{"id":119349,"date":"2024-04-07T17:00:42","date_gmt":"2024-04-07T14:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=119349"},"modified":"2024-04-07T16:45:09","modified_gmt":"2024-04-07T13:45:09","slug":"fed-faiz-indirim-gorunumu-eylule-kaydi-gecikmeyi-destekleyen-3-faktor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fed-faiz-indirim-gorunumu-eylule-kaydi-gecikmeyi-destekleyen-3-faktor\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed Faiz \u0130ndirim G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Eyl\u00fcl’e Kayd\u0131: Gecikmeyi Destekleyen 3 Fakt\u00f6r"},"content":{"rendered":"

Y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri, Fed faiz indirimi konusundaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler de\u011fi\u015fiyor ve bu teoriyi destekleyen birka\u00e7 fakt\u00f6r bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Fed faiz indirimi etraf\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri s\u00fcrekli de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Aral\u0131k 2023’te, piyasalar en erken Mart ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayarak Federal Rezerv’in en az \u00fc\u00e7 faiz indirimi yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyordu. Ancak, piyasa enflasyon ve di\u011fer ekonomik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnceleri i\u015flemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, bu e\u011filim sadece gecikti.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015fte \u015fu anda Fed’in gecikmi\u015f faiz indirimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc destekleyen \u00fc\u00e7 fakt\u00f6r:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Mart Ay\u0131 i\u00e7in ABD \u0130\u015fsizlik Verileri<\/strong><\/p>\n

2024 Mart ay\u0131nda, ABD ekonomisi 303.000 i\u015f ekledi, son 10 ay\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fi, pazar projeksiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n 200.000 ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilen \u015eubat ay\u0131ndaki 270.000’e kar\u015f\u0131. Bu, ekonominin hala g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 %3,9’dan %3,8’e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc ve bu da pazar beklentilerini kar\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131. Bu durum, ABD i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn hala g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu ve Fed’in faiz indirimlerini desteklemek i\u00e7in daha fazla zaman kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Veri, piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, Fed’in faizleri kesmeyi haziran yerine \u015fimdi eyl\u00fclde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek isteyebilece\u011fine inanmalar\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n

ABD Ekonomisi Durumu<\/strong><\/p>\n

Baz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, enflasyonun tekrar y\u00fckselme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok az oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yor. Bunun nedeni, ABD ekonomisinin, ekonomiyi zarar vermeden daha fazla b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011fu bir seviyeye istikrarlanm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu durum, i\u015fsizlik ve gelirdeki art\u0131\u015flarla dengelenmi\u015f bir senaryoda tipik olarak sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcnde k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar oldu\u011funda bask\u0131n\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir.<\/p>\n

Federal Rezerv Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell<\/a>, ABD ekonomisinde bir resesyonun yak\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nceden tahmin etmenin zor oldu\u011funu belirtti. Ancak, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz indirimlerini ne zaman yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmenin zor oldu\u011funu belirtti. Fed’in mevcut g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, gelecekteki enflasyon geli\u015fmeleri etraf\u0131nda belirsizlikler nedeniyle mevcut ekonomiyi desteklemek \u00fczerine odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

\u00d6nceki T\u00dcFE ve PPI Verileri<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u015eubat ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (PPI) ve T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (CPI) verileri, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011finden daha y\u00fcksek bir enflasyon seviyesini g\u00f6sterdi. ABD \u0130\u015f \u0130statistikleri B\u00fcrosu’ndan gelen PPI enflasyon istatistiklerine g\u00f6re, toptan enflasyon \u015eubat ay\u0131nda zirveye ula\u015ft\u0131. Ekonomistlerin bekledi\u011fi %0,3’\u00fcn aksine, a\u00e7\u0131k pazarda ham madde fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en PPI endeksi \u015eubat ay\u0131nda %0,6 artt\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Ocak ay\u0131nda ek %0,3’l\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/p>\n

Mart ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin veriler gelecek hafta yay\u0131mlanacak olup, son derece \u00f6nemli bir d\u00f6neme i\u015faret ediyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta yay\u0131mlanacak veri noktalar\u0131, kripto yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n Fed faiz indirimlerinin gelece\u011fine ili\u015fkin beklentilerini yak\u0131ndan izlemelerini sa\u011flayacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri, Fed faiz indirimi konusundaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler de\u011fi\u015fiyor ve bu teoriyi destekleyen birka\u00e7 fakt\u00f6r bulunuyor. Fed faiz indirimi etraf\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri s\u00fcrekli de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Aral\u0131k 2023’te, piyasalar en erken Mart ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayarak Federal Rezerv’in en az \u00fc\u00e7 faiz indirimi yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyordu. Ancak, piyasa enflasyon ve di\u011fer ekonomik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnceleri i\u015flemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, bu e\u011filim<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":72603,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9692],"tags":[545,12,207,413],"class_list":["post-119349","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-abd","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-fed"],"yoast_head":"\nFed Faiz \u0130ndirim G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Eyl\u00fcl'e Kayd\u0131: Gecikmeyi Destekleyen 3 Fakt\u00f6r - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri, Fed faiz indirimi konusundaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler de\u011fi\u015fiyor ve bu teoriyi destekleyen birka\u00e7 fakt\u00f6r bulunuyor.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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