{"id":101563,"date":"2023-10-18T15:00:53","date_gmt":"2023-10-18T12:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=101563"},"modified":"2023-10-18T12:13:56","modified_gmt":"2023-10-18T09:13:56","slug":"trend-takibi-ve-ticaret-stratejileri-trendin-izini-surmek-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/trend-takibi-ve-ticaret-stratejileri-trendin-izini-surmek-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Trend Takibi ve Ticaret Stratejileri: Trendin \u0130zini S\u00fcrmek"},"content":{"rendered":"

Finansal ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015fmak istiyorsan\u0131z,\u00a0Coinm\u00fchendisi<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0kanal\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n \u00fccretsiz\u00a0teknik analiz<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0trend e\u011fitim<\/strong>\u00a0serisini izlemenizi \u00f6neririz. Bu e\u011fitim serisi, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara fiyat hareketlerini anlama, trendleri belirleme ve olas\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f noktalar\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etme konular\u0131nda kapsaml\u0131 bilgi sunmay\u0131 hedeflemektedir. Kanal\u0131m\u0131z, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara rehberlik etmek i\u00e7in tasarlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ve finansal ba\u015far\u0131ya giden yolda size yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Trend Belirleme<\/h2>\n

Dikkat edilecek olursa, s\u00fcrmekte olan bir y\u00fckseli\u015f<\/strong> ya da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi<\/strong>nin i\u00e7inde kimi zaman trendle uyumlu gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnen, kimi zaman ise rasgele olu\u015fmu\u015f hissi uyand\u0131ran fiyat sal\u0131n\u0131mlar\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6zlemleyebiliriz. Ancak bu rasgele gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnen olu\u015fumlar bile asl\u0131nda o an h\u00fck\u00fcm s\u00fcren trendin etkisindedir ve bir \u015fekilde trendin t\u00fcrevlerini kullan\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u00fczden, genel trend tan\u0131m\u0131ndakinin aksine herhangi iki dip ya da tepeden \u00e7izece\u011fimiz trend<\/strong> \u00e7izgilerini, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc bir dip ya da tepeyle onaylanmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemek yerine, bunun zaten var olan bir trendin par\u00e7as\u0131 oldu\u011fu varsay\u0131m\u0131yla di\u011fer paralellerle onaylamay\u0131 tercih edece\u011fiz. Tabii ki, klasik analizdeki gibi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc bir te\u011fet noktas\u0131, \u00e7izginin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc art\u0131rabilir. Ancak unutmam\u0131z gereken \u015fey, g\u00fc\u00e7lenenin sadece \u00e7izgi oldu\u011fu, as\u0131l g\u00fcc\u00fcn trendi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in \u00e7izginin paralellerinin fiyatlarla onayland\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\"Trend<\/p>\n

\u00dcstteki \u015fekilde de g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcz gibi, bir grafi\u011fin ilk bak\u0131\u015fta kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi ve teknik analizden uzak bir g\u00f6z i\u00e7in korkutucu ve anlams\u0131z g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazd\u0131r. Yine de deneyimsiz bir g\u00f6z, buradaki sal\u0131n\u0131mlarla s\u00fcregelen hareketteki hafif yukar\u0131 e\u011fimi bile fark edebilir. Analizini yapaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z grafikteki trendin bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcze g\u00f6re, yapaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ilk \u015fey grafikteki belirgin dipleri bulmak olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Ancak genel trend tan\u0131mlamalar\u0131 olduk\u00e7a net g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de, en do\u011fru ve en kullan\u0131\u015fl\u0131 olan\u0131 se\u00e7mek bir sanatt\u0131r. Bu nedenle, se\u00e7imi yapmadan \u00f6nce bir ad\u0131m geri \u00e7ekilip resme bir b\u00fct\u00fcn olarak bakabilmeniz gerekecektir. Bu yetene\u011fi geli\u015ftirene kadar izlenecek en kolay ve g\u00fcvenilir yol ise, ilk \u00e7izginizi bir test \u00e7izgisi olarak kabul ederek deneme yan\u0131lma y\u00f6ntemini kullanmakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Paralel Formasyon<\/h3>\n

\"Trend<\/p>\n

Yukar\u0131daki \u015fekilde, en belirgin iki dibi kullanarak \u00e7izdi\u011fimiz trendin paralellerini nas\u0131l att\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 g\u00f6steriliyor. Paralellerin se\u00e7im yeri, destek-diren\u00e7 seviyelerinde g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz gibi belirgin dip ve tepelerdir. Bir \u00f6nceki ge\u00e7ilemeyen tepenin veya alt\u0131na inilemeyen dibin trendsel anlamda bir sonraki e\u015fleni\u011finin ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerine kurulu bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada se\u00e7ece\u011finiz paralellerin nereden ge\u00e7ece\u011fi de, ayn\u0131 ilk trend \u00e7izgisinin yerinin se\u00e7iminde oldu\u011fu gibi \u00e7ok \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Yine burada da en g\u00fcvenilir y\u00f6ntem, deneme yan\u0131lma y\u00f6ntemidir. Ancak bir teknik analistin analizlerini her zaman genelin ne g\u00f6rece\u011fi mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerine kurmas\u0131 gerekir. Bu y\u00fczden paralellerin se\u00e7iminde yaln\u0131z sizin g\u00f6rebilece\u011finiz yerleri referans almak yerine, herkesin g\u00f6rebilece\u011fi ve ayn\u0131 \u00f6nemi verece\u011fi dip ve tepeler kullan\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. Analizin yal\u0131n ve anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131rl\u0131\u011fa yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a ba\u015far\u0131 oran\u0131n\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131 unutulmamal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

At\u0131lan paralellerin kullan\u0131m\u0131 ise olduk\u00e7a basittir. Bu \u00e7izgiler, arz ve talebin yer de\u011fi\u015ftirerek fiyatlarda o an i\u00e7in var olan sal\u0131n\u0131m\u0131n tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc seviyeler olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Bu \u015fekliyle her bir paralel, bize al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m seviyelerini g\u00f6steren destek ve diren\u00e7 olarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. JR Trend i\u00e7indeki paralel tali yollar olarak tan\u0131mlayabilece\u011fimiz bu kanal \u00e7izgileri, her ne kadar destek ve diren\u00e7 olarak m\u00fckemmel giri\u015f ve \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f noktalar\u0131n\u0131 verse de, her trendin i\u00e7inde alt trendlerin de olu\u015fabilece\u011fi ve fiyatlar\u0131n bunlardan etkilenebilece\u011fi ak\u0131ldan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmamal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Trend \u0130\u00e7inde Trend<\/h3>\n

\"Trend<\/p>\n

Bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinde her bir tepeden sonra veya bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinde her bir dipten sonra, bunun alt\u0131nda kalan yeni bir tepe veya bunun \u00fczerinde kalan yeni bir dibin olu\u015ftu\u011funda, var olan trendin ters y\u00f6nl\u00fc ikincil bir trendin etkisinde olabilece\u011fini dikkate almal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/p>\n

Yukar\u0131daki \u015fekilde, y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin sonlar\u0131nda olu\u015fan bir ikincil trendin fiyatlar\u0131 nas\u0131l etkiledi\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n

Ancak dikkat etmemiz gereken bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli nokta, fiyatlar\u0131 etkileyen yeni bir trendin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tespit etti\u011fimizde, hemen o ana kadar kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z trendi bir kenara b\u0131rakmamam\u0131z gerekti\u011fidir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bir trend i\u00e7inde olu\u015fan ikincil trendler, genellikle daha k\u0131sa s\u00fcreleri kapsarlar ve o d\u00f6nem boyunca fiyat hareketlerini her iki trend birlikte belirler. Yani fiyatlar, her iki trendin \u00e7izgilerini de destek ve diren\u00e7 olarak alg\u0131larlar.<\/p>\n

Teknik Analizde Ge\u00e7mi\u015f Paralellerin \u0130zleri<\/h3>\n

Her ne kadar klasik analizde, \u00e7izilen bir trend \u00e7izgisinin onay\u0131 sa\u011fda, yani daha sonraki bir tarihte aran\u0131yor olsa da, analizimizin temelinde, \u00e7izdi\u011fimiz trendin zaten var olan bir trendin par\u00e7as\u0131 olabilece\u011fi ger\u00e7e\u011fi yatmaktad\u0131r. Bu nedenle, onay\u0131 sadece sa\u011f tarafta de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda solda, yani ge\u00e7mi\u015fte de arayabiliriz.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Yukar\u0131da yer alan \u015fekilde, Ave B diplerinin olu\u015fumuyla bu noktalar\u0131n birle\u015ftirilmesinin ard\u0131ndan, sol tarafta aranan paralelleri g\u00f6rebilirsiniz. E\u011fer B dibinin hen\u00fcz olu\u015ftu\u011fu bir zaman diliminde bunu yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 farz edersek, soldan buldu\u011funuz (ve trendi onaylatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z) paralellerle o andan sonraki kazan\u00e7 potansiyelinizin ne olabilece\u011fini daha iyi anlayabilirsiniz.<\/p>\n

Paralellerde \u0130hlaller<\/h3>\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki \u015fekilde kullan\u0131lan trend, d\u00fcz \u00e7izgilerle g\u00f6sterilen ve hemen her noktada teyidi olan bir y\u00fckselen trenddir. Ancak burada dikkat edilmesi gereken, A b\u00f6lgesindeki ola\u011fan d\u0131\u015f\u0131 olu\u015fumdur. Trendin \u00e7izimi s\u0131ras\u0131nda, bu \u00f6zel g\u00fcndeki sert a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya sarkman\u0131n ihmal edildi\u011fini ve ard\u0131ndan gelen dibin kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rebilirsiniz.<\/p>\n

Ancak burada \u00f6nemli olan, bu ola\u011fan d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sarkman\u0131n yeni bir trend olu\u015fturup olu\u015fturamayaca\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Normal ko\u015fullarda buna verilecek cevap “hay\u0131r” olmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc her ne kadar kendinden sonraki (kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z) diplerden daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da olsa da, bizim arad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z dipler, tan\u0131m\u0131m\u0131zda da belirtti\u011fimiz gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr belirgin diplerdir. Var olan trendin de bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc destekledi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Ancak, bu t\u00fcr bir ihlalin oldu\u011fu bir trendi \u00e7izmi\u015fseniz, bu ihlali g\u00f6rmezden gelmek veya tamamen unutmak yerine, ihlali belirtmek i\u00e7in kesikli \u00e7izgilerle ayr\u0131 bir trend \u00e7izmek, grafik analizindeki \u00f6nemli bir ad\u0131md\u0131r. Bu \u00e7izgi, “burada b\u00f6yle bir olu\u015fum da var” anlam\u0131nda kullan\u0131l\u0131r ve grafik haf\u0131zas\u0131na kaydedilmelidir.<\/p>\n

Yukar\u0131daki \u015fekilde de g\u00f6rebilece\u011finiz gibi, ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta \u00f6nemsiz gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnen bu ihlal, daha sonra B b\u00f6lgesindeki bir ay\u0131 tuza\u011f\u0131nda ve C b\u00f6lgesindeki trend k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131nda i\u015fe yaram\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Finansal ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015fmak istiyorsan\u0131z,\u00a0Coinm\u00fchendisi\u00a0kanal\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n \u00fccretsiz\u00a0teknik analiz\u00a0ve\u00a0trend e\u011fitim\u00a0serisini izlemenizi \u00f6neririz. Bu e\u011fitim serisi, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara fiyat hareketlerini anlama, trendleri belirleme ve olas\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f noktalar\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etme konular\u0131nda kapsaml\u0131 bilgi sunmay\u0131 hedeflemektedir. Kanal\u0131m\u0131z, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara rehberlik etmek i\u00e7in tasarlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ve finansal ba\u015far\u0131ya giden yolda size yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Trend Belirleme Dikkat edilecek olursa, s\u00fcrmekte olan bir y\u00fckseli\u015f ya da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":101572,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,1512],"tags":[10412,10409,10408,10410,10394,10411],"class_list":["post-101563","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-egitim","category-haber","tag-dusen-trend","tag-paralel-trend","tag-trend-analizi","tag-trend-grafigi","tag-trend-takibi","tag-yukselen-trend"],"yoast_head":"\nTrend Takibi ve Ticaret Stratejileri: Trendin \u0130zini S\u00fcrmek - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Finansal ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015fmak istiyorsan\u0131z,\u00a0Coin M\u00fchendisi\u00a0kanal\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n \u00fccretsiz\u00a0teknik analiz\u00a0ve\u00a0trend e\u011fitim\u00a0serisini izlemenizi 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