” olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Uzun vadeli sahipler, 2024 BTC da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 durdurdu Deneyimli Bitcoin saklay\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131, baz\u0131 zincir d\u0131\u015f\u0131 verilere dayanarak, 2021 bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131yla \u00f6zde\u015fle\u015fen bir e\u011filim sergiliyorlar. Pozitif bir geli\u015fme olarak, uzun vadeli sahipler (LTH’ler), 2024 boyunca piyasaya da\u011f\u0131tarak, BTC maruziyetlerini art\u0131rma a\u015famas\u0131ndalar. Bu, CryptoQuant’daki zincir d\u0131\u015f\u0131 analitik platformuna katk\u0131da bulunan J. A. Maartunn’un bir sonucudur. X’e y\u00fckledi\u011fi en son bulgular\u0131ndan baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131, uzun vadeli sahiplerin (LTH’lerin), daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlardan pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in sunulan f\u0131rsattan yararlanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bunlar\u0131 daha sonra hype a\u015famalar\u0131nda piyasaya yeniden tan\u0131tmak i\u00e7in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia ederek savundu.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u0130lgin\u00e7 bir \u015fekilde, 2018, 2021 ve 2024’teki veri noktalar\u0131 aras\u0131nda bir e\u011filim \u00e7izgisi \u00e7izilebilir. Daha \u00f6nce tan\u0131mland\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi d\u00f6ng\u00fcsel bir trend mevcut, burada uzun vadeli sahiplerin bo\u011fa piyasalar\u0131nda sat\u0131n al\u0131p d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck piyasalarda satmalar\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu. Ancak, daha geni\u015f ve daha kal\u0131c\u0131 bir trend de etkili: bu d\u00f6ng\u00fcsel trende ra\u011fmen, Bitcoin’in giderek artan bir pay\u0131 s\u00fcrekli olarak uzun vadeli sahipler taraf\u0131ndan tutuluyor.\u201d Hem Bitcoin hem de Ether ETH biletleri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc 2.982 dolara iniyor. spek\u00fclat\u00f6rler, k\u0131sa vadeli sahipler veya STH’lar, mevcut bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131nda genel olarak dayanan di\u011fer bir destek seviyesini olu\u015fturur.<\/p>\n

Kripto Para \u00dcr\u00fcnleri \u00dczerinde Fonlama Oranlar\u0131 S\u0131f\u0131rlan\u0131yor Bitcoin ve altcoin piyasas\u0131 g\u00f6zlemcileri, daha \u00e7e\u015fitli ko\u015fullar\u0131n geri d\u00f6nmesini beklemek zorunda kalmayabilirler. T\u00fcrev piyasalar\u0131ndaki mevcut durum, kriptonun n\u00f6tr bir karakterle karakterize oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterir. \u00d6zellikle, fonlama oranlar\u0131, yak\u0131n vadeli fiyat hareketlerine ra\u011fmen n\u00f6tr kalmaya devam ediyor – bu durum, Bitcoin’in Mart ay\u0131ndaki t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 radar ekran\u0131nda bir nokta gibi g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Kaynak: CoinGlass<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Kripto Fonlama Oranlar\u0131 \u015fu anda \u015eubat\/Mart’ta a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 \u0131s\u0131nmalar\u0131ndan daha uzun s\u00fcredir n\u00f6tr seviyelerdedir. CoinGlass verileri, Mart ay\u0131n\u0131n sonunda geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 bir finansman s\u0131f\u0131rlamas\u0131n\u0131n geldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. “Temelde i\u015fler b\u00f6yle y\u00fcr\u00fcyor: Yava\u015f piyasa, patlama, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 \u0131s\u0131nma, s\u0131f\u0131rlama. “Korku ve karars\u0131zl\u0131k” Fiyatlar belirlenmi\u015f bir koridor i\u00e7inde hareket ederken, volatilite kriptonun ba\u015fka yerlerinde zaten belirgin hale geliyor. \u0130lgili: Bitcoin yatay i\u015flem yaparken, TON, RNDR, PEPE ve AR fla\u015f bo\u011fa i\u015faretleri g\u00f6steriyor. Klasik piyasa duyarl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi olan Crypto Fear & Greed Index, bu ay \u00e7e\u015fitli durumlar aras\u0131nda gidip geliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu gecikmi\u015f g\u00f6sterge, kripto t\u00fcccarlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda ani bir tersine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f olabilece\u011fini belirlemek i\u00e7in bir dizi fakt\u00f6r kullan\u0131r, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 okumalar\u0131n, piyasan\u0131n ani bir tersine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00f6rebilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcrer. Korku & A\u00e7g\u00f6zl\u00fcl\u00fck, 13 May\u0131s itibariyle 57\/100 – olduk\u00e7a n\u00f6tr bir okuma ve 6 May\u0131s’ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen 71\/100’den – “a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 a\u00e7g\u00f6zl\u00fcl\u00fck” b\u00f6lgesine bir ad\u0131m uzakl\u0131kta. Ge\u00e7en haftaki yeni analizde, ara\u015ft\u0131rma firmas\u0131 Santiment, Bitcoin’in zincir d\u0131\u015f\u0131 aktivitesindeki bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, t\u00fcccarlar\u0131n “korku ve karars\u0131zl\u0131k” i\u00e7inde oldu\u011funu atfediyor.<\/p>\n

Dikkatinizi \u00e7ekebilir: Ripple CEO’sundan Tether Yorumu<\/a><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

E\u015flik eden bir grafik, 2 ay boyunca ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen i\u015flemlerde bir toplu \u00e7anta seviyesinin 2019’da en son g\u00f6r\u00fclen seviyelere d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi. \u201cBitcoin’in zincir d\u0131\u015f\u0131 aktivitesi, t\u00fcccarlar\u0131n, t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinden bu yana 2 ay boyunca i\u015flemleri ciddi \u015fekilde yava\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc,\u201d Santiment yazd\u0131. \u201cBu, daha fazla $BTC dalgalanmas\u0131 i\u015fareti de\u011fil, ancak kalabal\u0131k korkusu ve karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015fareti.\u201d Ge\u00e7en haftaki yeni analizde, ara\u015ft\u0131rma firmas\u0131 Santiment, Bitcoin’in zincir d\u0131\u015f\u0131 aktivitesindeki bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, t\u00fcccarlar\u0131n “korku ve karars\u0131zl\u0131k” i\u00e7inde oldu\u011funu atfediyor.<\/p>\n

E\u015flik eden bir grafik, 2 ay boyunca ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen i\u015flemlerde bir toplu \u00e7anta seviyesinin 2019’da en son g\u00f6r\u00fclen seviyelere d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi. \u201cBitcoin’in zincir d\u0131\u015f\u0131 aktivitesi, t\u00fcccarlar\u0131n, t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinden bu yana 2 ay boyunca i\u015flemleri ciddi \u015fekilde yava\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc,\u201d Santiment yazd\u0131. \u201cBu, daha fazla $BTC dalgalanmas\u0131 i\u015fareti de\u011fil, ancak kalabal\u0131k korkusu ve karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015fareti.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin Fiyat\u0131nda \u0130nce Bir Denge: Bo\u011fa m\u0131? Ay\u0131 m\u0131? Bitcoin, duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n bo\u011fa iyimserli\u011fi ve ay\u0131 temkin aras\u0131nda gidip gelmesiyle birlikte dikkatlice 60.000 dolarl\u0131k deste\u011fini koruyor. Kripto paran\u0131n fiyat hareketi dar bir ticaret aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kalmaya devam ediyor ve momentumda \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fin neyin tetikleyebilece\u011fi spek\u00fclasyonu yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Hafta ilerledik\u00e7e, Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri makroekonomik verileri ve Federal Rezerv<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":121648,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,8214],"tags":[7306,11044,12383,10234,11534,12091,11623,11622,12,14591,9502,10772],"class_list":["post-122093","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-coin-analizleri","tag-1-dolar-bitcoin","tag-abd-bitcoin","tag-abd-bitcoin-onayi","tag-abd-enflasyon-verisi-bitcoini-nasil-etkiledi","tag-apple-bitcoin","tag-arjantin-bitcoin","tag-arthur-hayes-bitcoin-fiyati","tag-arthur-hayes-bitcoin-tahmini","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-ayi","tag-bitcoin-boga","tag-bitcoin-boga-piyasasi"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Fiyat\u0131nda \u0130nce Bir Denge: Bo\u011fa m\u0131? 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