{"id":100105,"date":"2023-08-24T18:00:39","date_gmt":"2023-08-24T15:00:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=100105"},"modified":"2023-08-24T14:29:02","modified_gmt":"2023-08-24T11:29:02","slug":"arthur-hayes-merakla-beklenen-yazisini-yayimladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/arthur-hayes-merakla-beklenen-yazisini-yayimladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Arthur Hayes Merakla Beklenen Yaz\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 Yay\u0131mlad\u0131!"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00dc\u00e7 y\u0131l \u00f6nce Adalet Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131’n\u0131n a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 dava sonucunda BitMEX’in CEO’luk g\u00f6revinden istifa eden Arthur Hayes, d\u00fczenli olarak yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131 blog yaz\u0131lar\u0131ndan en sonuncusunu yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hayes<\/strong>, Bitcoin fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 20,000<\/strong> dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na gerileyece\u011fine inanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Ayr\u0131ca, Fed’in<\/strong> tahvil piyasas\u0131n\u0131n kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc kaybetti\u011fini ve bu nedenle para basman\u0131n da ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz oldu\u011funu ifade etti.<\/p>\n

Son d\u00f6nemde “kitesurf<\/strong>” dersleri ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve dalgalarla ve s\u00f6rf tahtas\u0131yla m\u00fccadele etmenin ne kadar zorlay\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011funu dile getiren Hayes<\/strong>, bu deneyimi Federal Rezerv’in<\/strong> para politikas\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131mlamak i\u00e7in bir benzetme olarak kullanarak, kurumun eski y\u0131llardaki taktiklerle enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n hatal\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtti:<\/p>\n

“Hayat\u0131mda ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m en son “kitesurf” derslerine at\u0131fta bulunan Arthur Hayes<\/strong>, dalga ve s\u00f6rf tahtas\u0131yla m\u00fccadele etmenin ne kadar zorlay\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekti. Bu zorluklar\u0131 Fed’in<\/strong> para politikas\u0131yla \u00f6zde\u015fle\u015ftirerek, kurumun eski y\u0131llardaki yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131yla enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131na alma \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131k uygun olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131”<\/p>\n

\n

\u0130\u00e7eriklerimizden an\u0131nda haberdar olmak i\u00e7in bizleri Google News\u00a0\u00fczerinden takip edebilirsiniz!<\/strong><\/a><\/span><\/h4>\n
\n

Fed Daha Fazla Para Basacak<\/strong><\/h2>\n

“Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell<\/strong>, kendisini 1970’lerdeki enflasyonu dizginleyen d\u00f6nemin Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Paul Volcker<\/strong> gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ancak 2021’in sonlar\u0131na do\u011fru Powell, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckselterek ve bilan\u00e7osunu k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltmeye ba\u015flayarak enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Sonraki bir\u00e7ok r\u00f6portajda bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 yineledi. Fakat ABD’deki ekonomik ko\u015fullar \u015fu an ge\u00e7mi\u015fle k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda farkl\u0131 bir seyir izliyor. Fed’in<\/strong> ayn\u0131 politikalar\u0131 uygulayarak ayn\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 elde edece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek, benim kitesurf yaparken ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m zorluklar\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmekle ayn\u0131 olurdu. Beklenmedik zorluklarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131rs\u0131n\u0131z. Asl\u0131nda, Fed<\/strong> ne kadar \u00e7ok Volcker d\u00f6nemi takti\u011fini benimserse, gemiyi d\u00fczeltmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken o kadar \u00e7ok sorun yaratacakt\u0131r. Zengin varl\u0131k sahiplerine y\u00f6nelik te\u015fvikler art\u0131r\u0131lacak ve nihayetinde durumun d\u00fczeltilmedi\u011fi kabul edilecektir; bu da sonu\u00e7 olarak h\u00fck\u00fcmet m\u00fcdahalesini gerektirecektir. Sonu\u00e7 olarak daha fazla para bas\u0131m\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olacakt\u0131r. B\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00f6vg\u00fcyle Satoshi’ye<\/strong> selam olsun…”<\/p>\n

Fed\u2019in<\/strong> 1980\u2019lerdeki para politikas\u0131n\u0131n ABD<\/strong> ekonomisinde \u00e7ok fazla etkisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Arthur Hayes<\/strong>, o d\u00f6nekmki bor\u00e7 ile \u015fimdiki borcun aras\u0131ndaki devasa farka vurgu yapt\u0131:<\/p>\n

“1980’lerde Volker’in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ekonomi \u00fczerindeki etkisi olduk\u00e7a s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yd\u0131. O zamanlarda ABD’nin borcunun GSYH’ya<\/strong> oran\u0131 sadece %30<\/strong> seviyelerindeydi. Ancak bug\u00fcn bu oran 4 kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve %118<\/strong>‘e y\u00fckseldi. Bu nedenle, bug\u00fcn elde edilecek sonu\u00e7lar 1980’lerdeki durumla ayn\u0131 olmayacakt\u0131r. Beni ger\u00e7ekten merakland\u0131ran \u015fey, tahvil piyasas\u0131n\u0131n ne zaman \u00e7\u00f6kece\u011fi ve \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ne zaman ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131. Bu \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan Fed’in nas\u0131l bir yol izleyece\u011fi ise daha da \u00f6nemli. Son zamanlarda 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirileri %4’\u00fc<\/strong> a\u015farak y\u00fckseldi. Bu da kripto para piyasas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine neden oldu. Piyasa beklentilerine g\u00f6re faizlerin uzun bir s\u00fcre boyunca y\u00fcksek seviyelerde kalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ben ise sakin bir \u015fekilde arka plana yaslan\u0131p dalgalar\u0131n tad\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karmaya devam edece\u011fim.”<\/p>\n

\n

Dikkatinizi \u00c7ekebilir:Tornado Cash Kurucular\u0131n\u0131n Ba\u015f\u0131 Belada!<\/strong><\/a><\/span><\/h4>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00dc\u00e7 y\u0131l \u00f6nce Adalet Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131’n\u0131n a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 dava sonucunda BitMEX’in CEO’luk g\u00f6revinden istifa eden Arthur Hayes, d\u00fczenli olarak yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131 blog yaz\u0131lar\u0131ndan en sonuncusunu yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Hayes, Bitcoin fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 20,000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na gerileyece\u011fine inanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Ayr\u0131ca, Fed’in tahvil piyasas\u0131n\u0131n kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc kaybetti\u011fini ve bu nedenle para basman\u0131n da ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz oldu\u011funu ifade etti. Son d\u00f6nemde “kitesurf” dersleri ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve dalgalarla<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":100106,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,5,9692],"tags":[10109,12,10111,413,2229,10110],"class_list":["post-100105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-borsalar","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-arthur-hayes","tag-bitcoin","tag-etf-xrp","tag-fed","tag-halving","tag-tahvil-piyasalari"],"yoast_head":"\nArthur Hayes Merakla Beklenen Yaz\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 Yay\u0131mlad\u0131! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"BitMEX'in CEO'luk g\u00f6revinden istifa eden Arthur Hayes, d\u00fczenli olarak yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131 blog yaz\u0131lar\u0131ndan en sonuncusunu yay\u0131mlad\u0131.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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